🏷️ Likely Rental
725 Sutcliffe Ave · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is currently occupied; tenant is on a month-to-month lease. This home is ideal for a cosmetic value add, or an end home buyer who is willing to do small TLC in order to increase the equity.
Key facts
- 0.67 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Bungalow style; 2 stories; Built in 1910
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Unfinished below-grade area
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.67 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Two bedrooms on the first floor; One bedroom on the second floor; First-floor primary bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 1 fireplace; 7 rooms total; 5 closets; Enclosed patio
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,357/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $64k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.72%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714 Dearborn Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (-3%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $67 | 87 |
| 816 Dearborn Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (-3%) | 2mo | $63,500 | $39 | 84 |
| 824 S 36th St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $77 | 73 |
| 718 S 36th St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (+9%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $95 | 73 |
| 817 S 36th St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (-14%) | 7mo | $144,000 | $100 | 65 |
| 636 S 40th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,735 (+3%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $81 | 62 |
| 624 S 39th St | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,596 (-5%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $113 | 60 |
| 634 S 38th St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-11%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $110 | 55 |
| 3712 W Kentucky St | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,877 (+11%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $115 | 54 |
| 913 S 42nd St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,849 (+10%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $124 | 54 |
| 633 S 36th St | 0.27mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,478 (-12%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $101 | 54 |
| 3615 Herman St | 0.73mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,897 (+12%) | 3mo | $102,000 | $54 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $16,453
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $63,053
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,357 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $896/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 S 35th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1486 | $1,350 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 823 S 38th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 652 S 37th St #9 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 814 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 737 S 33rd St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1356 | $1,595 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 722 S 40th St Unit NA Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 627 S 38th St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,349 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 628 S 39th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1448 | $1,220 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 820 Hazel St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,395 | $0.75 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 836 S 41st St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 644 S 40th St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 803 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1165 | $1,449 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3819 River Park Dr Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,090 | $0.98 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3922 River Park Dr Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,195 | $0.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 714 S 42nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1078 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 663 S 43rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,250 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2821 Greenwood Ave #1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4129 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4221 Sunset Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,199 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2711 W Kentucky St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $1,100 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit B Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $895 | $0.78 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2634 Garland Ave Unit A Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $940 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2708 Greenwood Ave Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 247 Cecil Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,305 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2913 Dumesnil St Apt 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $740 | $0.67 | 10d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2706 Hale Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2416 Garland Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 106 N 40th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,220 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 127 N 40th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,570 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1339 S 28th St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4514 Winnrose Way Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 430 S 24th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2319 W Muhammad Ali Blvd Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1644 | $1,300 | $0.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,999 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $94,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $99,999
-
2026-04-01price $104,999
-
2026-03-03$109,999 Active
-
2007-11-02soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$896
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,302
- − Management
- −$1,302
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,219
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,013
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+56.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $99,999 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $104,999 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $109,999 Metro Search MLS
- 2007-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $896 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…