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619 N Willow St
D+ Composite 47.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$115,000

619 N Willow St · Lehigh, OK 74556
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market
Built 2011 1.60 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2011 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home located on approx. 2 acres in Lehigh. Property features a private pond and open land with plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment. Ideal for buyers wanting space for hobbies, animals, or future improvements. Affordable opportunity to own acreage with water.

Key facts

  • Open land
  • Room for hobbies
  • Private pond

Tags

PRIVATE PONDOPEN LANDROOM FOR HOBBIESROOM FOR ANIMALSACREAGE WITH WATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($682/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (6.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#600 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Coalgate (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #126 of 270 in OK (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Coal County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coal County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $107,793 (6.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.12%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$17,489
Equity at exit
$51,709
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$57,227
Equity at exit
$79,690

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74556

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,078 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-03-11
    status Pending
  16. 2026-02-21
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,935
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,035
− Management
−$1,035
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$1,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$293
After-tax cash flow
$975/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coalgate
NCES district ID
4008130
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$34,406
Composite
20.53/100
National rank
#8565
State rank
#126 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lehigh

Score
54/100
State rank
#600
US rank
#24148

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh, OK
Population (ZIP)
283

Population outlook (Coal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,190 people
By 2030
4,951 · -4.6%
By 2040
4,507 · -13.2%
By 2050
4,186 · -19.3%
By 2075
4,057 · -21.8%
By 2100
4,331 · -16.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% European 5% Lithuanian 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Coal

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 13.6% · R 84.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.1pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.0 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+47.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-11 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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