205 3rd Ave Unit 14H · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
$849,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* Open house by appointment * Welcome to Gramercy Park Towers, a full-service luxury co-op ideally situated in the heart of the historic Gramercy neighborhood. This expansive one-bedroom, one-bath residence, with the potential to be configured as a junior four, is truly a diamond in the rough—an excellent opportunity to renovate and make it your own while adding your personal style and vision. The apartment features a private balcony with captivating city views and offers exceptional potential within a highly desirable building. Residents enjoy an impressive suite of amenities including a modern fitness center, tranquil Zen garden, bike room, 24-hour laundry facilities, and a spectac
Key facts
- Rooftop deck
- Private balcony
- City views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Sub-lease permitted
- Financial info: Flip tax of 2%; Financing options include bank mortgage, cash, and exchange considered; Typical down payment requirement around 20%
- HOA & community: Maintenance/commons fee charged; Managed by Halstead Management Company LLC; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats & dogs; breed, number and weight limits apply)
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (wait-list)
- Utilities: Gas available; Heat included (steam/radiator); Water available
- Home design: Residential property; Unit on the 14th floor; Co-op (shares reported)
- Construction: 304-unit building
- Exterior features: Balcony; Manhattan location near E 18th St and E 19th St; Handicap access available
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley kitchen; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Carpeting; Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; No AC units listed
- Interior features: Elevator; Other built-in features; Bike rooms (building amenity); Card-operated laundry (building amenity)
- Laundry & utility: Card-operated laundry in building
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $849k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-18k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $774k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $774k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 361 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,742/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($154k/yr) (locally 3480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $85k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $79k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$136k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($798k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.56%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.32% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $369,772
- Equity at exit
- $723,018
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $1,258,749
- Equity at exit
- $1,516,751
Cash invested: $237,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10003
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.2%
- Active inventory
- 361
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,742 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,452
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,061 /mo · $12,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,747
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,626
- Net cashflow
- $-1,498
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,250
- Closing costs
- $25,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 E 21st St Unit 8D New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $9,525 | $13.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 290 3rd Ave #279 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 607 | $9,740 | $16.03 | 4d | 2 | 0.19mi |
| 346 E 18th St Unit 1254596P New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 699 | $12,979 | $18.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1 Union Sq S #1174 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $10,120 | $13.06 | 11d | 3 | 0.29mi |
| 209 1st Ave Unit 1370708P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $12,000 | $19.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 101 E 10th St #1153 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 575 | $6,740 | $11.72 | 2d | 2 | 0.40mi |
| 166 2nd Ave Unit 9KK New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $8,100 | $8.53 | 8d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 112 E 10th St Unit 1021937P New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1296 | $5,772 | $4.45 | 4d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 241 5th Ave Unit 11A New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 991 | $8,995 | $9.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3 E 9th St Unit 1541442P New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $11,796 | $10.54 | 5d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 10 E 29th St New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1323 | $6,283 | $4.75 | 1d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 540 6th Ave Unit 6A New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 793 | $8,450 | $10.66 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 101 W 15th St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 562 | $9,550 | $16.98 | 2d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 20 Waterside Plz #978 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $4,760 | $6.98 | 6d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 155 E 31st St #2190 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 725 | $5,610 | $7.74 | 8d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 121 Madison Ave New York, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $7,295 | $7.20 | 8d | 3 | 0.64mi |
| 30 Waterside Plz New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 743 | $5,218 | $7.02 | 2d | 33 | 0.65mi |
| 108 W 15th St #205 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $6,050 | $8.67 | 4d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 230 E 32nd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $5,395 | $6.74 | 16d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 10 5th Ave Unit 1255906P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $12,196 | $12.32 | 5d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 120 W 21st St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 676 | $7,070 | $10.46 | 5d | 14 | 0.66mi |
| 120 W 23rd St #693 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $10,140 | $11.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 130 W 15th St #1383 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $9,200 | $10.90 | 2d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 776 6th Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 756 | $7,743 | $10.24 | 1d | 18 | 0.68mi |
| 43 W 27th St #1055 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $9,940 | $13.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 141 E 33rd St #1278 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 683 | $6,230 | $9.12 | 8d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 309 5th Ave New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 597 | $7,596 | $12.72 | 8d | 13 | 0.74mi |
| 180 W 20th St #1202 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $9,505 | $12.01 | 2d | 3 | 0.74mi |
| 222 E 34th St #999 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 554 | $5,490 | $9.91 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 160 W 24th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 731 | $7,896 | $10.79 | 1d | 12 | 0.79mi |
| 117 W 28th St #1467 New York, NY | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $8,760 | $8.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 399 E 34th St Unit 1025362P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $9,174 | $16.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 401 E 34th St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $5,532 | $6.23 | 2d | 55 | 0.84mi |
| 30 Park Ave #1347 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $7,890 | $8.31 | 2d | 3 | 0.87mi |
| 11 E 1st St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $8,078 | $7.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 41 Park Ave New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $6,555 | $8.04 | 8d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 556 3rd Ave New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $5,240 | $9.03 | 20d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 556 3rd Ave New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $5,635 | $10.44 | 2d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 10 Sheridan Sq #949 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $12,050 | $12.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 229 Chrystie St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $6,120 | $7.56 | 5d | 3 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-03-19$849,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $92,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,557
- − Property taxes
- −$12,735
- − Insurance
- −$4,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,432
- − Management
- −$7,432
- − HOA
- −$20,964
- − Depreciation
- −$24,698
- Taxable loss
- −$32,158
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7,718
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive renovations to bring it up to modern standards, but the location and amenities make it a great investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen appliances — need to replace worn-out appliances
- Major bathroom fixtures — need to replace dated fixtures
- Major flooring — need to replace worn hardwood floors
- Major interior walls/paint — paint peeling, need to repaint
Value-add opportunities
- Resale kitchen appliances — modern appliances enhance appeal
- Resale bathroom fixtures — updated fixtures improve appeal
- Both flooring — new flooring improves both appearance and functionality
- Both interior walls/paint — fresh paint enhances appearance and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen appliances · need to replace worn-out appliances | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · need to replace dated fixtures | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · need to replace worn hardwood floors | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls/paint · paint peeling, need to repaint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale kitchen appliances — modern appliances enhance appeal ↑
- Resale bathroom fixtures — updated fixtures improve appeal ↑
- Both flooring — new flooring improves both appearance and functionality ↑
- Both interior walls/paint — fresh paint enhances appearance and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,560
- Household income
- $154,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3480.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Asian 18% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.32%
- Current HPI
- 284.9232
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.24%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — BNYMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $849,000 BNYMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…