5009 Deanna Ln · Fort Pierce North, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
OUTSTANDING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY OR AN INEXPENSIVE PLACE TO LIVE FULL OR PART TIME. THIS 2/1.5 MOBILE HOME IS SITUATED ON .17 ACRES WHICH IS OWNED AND NO MAINTENANCE FEES! CITY WATER IS AVAILABLE, CURRENTLY ON WELL WATER. PROPERTY IS TOTALLY FENCED AND HAS A SHED WITH ELECTRIC. THE MOBILE HAS BRAND NEW FLOORING, NEW KITCHEN CABINETS AND COUNTERTOPS AND THE INSIDE WAS FRESHLY PAINTED AND HAS A NEWER WATER HEATER. THERE IS AN 8 X 9 DEN WHICH COULD BE A 3RD BEDROOM. REFRIGERATOR AND RANGE JUST ADDED! JUST A LITTLE MORE TLC AND THIS WOULD BE A GEM. PRICED FOR A VERY QUICK SALE!
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Built 1972
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building area total reported as 1,073 (total building area) and living area reported as 720; Property listed as a mobile home (subtype)
- Financial info: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: No HOA/community details listed
Exterior
- Parking: No carport; No designated parking spaces listed
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Mobile home; Single-story; Faces northeast; Resale condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Tar/gravel roof; Appraiser-sourced building area
- Exterior features: Not on waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom and one half bathroom (two total), one on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Cooling provided by wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: No notable built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry equipment listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $495 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 5.1% in Fort Pierce North — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#480 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.67%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $65,626
- Equity at exit
- $74,836
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.02×
- Total profit
- $168,552
- Equity at exit
- $135,196
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34946
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,674 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,778/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $495
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $563 | -5% $529 | +0% $495 | +5% $461 | +10% $427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $363 | -5% $429 | +0% $495 | +5% $561 | +10% $627 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $555 | -0.5pp $525 | base $495 | +0.5pp $464 | +1.0pp $432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,778 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,778 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,086
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,778
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,607
- − Management
- −$1,607
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $4,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Pierce North
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #8764
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,588
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 34% White 26% Two or more races 18% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.92%
- Current HPI
- 351.3324
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+500.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $120,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-05-05 Rental Removed $1,400 RMLSFL
- 2025-04-18 Price Changed $1,400 RMLSFL
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $1,500 RMLSFL
- 2025-02-07 Listed for Rent $1,600 RMLSFL
- 2023-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Beaches MLS
- 2023-02-19 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2023-02-17 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2023-02-08 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2023-01-23 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2023-01-15 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2023-01-13 Listed $79,900 Beaches MLS
- 2000-01-20 Sold (MLS) $10,000 Beaches MLS
- 1999-11-30 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 1998-07-30 Listed $20,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+11.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,778 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…