1513 Bancroft Ave · Montgomery, AL 36116

$50,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,648 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1964 0.28 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Sold before print.

Key facts

• 0.28 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1964

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Cap rate 25.0% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
• Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.89% ✓
• Cap rate: 25.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 66.90%
• DSCR: 3.98
• GRM: 2.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $135,136
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4712 Falcon Ln	0.54mi	3/2.0	1,636 (-1%)	9mo	$132,000	$81	66
1160 Queensbury Dr	0.39mi	3/2.0	1,734 (+5%)	8mo	$115,000	$66	66
1384 Devonshire Dr	0.23mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,458 (-12%)	6mo	$120,000	$82	60
1712 Marlowe Dr	0.60mi	3/2.0	1,530 (-7%)	2mo	$150,000	$98	58
1202 Devonshire Dr	0.38mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,437 (-13%)	2mo	$143,000	$100	55
1063 Druid Hills Dr	0.64mi	3/3.0	1,550 (-6%)	4mo	$61,000	$39	53
829 Leicester Dr	0.71mi	3/2.0	1,774 (+8%)	3mo	$50,000	$28	51
1152 Woodbridge Dr	0.54mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,529 (-7%)	8mo	$135,000	$88	51
4512 Delray Rd	0.58mi	3/2.0	1,500 (-9%)	9mo	$125,000	$83	51
836 Wesley Dr	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,458 (-12%)	3mo	$125,000	$86	47
1180 Freemont Dr	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,805 (+10%)	7mo	$130,000	$72	46
2103 Mona Lisa Dr	0.73mi	3/1.5	1,836 (+11%)	4mo	$123,000	$67	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 69.3%
• Equity multiple: 4.26×
• Total profit: $45,600
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 74.1%
• Equity multiple: 9.64×
• Total profit: $121,004
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36116

• Home prices YoY: -9.7%
• Rents YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 293
• Price-to-rent: 2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,447 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$79 /mo · $953/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $780

Break-even live

Break-even rent $459

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $809	-5% $795	+0% $780	+5% $766	+10% $752
Rent	-10% $666	-5% $723	+0% $780	+5% $838	+10% $895
Rate	-1.0pp $806	-0.5pp $793	base $780	+0.5pp $768	+1.0pp $754

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 23 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1355 Buckingham Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	1620	$1,650	$1.02	14d	1	0.16mi
1219 Biscayne Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	1.5	1228	$1,295	$1.05	21d	1	0.34mi
1434 E Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	2237	$1,475	$0.66	44d	1	0.51mi
4342 Sunshine Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1323	$1,250	$0.94	14d	1	0.52mi
1114 Druid Hills Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1192	$1,250	$1.05	21d	1	0.57mi
915 Queensbury Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	1783	$1,500	$0.84	44d	1	0.72mi
2230 Woodley Sq W Montgomery, AL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	902	$898	$1.00	14d	11	0.78mi
1067 Roslyn Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	1760	$1,125	$0.64	21d	1	0.80mi
3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL	2.0	2.0	1749	$900	$0.51	21d	1	1.04mi
3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	1719	$1,650	$0.96	21d	1	1.04mi
548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL	2.0	2.5	1396	$1,000	$0.72	44d	1	1.06mi
1437 Beaumont Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	2029	$1,500	$0.74	44d	1	1.06mi
3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3737 Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,280	$1.22	44d	1	1.06mi
3649 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1266	$1,200	$0.95	21d	1	1.08mi
3737 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1050	$1,280	$1.22	44d	1	1.10mi
3770 Maclamar Rd Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1129	$950	$0.84	21d	1	1.12mi
3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	1.0	1386	$895	$0.65	44d	1	1.17mi
2619 Brantford Pl Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1323	$1,200	$0.91	44d	1	1.31mi
3252 Cheltenham Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1705	$1,200	$0.70	44d	1	1.34mi
3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL	4.0	2.0	2067	$1,575	$0.76	14d	1	1.40mi
3510 Bankhead Ave Montgomery, AL	3.0	3.0	2210	$2,250	$1.02	44d	1	1.45mi
3212 Herbert Dr Montgomery, AL	3.0	2.0	1180	$1,425	$1.21	21d	1	1.45mi
3050 Sutton Dr Montgomery, AL	2.0	2.0	1719	$1,450	$0.84	21d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-07
   historical
2. 2026-04-06
   listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $953 · $79/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $953 · $79/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,361
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$953
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,389
• − Management: −$1,389
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $9,125
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,190
• After-tax cash flow: $7,176/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Montgomery County
• NCES district ID: 0102430
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 31% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $43,902
• Composite: 17.24/100
• National rank: #9093
• State rank: #106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #138
• US rank: #13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Montgomery, AL
• County: Montgomery County · 190,016 people
• City population: 175,913
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• Population (ZIP): 45,250
• Household income: $55,160
• Rent vs Own: 50.8% rent · 49.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2786.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 224,008 people
• By 2030: 221,460 · -1.1%
• By 2040: 214,179 · -4.4%
• By 2050: 204,912 · -8.5%
• By 2075: 177,821 · -20.6%
• By 2100: 145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (80%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -16.31%
• Current HPI: 151.8598
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.65%
• Metro: Montgomery, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-07 Delisted — MAAR
• 2026-04-06 Listed $50,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $953 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.