7419 Buttercup Ct · Maineville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready! This gorgeous home has vltd grt rm, hdwd flrs, upgrd kit w/mpl cabs, granite cntrs, SS appl, vltd mstr bdrm w/lux bth & huge w/i clst! Soundprf bsmt rec rm w/o to treed yrd! CDS! Upscale V-O-G ammen! Home Warranty!
Key facts
- Cul-de-sac lot
- Hardwood flooring
- Open floorplan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning; Lot less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.322 acres)
- HOA & community: HOA present with annual fee of $810; Association amenities include clubhouse, landscaping, pool, tennis courts, and walking trails; Association dues included
Exterior
- Parking: Built-in side-entry garage; 2 garage spaces; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Single-family home; Traditional architectural style; Two levels; Poured foundation
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Deck; Porch; One gas fireplace
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Walkout access from the kitchen; Wood cabinets; Wood flooring; Marble/Granite/Slate surfaces
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 2 (20 x 12); Second bedroom on level 2 (14 x 13); Third bedroom on level 2 (13 x 11)
- Flooring: Wood floors in kitchen, dining room, entry, and living area; Wall-to-wall carpet in den/study and basement
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on level 2); One partial bathroom on level 1; Primary bathroom with shower and tub
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
- Interior features: Multi-panel doors; Vaulted ceiling; Finished walkout basement with wall-to-wall carpet; Fireplace (gas)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on level 1 (8 x 5); Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $384k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $342k (14.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $342k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Maineville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#529 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $203k; list at $400k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.95%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $442,683
- List price
- $400,000
- Delta
- -3.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7606 Harwood Ct | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 2,623 (-10%) | 2mo | $460,000 | $175 | 72 |
| 1448 Soaring Way | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,746 (-5%) | 1mo | $515,000 | $188 | 69 |
| 7000 Quellin Blvd | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 2,857 (-1%) | 1mo | $614,900 | $215 | 67 |
| 1123 Carrington Pl | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 | 2,496 (-14%) | 2mo | $465,000 | $186 | 64 |
| 1200 Carrington Pl | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,480 (-14%) | 1mo | $378,000 | $152 | 62 |
| 7173 Birkdale Dr | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 2,555 (-12%) | 0mo | $495,000 | $194 | 61 |
| 1236 Sinclair Dr | 0.29mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,132 (+8%) | 0mo | $525,000 | $168 | 60 |
| 7009 Briarcliff Ct | 0.57mi | 4/3.5 | 3,100 (+7%) | 1mo | $620,000 | $200 | 57 |
| 1479 Englewood Ct | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 3,205 (+11%) | 2mo | $540,000 | $168 | 55 |
| 7673 Hempston Cir | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 3,071 (+6%) | 0mo | $460,000 | $150 | 51 |
| 616 Haybrooke Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 3,245 (+12%) | 0mo | $475,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 794 Owls Nest Ct | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,520 (-13%) | 2mo | $382,500 | $152 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $228,155
- Equity at exit
- $360,352
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.38×
- Total profit
- $714,852
- Equity at exit
- $777,112
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45039
- Home prices YoY
- 7.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,415 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$454 /mo · $5,446/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$68
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$717
- Net cashflow
- $-88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $138 | -5% $25 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-202 | +10% $-315 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-358 | -5% $-223 | +0% $-88 | +5% $47 | +10% $181 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $13 | base $-88 | +0.5pp $-192 | +1.0pp $-297 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1256 Carrington Pl Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3000 | $2,521 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7814 Wilderness Way Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2140 | $2,671 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 6976 Briarcliff Ct Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2475 | $3,595 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6965 Quellin Blvd Maineville, OH | 5.0 | 2.5 | 3640 | $7,500 | $2.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 7831 Healy Dr Maineville, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2084 | $2,671 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $68 · $816/yr
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $400,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $425,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $425,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $425,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $425,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $425,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $425,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $425,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$425,000 Active 469-char remark
-
2011-12-29soldstatus $202,900
-
2011-12-16soldstatus $202,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Move in ready! This gorgeous home has vltd grt rm, hdwd flrs, upgrd kit w/mpl cabs, granite cntrs, SS appl, vltd mstr bdrm w/lux bth & huge w/i clst! Soundprf bsmt rec rm w/o to treed yrd! CDS! Upscale V-O-G ammen! Home Warranty!
-
2011-09-02historical
-
2011-08-31$209,500 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Move in ready! This gorgeous home has vltd grt rm, hdwd flrs, upgrd kit w/mpl cabs, granite cntrs, SS appl, vltd mstr bdrm w/lux bth & huge w/i clst! Soundprf bsmt rec rm w/o to treed yrd! CDS! Upscale V-O-G ammen! Home Warranty!
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2011-05-07$212,900
-
2006-08-07soldstatus $226,500
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2006-08-07soldstatus $226,500
-
2006-07-18soldstatus $226,500
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2006-03-18$229,900
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2002-10-23soldstatus $205,000
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2002-10-23soldstatus $205,000
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2002-10-17soldstatus $205,000
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2002-07-16$210,000
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2002-07-16historical
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2002-05-15$214,900
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2000-06-16soldstatus $98,900
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1998-10-07soldstatus $135,366
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,446 · $454/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,843 · $487/mo
- Expected delta
- +$397/yr (+$33/mo · 7.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$5,446
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,278
- − Management
- −$3,278
- − HOA
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$7,881
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,892
- After-tax cash flow
- $832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Miami Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905044
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,949
- Composite
- 60.5/100
- National rank
- #844
- State rank
- #140 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maineville
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #529
- US rank
- #9001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Warren County · 196,906 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,335
- Household income
- $108,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.63%
- Current HPI
- 568.09
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.42%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+214.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $425,000 Cincy MLS
- 2011-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $202,900 Public Records
- 2011-12-16 Sold (MLS) $202,900 Cincy MLS
- 2011-09-02 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2011-08-31 Listed $209,500 Cincy MLS
- 2011-05-07 Listed $212,900 Cincy MLS
- 2006-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
- 2006-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
- 2006-07-18 Sold (MLS) $226,500 Cincy MLS
- 2006-03-18 Listed $229,900 Cincy MLS
- 2002-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2002-10-17 Sold (MLS) $205,000 Cincy MLS
- 2002-07-16 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2002-07-16 Listed $210,000 Cincy MLS
- 2002-05-15 Listed $214,900 Cincy MLS
- 2000-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $98,900 Public Records
- 1998-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $135,366 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,446 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…