🏗️ New Construction
The Coleman Plan · Kingston, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$272,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Breakfast nook
- Kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $273k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (4.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#294 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kingston Elementary School (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #926 of 1,228 statewide, top 76%, 526 students, 68% FRL); Cass Middle School (math 35% / reading 36%, grade F, #185 of 470 statewide, top 40%, 879 students, 58% FRL); Cass High School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,551 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 213 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 634 days — a 12% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 634 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.18%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,950
- List price
- $272,990
- Delta
- -6.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 812 Kensington St | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 1mo | $323,900 | $145 | 72 |
| 846 Kensington St | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 1,813 (-12%) | 5mo | $334,339 | $184 | 72 |
| 850 Kensington St | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 | 1,813 (-12%) | 7mo | $322,950 | $178 | 72 |
| 809 Kensington St | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,813 (-12%) | 3mo | $269,400 | $149 | 71 |
| 840 Kensington St | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,813 (-12%) | 6mo | $285,900 | $158 | 66 |
| 95 Oxford Ln | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 | 2,192 (+7%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $139 | 65 |
| 815 Kensington St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,770 (-14%) | 4mo | $313,040 | $177 | 62 |
| 109 Oxford Ln | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 1,808 (-12%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $160 | 58 |
| 529 Pemberton St | 0.33mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,232 (+9%) | 8mo | $306,000 | $137 | 56 |
| 93 Oxford Ln | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 1,808 (-12%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $158 | 56 |
| 521 Pemberton St | 0.39mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,232 (+9%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 65 Oxford Ln | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,192 (+7%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $135 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-60,876
- Equity at exit
- $43,382
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-70,593
- Equity at exit
- $25,156
Cash invested: $81,466 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 18 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.8 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $289,995 ($146/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 87 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -3.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30145
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,272 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,526
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$364 /mo · $4,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $-216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-15 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-216 | +5% $-317 | +10% $-417 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-396 | -5% $-306 | +0% $-216 | +5% $-126 | +10% $-37 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-70 | -0.5pp $-142 | base $-216 | +0.5pp $-291 | +1.0pp $-368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,738
- Closing costs
- $8,728
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1774 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 133 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1774 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 133 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1774 | $2,300 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 556 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $2,250 | $1.40 | 184d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 128 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 113d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 126 Oxford Ln Kingston, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2232 | $2,695 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 626 Tudor St Euharlee, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2232 | $2,695 | $1.21 | 113d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 542 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $2,500 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 522 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1779 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 184d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 518 Pemberton St Euharlee, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1808 | $2,500 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 538 Pemberton St Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1808 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 184d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 210 Coventry Ct Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2014 | $1,889 | $0.94 | 121d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 10 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 184d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2009 | $1,945 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2009 | $1,986 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 8 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2009 | $1,945 | $0.97 | 10d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3 Plymouth Ct Kingston, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1818 | $1,861 | $1.02 | 29d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-11-08days on market $272,990 Active 634 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $272,990 Active 633 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $272,990 Active 632 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $272,990 Active 631 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $272,990 Active 630 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $272,990 Active 628 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $272,990 Active 627 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $272,990 Active 626 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $272,990 Active 625 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $272,990 Active 624 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $272,990 Active 623 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $272,990 Active 622 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $272,990 Active 621 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $272,990 Active 620 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $272,990 Active 619 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $272,990 Active 618 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $272,990 Active 617 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $272,990 Active 616 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $272,990 Active 615 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $272,990 Active 614 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $272,990 Active 613 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $272,990 Active 612 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $272,990 Active 611 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $272,990 Active 610 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $272,990 Active 609 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $272,990 Active 608 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $272,990 Active 607 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $272,990 Active 606 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $272,990 Active 605 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $272,990 Active 604 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $272,990 Active 603 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $272,990 Active 602 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $272,990 Active 601 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $272,990 Active 600 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $272,990 Active 599 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $272,990 Active 598 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $272,990 Active 597 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $272,990 Active 596 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $272,990 Active 595 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $272,990 Active 594 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $272,990 Active 593 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $272,990 Active 592 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $272,990 Active 591 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $272,990 Active 590 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $272,990 Active 589 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $272,990 Active 588 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $272,990 Active 587 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $272,990 Active 586 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $272,990 Active 585 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $272,990 Active 584 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,298
- − Property taxes
- −$4,364
- − Insurance
- −$1,455
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$8,464
- Taxable loss
- −$7,683
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,844
- After-tax cash flow
- $-749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It's move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping to enhance its curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Landscaping front yard — Improves curb appeal ↑
- Rental Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Reduces utility costs ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300330
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,596
- Composite
- 29.16/100
- National rank
- #6577
- State rank
- #70 of 174 in GA
Livability — Kingston
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #16075
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingston, GA
- County
- Bartow · 107,887 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,065
- Household income
- $73,995
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1% of renters
Population outlook (Bartow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,887 people
- By 2030
- 109,594 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 111,038 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 109,046 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 99,484 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 83,431 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bartow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.2% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.2pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+51.7 2008: R+45.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.20%
- Current HPI
- 282.8922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $289,900 Zillow
- 2025-02-12 Listed $304,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…