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4013 2nd Ave
B Composite 72.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,500

4013 2nd Ave · Des Moines, IA 50313
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 790 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1939 6,950 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Have you been looking to add to your investment portfolio? This is the perfect opportunity!

Key facts

  • 6,950 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1939

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
  • Cap rate 30.1% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #595 of 616 statewide, top 97%, 243 students, 90% FRL); Harding Middle School (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #245 of 246 statewide, top 100%, 655 students, 90% FRL); North High School (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #326 of 336 statewide, top 97%, 1,458 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 63% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.38%
Cap rate
30.06%
Cash-on-cash
84.87%
DSCR
4.78
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$177,750
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3906 Cornell St 0.26mi 2/1.0 768 (-3%) 1mo $85,000 $111 82
921 Madison Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 780 (-1%) 1mo $192,400 $247 70
4012 7th St 0.34mi 2/2.0 734 (-7%) 0mo $165,000 $225 68
616 E Ovid Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 780 (-1%) 1mo $185,000 $237 65
511 Ovid Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 736 (-7%) 0mo $152,500 $207 62
3308 Cambridge St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 816 (+3%) 1mo $169,900 $208 61
3914 E 8th St 0.58mi 2/1.5 744 (-6%) 1mo $175,000 $235 61
4030 8th Pl 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 842 (+7%) 1mo $171,000 $203 59
796 E Aurora Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 843 (+7%) 1mo $158,000 $187 58
3701 Amherst St 0.56mi 2/1.0 704 (-11%) 1mo $118,500 $168 55
3809 11th St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 857 (+8%) 1mo $239,900 $280 46
1106 Douglas Ave 0.73mi 2/2.0 884 (+12%) 0mo $226,685 $256 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
90.9%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$41,550
Equity at exit
$4,846
10-year hold
IRR
94.9%
Equity multiple
13.69×
Total profit
$115,466
Equity at exit
$2,810

Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50313

Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,099 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$170
Tax est. 1.5%
$41 /mo · $488/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$644

Break-even live

Break-even rent $284
Max offer price $32,500
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $666 -5% $655 +0% $644 +5% $632 +10% $621
Rent -10% $557 -5% $600 +0% $644 +5% $687 +10% $730
Rate -1.0pp $660 -0.5pp $652 base $644 +0.5pp $635 +1.0pp $627

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,125
Closing costs
$975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4124 3rd St Des Moines, IA 3.0 1.0 996 $1,595 $1.60 16d 1 0.15mi
3905 8th St Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 675 $895 $1.33 25d 1 0.40mi
3623 Cambridge St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 732 $1,145 $1.56 21d 1 0.43mi
3419 1st St Unit 2 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 546 $650 $1.19 46d 1 0.52mi
1108 E Seneca Ave Apt 5 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 680 $647 $0.95 25d 1 0.80mi
1108 E Seneca Ave Apt 1 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 680 $647 $0.95 46d 1 0.81mi
1124 E Seneca Ave Apt 8 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 550 $597 $1.09 46d 1 0.83mi
1124 E Seneca Ave Apt 6 Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 550 $597 $1.09 25d 1 0.83mi
3103 E 7th St Des Moines, IA 2.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 46d 1 0.92mi
3315 E 15th St Des Moines, IA 1.0 1.0 610 $785 $1.29 23d 2 1.33mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-10
    listed $32,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,188
− Mortgage interest
−$1,821
− Property taxes
−$488
− Insurance
−$162
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− Depreciation
−$945
Taxable income
$7,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,839
After-tax cash flow
$5,884/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Des Moines Independent Community School District
NCES district ID
1908970
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,905
Composite
37.83/100
National rank
#4331
State rank
#289 of 289 in IA

Livability — Des Moines

Score
81/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#1432

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Des Moines, IA
County
Polk County · 453,298 people
City population
203,612
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,440
Household income
$68,361
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
454.0

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
548,042 people
By 2030
588,557 · +7.4%
By 2040
670,629 · +22.4%
By 2050
752,830 · +37.4%
By 2075
955,069 · +74.3%
By 2100
1,115,436 · +103.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Portuguese 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.17%
Current HPI
285.5708
Rent YoY
▲ 13.11%
Metro
Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending DMMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $32,500 DMMLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,198 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…