Duplex
8703-8705 Vista De Nubes · Converse, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +6.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$395,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Turnkey duplex opportunity in Judson Heights, recently refreshed and ready for immediate lease-up. Each unit features an open-concept layout with a spacious living area flowing into the kitchen and dining space, a convenient downstairs half bath, and all bedrooms upstairs, including a primary suite with a full bath. Both units (8703-8705) have been fully updated with fresh interior paint, new carpet, new wood decks, and new toilets, offering a clean, move-in ready feel that minimizes upfront costs for the next owner. Previously leased at $1,350 per unit, the property presents a projected gross annual income of $32,400. With estimated operating expenses of approximately $11,000-$13,000 annually (including property taxes of $9,800), the projected net operating income ranges from approximately $20,000-$22,600. Ideally located near shopping, dining, schools, Converse City Park, and Randolph AFB, with easy access to Loop 1604, this property is well-positioned for consistent rental demand. Whether you're looking to start or grow your portfolio, this is a strong opportunity with immediate leasing potential and minimal upfront work. Buyer to independently verify all income and expenses.
Key facts
- New carpet
- Fully updated
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $395k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($394/yr) — positive. Per door: $16/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $350k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
- Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1152 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,497/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1732% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.36%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $383,676
- List price
- $395,000
- Delta
- 2.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8702 Azul Sky | 0.09mi | 6/5.0 | 2,772 (-9%) | 6mo | $379,999 | $137 | 73 |
| 7218 7220 Colina Way | 0.08mi | 6/5.0 | 2,674 (-12%) | 17mo | $389,000 | $145 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-72,109
- Equity at exit
- $58,896
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-99,486
- Equity at exit
- $34,152
Cash invested: $110,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78109
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1152
- Price-to-rent
- 18.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,497 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,071
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$494 /mo · $5,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$165
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$734
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 3.5 | $3,498 |
| #1 | 3 | 3.5 | $1,749 |
| #2 | 3 | 3.5 | $1,749 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,497 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $98,750
- Closing costs
- $11,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6911 Waterfall Pass Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2109 | $1,840 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8223 Maple Meadow Dr Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2330 | $1,595 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 9019 Gore Cres Converse, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2058 | $2,960 | $1.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 9206 Foxing Blfs Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2544 | $2,295 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6622 Aglet Aly Converse, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2723 | $2,300 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9142 Canvas Run Converse, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2544 | $2,595 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9338 Espadrille Run Converse, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2543 | $2,197 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5735 Cool River Way San Antonio, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2059 | $2,142 | $1.04 | 1d | 5 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $395,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $395,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $395,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $395,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $395,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $395,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $395,000 Price Change 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $395,000 Price Change 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $395,000 Price Change 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $395,000 Price Change 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $395,000 Price Change 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $395,000 Price Change 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $395,000 Price Change 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$415,000 New 1197-char remark
Show marketing remark (1197 chars)
Turnkey duplex opportunity in Judson Heights, recently refreshed and ready for immediate lease-up. Each unit features an open-concept layout with a spacious living area flowing into the kitchen and dining space, a convenient downstairs half bath, and all bedrooms upstairs, including a primary suite with a full bath. Both units (8703-8705) have been fully updated with fresh interior paint, new carpet, new wood decks, and new toilets, offering a clean, move-in ready feel that minimizes upfront costs for the next owner. Previously leased at $1,350 per unit, the property presents a projected gross annual income of $32,400. With estimated operating expenses of approximately $11,000-$13,000 annually (including property taxes of $9,800), the projected net operating income ranges from approximately $20,000-$22,600. Ideally located near shopping, dining, schools, Converse City Park, and Randolph AFB, with easy access to Loop 1604, this property is well-positioned for consistent rental demand. Whether you're looking to start or grow your portfolio, this is a strong opportunity with immediate leasing potential and minimal upfront work. Buyer to independently verify all income and expenses.
-
2016-07-15soldstatus Sold 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
New construction completed Oct 2014! Open floor plan. Each unit has 3 bedrooms (all upstairs), 2 full bathrooms up, & powder bath down. Granite counter tops in kitchen & bathrooms. Range, microwave, & dishwasher. Ceramic tile floors in entry, kitchen & bathrooms, carpet in living & bedrooms. Ceiling fan in living & master bdrm. 6' wood privacy fence. Close to nearby Randolph Air Force Base, shopping, restaurants, & minutes to Ft. Sam Houston. Photos are unit prior to tenant moving in.
-
2016-07-11status Pending 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
New construction completed Oct 2014! Open floor plan. Each unit has 3 bedrooms (all upstairs), 2 full bathrooms up, & powder bath down. Granite counter tops in kitchen & bathrooms. Range, microwave, & dishwasher. Ceramic tile floors in entry, kitchen & bathrooms, carpet in living & bedrooms. Ceiling fan in living & master bdrm. 6' wood privacy fence. Close to nearby Randolph Air Force Base, shopping, restaurants, & minutes to Ft. Sam Houston. Photos are unit prior to tenant moving in.
-
2016-06-05historical Active Option 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
New construction completed Oct 2014! Open floor plan. Each unit has 3 bedrooms (all upstairs), 2 full bathrooms up, & powder bath down. Granite counter tops in kitchen & bathrooms. Range, microwave, & dishwasher. Ceramic tile floors in entry, kitchen & bathrooms, carpet in living & bedrooms. Ceiling fan in living & master bdrm. 6' wood privacy fence. Close to nearby Randolph Air Force Base, shopping, restaurants, & minutes to Ft. Sam Houston. Photos are unit prior to tenant moving in.
-
2016-05-16$289,900 New 517-char remark
Show marketing remark (517 chars)
New construction completed Oct 2014! Open floor plan. Each unit has 3 bedrooms (all upstairs), 2 full bathrooms up, & powder bath down. Granite counter tops in kitchen & bathrooms. Range, microwave, & dishwasher. Ceramic tile floors in entry, kitchen & bathrooms, carpet in living & bedrooms. Ceiling fan in living & master bdrm. 6' wood privacy fence. Close to nearby Randolph Air Force Base, shopping, restaurants, & minutes to Ft. Sam Houston. Photos are unit prior to tenant moving in.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,126
- − Property taxes
- −$5,925
- − Insurance
- −$1,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,357
- − Management
- −$3,357
- − Depreciation
- −$11,491
- Taxable loss
- −$6,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,504
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,899/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Judson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824990
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,542
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7689
- State rank
- #660 of 826 in TX
Livability — Converse
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #649
- US rank
- #12250
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Converse, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 63,067
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,067
- Household income
- $91,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1732.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.02%
- Current HPI
- 236.4923
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.08%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+43.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $415,000 LERA
- 2016-07-15 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2016-07-11 Pending — LERA
- 2016-06-05 Contingent — LERA
- 2016-05-16 Listed $289,900 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…