201 W Parmenter St · Newburgh, NY 12550

$280,000

7 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 156 Days on market

Built 1930 3,049 sqft lot $161/sqft · 49% below area Est $548k · 49% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 2 Family. Great for a investor or owner occupancy. Upstairs has4 Bedrooms, kitchen, living room and full bath. Downstairs has 3 Bedrooms, kitchen, living room and full bath. All separate utilities (electric and gas), hardwoods throughout. Fenced in yard.

Key facts

• Hardwoods throughout
• Fenced in yard
• 3,049 sq ft lot

Tags

• FENCED IN YARD
• HARDWOODS THROUGHOUT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $778/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $280k).
• Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 4.4% in Newburgh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
• Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 383 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,857/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2412% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $150k; list at $280k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $246,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.73% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.82%
• DSCR: 2.06
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $547,525
• List price: $280,000
• Delta: -48.86%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
22 City Ter	0.32mi	6/4.0 (-1)	1,891 (+9%)	3mo	$80,000	$42	55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.54×
• Total profit: $42,721
• Equity at exit: $41,749

10-year hold

• IRR: 20.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.55×
• Total profit: $121,723
• Equity at exit: $24,209

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12550

• Home prices YoY: -33.3%
• Rents YoY: 0.6%
• Active inventory: 383
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,857 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,468
• Tax from tax record: −$696 /mo · $8,348/yr
• Insurance: −$117
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,020
• Net cashflow: $1,556

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,887

Max offer price $280,000

Occupancy floor 63%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	4	1	$4,858
Total (2 units)			$4,857

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $70,000
• Closing costs: $8,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $280,000 Active 156 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $280,000 Active 155 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $280,000 Active 154 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $280,000 Active 153 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $280,000 Active 151 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $280,000 Active 150 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $280,000 Active 148 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $280,000 Active 147 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $280,000 Active 146 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $280,000 Active 145 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $280,000 Active 141 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $280,000 Active 140 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $280,000 Active 139 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $280,000 Active 138 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $280,000 Active 137 DOM
16. 2026-01-12
    listed $280,000 Active 263-char remark

    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Spacious 2 Family. Great for a investor or owner occupancy. Upstairs has4 Bedrooms, kitchen, living room and full bath. Downstairs has 3 Bedrooms, kitchen, living room and full bath. All separate utilities (electric and gas), hardwoods throughout. Fenced in yard.

17. 2021-06-14
    soldstatus $150,000
18. 2012-10-31
    historical
19. 2012-10-31
    historical
20. 2012-04-10
    listed $124,900
21. 2012-04-10
    listed
22. 2010-09-23
    listed $124,900
23. 2007-04-05
    soldstatus $215,000
24. 2004-08-27
    soldstatus $148,500
25. 2003-07-11
    soldstatus $92,220
26. 2002-06-10
    soldstatus $95,000
27. 2002-06-01
    price $105,000
28. 2002-06-01
    historical
29. 2002-04-24
    listed $95,000
30. 1986-09-05
    soldstatus $58,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $8,348 · $696/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $8,348 · $696/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $58,284
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,684
• − Property taxes: −$8,348
• − Insurance: −$1,400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,663
• − Management: −$4,663
• − Depreciation: −$8,145
• Taxable income: $15,380
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,691
• After-tax cash flow: $14,984/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Newburgh City School District
• NCES district ID: 3620700
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $56,387
• Composite: 35.46/100
• National rank: #4927
• State rank: #500 of 590 in NY

Livability — Newburgh

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #878
• US rank: #17021

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime F Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Newburgh, NY
• County: Orange County · 267,004 people
• City population: 55,152
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• Population (ZIP): 55,152
• Household income: $85,697
• Rent vs Own: 44.2% rent · 55.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2412.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 379,830 people
• By 2030: 378,955 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 375,444 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 369,311 · -2.8%
• By 2075: 354,233 · -6.7%
• By 2100: 318,150 · -16.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -151.93%
• Current HPI: 304.1046
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.63%
• Metro: Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+375.4% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-12 Listed $280,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
• 2012-10-31 Delisted — HGMLS
• 2012-10-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2012-04-10 Listed — HGMLS
• 2012-04-10 Listed $124,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2010-09-23 Listed $124,900 HVCRMLS
• 2007-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
• 2004-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $148,500 Public Records
• 2003-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $92,220 Public Records
• 2002-06-10 Sold (MLS) $95,000 HGMLS
• 2002-06-01 Delisted — HGMLS
• 2002-06-01 Price Changed $105,000 HGMLS
• 2002-04-24 Listed $95,000 HGMLS
• 1986-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $58,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,348 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.