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41 Pr 52000
B- Composite 68.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

41 Pr 52000 · Rocky Mound, TX 75686
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured public records · 652 Days on market
Built 1965 2,614 sqft lot $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home on . 06 acres in Woodland Harbor. Open Living concept, spacious from and back porch.

Key facts

  • Mobile home
  • Woodland harbor
  • 2,614 sq ft lot

Tags

MOBILE HOMEWOODLAND HARBOR

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 1.1% in Rocky Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,576 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 652 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 652 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
16.45%
Cash-on-cash
36.28%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.0%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$28,231
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
39.1%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$76,526
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75686

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,386 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $243/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $584
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,900 Active 652 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 651 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 650 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 649 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 648 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 646 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $74,900 Active 645 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 642 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 641 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 640 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 638 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 636 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 635 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 634 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 633 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 632 DOM
  17. 2025-09-04
    price $74,900 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home on . 06 acres in Woodland Harbor. Open Living concept, spacious from and back porch.

  18. 2024-09-05
    listed $80,000 Active 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home on . 06 acres in Woodland Harbor. Open Living concept, spacious from and back porch.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$243 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$1,128/yr (+$94/mo · 464.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,637
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$243
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,331
− Management
−$1,331
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$6,779
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,627
After-tax cash flow
$5,981/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pittsburg ISD
NCES district ID
4835010
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$38,136
Composite
40.87/100
National rank
#3627
State rank
#216 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rocky Mound

Score
43/100
State rank
#1576
US rank
#26922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,427

Population outlook (Camp County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,403 people
By 2030
13,741 · +2.5%
By 2040
14,436 · +7.7%
By 2050
15,135 · +12.9%
By 2075
16,836 · +25.6%
By 2100
17,582 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Black 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Scottish 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camp

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.6) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -53.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.12%
Current HPI
181.5522
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $74,900 GTAR
  • 2024-09-05 Listed $80,000 GTAR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $243 · +20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…