1811 Peyton · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity in downtown Little Rock. See agents remark.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,617/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1553% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.35%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $66,029
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 51.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3705 W 11th | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,161 (-2%) | 5mo | $51,000 | $24 | 64 |
| 2405 S Pine St | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,154 (-2%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $26 | 63 |
| 1817 Fair Park Blvd | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,082 (-5%) | 7mo | $237,000 | $114 | 49 |
| 2020 Fair Park Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 2,091 (-5%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $110 | 48 |
| 908 Lewis St | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,070 (-6%) | 11mo | $152,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 4820 W 29th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,992 (-9%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 1714 Fair Park Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,013 (-8%) | 7mo | $229,900 | $114 | 47 |
| 4614 W 30th St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,956 (-11%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $156 | 41 |
| 3416 W 14th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 2,056 (-6%) | 17mo | $26,000 | $13 | 41 |
| 1413 Fair Park Blvd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,882 (-14%) | 3mo | $203,000 | $108 | 40 |
| 1720 S Harrison | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,938 (-12%) | 16mo | $136,000 | $70 | 40 |
| 3522 W 13th St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,968 (-10%) | 14mo | $142,000 | $72 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $26,126
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 31.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.10×
- Total profit
- $86,713
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,617 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,164/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $615
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4022 W 25th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1674 | $1,025 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3615 W Capitol Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 119 N Monroe St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 100 Linwood Ct Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 100 Linwood Ct Unit NA Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1475 | $1,475 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 223 Linwood Ct Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1702 | $1,695 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 200 Ridgeway Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,950 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4815 Lee Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $2,950 | $2.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 404 N Jackson St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 2113 W 19th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1703 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-02-25price $100,000 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Great investment opportunity in downtown Little Rock. See agents remark.
-
2026-01-28$135,000 New Listing 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Great investment opportunity in downtown Little Rock. See agents remark.
-
2023-10-27historical $1,050
-
2023-10-21price $1,050
-
2023-10-14$1,025
-
2021-06-03soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,410
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,164
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $6,130
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,471
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,906/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
-16.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $100,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $135,000 CARMLS
- 2023-10-27 Rental Removed $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-21 Price Changed $1,050 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-14 Listed for Rent $1,025 APPFOLIO
- 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,164 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…