18235 S 129th East Ave · Bixby, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is sold in as-is condition, no repairs are to be made by the seller. The property is to be sold as a package with the adjacent property 18.61 acres (MOL). Total package $478,600.00
Key facts
- 0.86 acre lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 321 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Sale requires court approval; Property is unoccupied
- Financial info: Not assumable; Not qualifying for seller financing; Current price listed at $24,500
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Utilities: Homestead exemption claimed
- Home design: Single family residence; One level
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Interior lot; No additional exterior features listed; Property is existing
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $986 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 54.6% vs local median 3.7% in Bixby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#24 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bixby (suburban): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #15 of 270 in OK (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Bixby North Es (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #3 of 845 statewide, top 0%, 716 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Ms (math 37% / reading 30%, grade F, #33 of 345 statewide, top 10%, 1,216 students, 0% FRL); Bixby Hs (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D-, #13 of 447 statewide, top 3%, 2,102 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 19% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 797 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 54.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 172.42%
- DSCR
- 8.67
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.65×
- Total profit
- $59,319
- Equity at exit
- $3,653
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.62×
- Total profit
- $134,605
- Equity at exit
- $2,118
Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74008
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 797
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,448 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$128
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $236/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $986
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,000 | -5% $993 | +0% $986 | +5% $979 | +10% $972 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $871 | -5% $928 | +0% $986 | +5% $1,043 | +10% $1,100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $998 | -0.5pp $992 | base $986 | +0.5pp $979 | +1.0pp $973 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,125
- Closing costs
- $735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-15status Pending
-
2025-05-26$24,500 Active
-
2025-01-31historical
-
2024-06-12$24,500 Active
-
2024-06-05historical
-
2024-05-09status Active
-
2024-02-05status Pending
-
2024-01-04$24,500 Active
-
2023-06-30historical
-
2023-06-29status Active
-
2023-03-16status Pending
-
2023-03-14$15,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $236 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $236 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,372
- − Property taxes
- −$236
- − Insurance
- −$122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,390
- − Management
- −$1,390
- − Depreciation
- −$713
- Taxable income
- $12,153
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,917
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bixby
- NCES district ID
- 4004500
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,727
- Composite
- 34.9/100
- National rank
- #5081
- State rank
- #15 of 270 in OK
Livability — Bixby
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #6029
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 34,006
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,006
- Household income
- $104,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 525.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.20%
- Current HPI
- 195.2538
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+63.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MLSOK
- 2025-05-26 Listed $24,500 MLSOK
- 2025-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2024-06-12 Listed $24,500 MLSOK
- 2024-06-05 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2024-05-09 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2024-02-05 Pending — MLSOK
- 2024-01-04 Listed $24,500 MLSOK
- 2023-06-30 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2023-06-29 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2023-03-16 Pending — MLSOK
- 2023-03-14 Listed $15,000 MLSOK
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $236 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…