41 Pr 52000 · Rocky Mound, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home on . 06 acres in Woodland Harbor. Open Living concept, spacious from and back porch.
Key facts
- Mobile home
- Woodland harbor
- 2,614 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.5% vs local median 1.1% in Rocky Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,576 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 652 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 652 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.28%
- DSCR
- 2.61
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $28,231
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $76,526
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75686
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,386 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $243/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $634
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 652 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 651 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $74,900 Active 645 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 642 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 641 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 640 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,900 Active 638 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 636 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 635 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 634 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 633 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,900 Active 632 DOM
-
2025-09-04price $74,900 113-char remark
Show marketing remark (113 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home on . 06 acres in Woodland Harbor. Open Living concept, spacious from and back porch.
-
2024-09-05$80,000 Active 113-char remark
Show marketing remark (113 chars)
2 Bedroom 1 Bath Mobile Home on . 06 acres in Woodland Harbor. Open Living concept, spacious from and back porch.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $243 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,371 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,128/yr (+$94/mo · 464.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$243
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,331
- − Management
- −$1,331
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $6,779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,627
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsburg ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835010
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,136
- Composite
- 40.87/100
- National rank
- #3627
- State rank
- #216 of 826 in TX
Livability — Rocky Mound
- Score
- 43/100
- State rank
- #1576
- US rank
- #26922
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,427
Population outlook (Camp County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,403 people
- By 2030
- 13,741 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 14,436 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 15,135 · +12.9%
- By 2075
- 16,836 · +25.6%
- By 2100
- 17,582 · +31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Black 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Scottish 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Camp
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.6) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.12%
- Current HPI
- 181.5522
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-6.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $74,900 GTAR
- 2024-09-05 Listed $80,000 GTAR
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $243 · +20.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…