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1711 Maine St
B Composite 74.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

1711 Maine St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,161 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1909 5,663 sqft lot Est $75k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tired of paying rent? Come check out this three bedroom, one and half baths home ready for new owners. Spacious living room, large eat in kitchen with refrigerator and stove, formal dining room for those large family dinner's. One bedroom, laundry and bath on the main floor. Extra 11 x 6 loft area upstairs would make a great computer room. Main bath has jacuzzie tub. Fenced yard, detached garage and extra lot completes this setting. Call now!

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1909

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential, single-family
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached assigned garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Residential zoning; Subdivision: GROUTS ADDITION; Cross streets: Wheeler and Maple
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built above-grade finished area of about 1,161 (finished on main levels)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Oven; Refrigerator; Range; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 8.2% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $9k; list at $65k implies a 621% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,006 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.35%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$75,465
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1 Southlawn Ct 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,090 (-6%) 4mo $116,900 $107 76
819 Grove St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,298 (+12%) 3mo $85,000 $65 75
1013 Maple St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,034 (-11%) 2mo $66,000 $64 73
202 S Wheeler St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,228 (+6%) 2mo $96,900 $79 69
1757 Burnham Dr 0.37mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,097 (-6%) 2mo $63,000 $57 66
2116 W Michigan Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,159 (-0%) 4mo $125,000 $108 66
1843 Kendrick St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+12%) 4mo $47,000 $36 64
1514 Marquette St 0.23mi 2/1.5 (-1) 986 (-15%) 2mo $50,000 $51 56
1522 Gilbert St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (-4%) 1mo $67,000 $60 52
1811 Allegan St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,316 (+13%) 3mo $70,000 $53 52
1902 Newberry St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,004 (-14%) 4mo $139,900 $139 44
1511 Osborn St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,041 (-10%) 1mo $90,000 $86 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$13,046
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$44,720
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,026 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,078/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $579
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $390 -5% $372 +0% $354 +5% $335 +10% $317
Rent -10% $273 -5% $313 +0% $354 +5% $394 +10% $435
Rate -1.0pp $386 -0.5pp $370 base $354 +0.5pp $337 +1.0pp $320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1827 Gilbert St Saginaw, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $695 $0.69 44d 1 0.71mi
2021 Grout St Saginaw, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 862 $995 $1.15 44d 1 0.82mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,900 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,900 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,900 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,900 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $64,900 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,900 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-04-22
    price $64,900 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Tired of paying rent? Come check out this three bedroom, one and half baths home ready for new owners. Spacious living room, large eat in kitchen with refrigerator and stove, formal dining room for those large family dinner's. One bedroom, laundry and bath on the main floor. Extra 11 x 6 loft area upstairs would make a great computer room. Main bath has jacuzzie tub. Fenced yard, detached garage and extra lot completes this setting. Call now!

  18. 2026-04-22
    price $64,900
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Tired of paying rent? Come check out this three bedroom, one and half baths home ready for new owners. Spacious living room, large eat in kitchen with refrigerator and stove, formal dining room for those large family dinner's. One bedroom, laundry and bath on the main floor. Extra 11 x 6 loft area upstairs would make a great computer room. Main bath has jacuzzie tub. Fenced yard, detached garage and extra lot completes this setting. Call now!

  19. 2026-04-08
    listed $67,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Tired of paying rent? Come check out this three bedroom, one and half baths home ready for new owners. Spacious living room, large eat in kitchen with refrigerator and stove, formal dining room for those large family dinner's. One bedroom, laundry and bath on the main floor. Extra 11 x 6 loft area upstairs would make a great computer room. Main bath has jacuzzie tub. Fenced yard, detached garage and extra lot completes this setting. Call now!

  20. 2026-04-08
    listed $67,900 Active 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Tired of paying rent? Come check out this three bedroom, one and half baths home ready for new owners. Spacious living room, large eat in kitchen with refrigerator and stove, formal dining room for those large family dinner's. One bedroom, laundry and bath on the main floor. Extra 11 x 6 loft area upstairs would make a great computer room. Main bath has jacuzzie tub. Fenced yard, detached garage and extra lot completes this setting. Call now!

  21. 2011-07-31
    historical
  22. 2011-07-31
    historical
  23. 2009-12-05
    listed $59,900
  24. 2009-12-05
    listed $59,900
  25. 2007-03-09
    historical
  26. 2007-03-09
    historical
  27. 2006-06-10
    listed $69,900
  28. 2006-06-10
    listed $69,900
  29. 2003-04-04
    soldstatus $9,000
  30. 2003-04-04
    soldstatus $9,000
  31. 2003-03-08
    historical
  32. 2002-11-19
    listed $12,900
  33. 2002-11-19
    listed $12,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,078 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,316
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$1,078
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$985
− Management
−$985
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$3,419
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$821
After-tax cash flow
$3,422/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+403.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $67,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $67,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-07-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-07-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-12-05 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-12-05 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-03-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-03-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-10 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-06-10 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-04 Sold (MLS) $9,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-04 Sold (MLS) $9,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-03-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-11-19 Listed $12,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-19 Listed $12,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,078 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…