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440 Purple Aster St
D Composite 43.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,990

440 Purple Aster St · Youngsville, NC 27596
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,702 sqft · SingleFamily · 51 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 6,316 sqft lot 2-car garage $191/sqft · 19% below area Est $401k · 19% under $35/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* HOME NOT YET STARTED * Buyer has the opportunity to personalize their options on this plan. Buyers can fully personalize this stunning 2-story home to fit their lifestyle: choose structural changes, exterior elevations, interior finishes, homesite location, plus popular options like screened porch, gourmet kitchen, fireplace, upgraded cabinets, premium flooring or quartz counters. Features include 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths + 1/2 bath, & 2-car garage--designed for comfort, function & modern style. Spacious primary suite with large owner's bath & oversized walk-in closet--a true retreat.

Key facts

  • Premium flooring
  • Quartz counters
  • Gourmet kitchen

Tags

SCREENED PORCHGOURMET KITCHENFIREPLACEUPGRADED CABINETSPREMIUM FLOORINGQUARTZ COUNTERS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (16.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (25.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $241k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.3% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#184 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Franklin County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Long Mill Elementary (math 40% / reading 34%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 403 students, 58% FRL); Cedar Creek Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #292 of 475 statewide, top 62%, 515 students, 54% FRL); Franklinton High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 1,182 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $241,013 (25.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.97%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$401,116
List price
$324,990
Delta
-18.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
695 Purple Aster St 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,702 (0%) 0mo $376,982 $221 91
230 Purple Aster St St 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,773 (+4%) 6mo $365,000 $206 81
95 Button Bush Ln 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,448 (-15%) 1mo $337,000 $233 70
45 Iris Dr 0.24mi 3/2.5 1,784 (+5%) 15mo $370,000 $207 68
370 Purple Aster St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-8%) 19mo $372,258 $239 65
80 Scarlet Bell Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,881 (+10%) 13mo $370,000 $197 57
20 Sweet Birch Row 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,867 (+10%) 14mo $412,000 $221 56
105 Shooting Star Trail Trl 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,470 (-14%) 22mo $351,615 $239 54
24 Sweet Birch Row 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,902 (+12%) 15mo $430,000 $226 52
8 Larkspur Ct 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,875 (+10%) 8mo $361,000 $193 51
47 Scarlet Bell Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,880 (+10%) 14mo $402,000 $214 51
3 Meadowrue Ln 0.49mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,931 (+14%) 13mo $437,500 $227 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-66,810
Equity at exit
$48,457
10-year hold
IRR
-6.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-45,273
Equity at exit
$28,099

Cash invested: $90,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
11 active · 6 under contract
Months of supply
11.0 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$350,990 ($211/sqft)
Median days on market
104 d
This list price
9% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+11.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 27596

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,410 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$35
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$-377

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,887
Max offer price $270,448
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-152 -5% $-265 +0% $-377 +5% $-489 +10% $-602
Rent -10% $-567 -5% $-472 +0% $-377 +5% $-282 +10% $-187
Rate -1.0pp $-213 -0.5pp $-294 base $-377 +0.5pp $-461 +1.0pp $-547

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,248
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
370 Clubhouse Dr Youngsville, NC 3.0 2.5 2223 $2,300 $1.03 1d 1 1.13mi
1152 Robins Nest Dr , NC 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 1d 1 1.37mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Lot size about 0.15 acres
HOA & community
HOA: Sovereign & JacobsHOA fee approximately $106.45 quarterlyHOA includes grounds maintenance

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage2-car garageDrivewayConcrete parkingGarage faces front
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerCable available
Home design
Site-built propertyTwo levels
Construction
Built with fiber cementLow-VOC paint/sealant/varnishRadiant barrierArchitectural shingle roofSlab foundation
Exterior features
PatioRain guttersPublic-maintained roadStreet lights in communityWater-smart landscapingLow-flow fixtures

Interior

Kitchen
Gas rangeRange hoodSelf-cleaning ovenPlumbed for ice makerENERGY STAR qualified appliancesElectric water heater
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetLuxury vinyl
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Forced air heating (natural gas)Central air conditioningEnergy-efficient thermostat
Interior features
Entrance foyerGranite countersKitchen/dining room combinationPantrySmooth ceilingsWalk-in closet(s)Bathtub/shower combinationShower onlyInsulated windows
Laundry & utility
Laundry room on upper level

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-28
    days on market $324,990 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-27
    days on market $324,990 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-26
    days on market $324,990 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-22
    days on market $324,990 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-21
    days on market $324,990 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-21
    days on market $324,990 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-18
    days on market $324,990 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-17
    days on market $324,990 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-16
    days on market $324,990 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-15
    days on market $324,990 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-13
    days on market $324,990 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-12
    days on market $324,990 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-09
    days on market $324,990 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-08
    days on market $324,990 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-06-07
    days on market $324,990 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-06-07
    days on market $324,990 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-06-04
    days on market $324,990 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-06-02
    days on market $324,990 Active 25 DOM
  19. 2026-06-01
    days on market $324,990 Active 24 DOM
  20. 2026-05-31
    remarks 683-char remark
  21. 2026-05-31
    listed $324,990 Active 23 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,922
− Mortgage interest
−$18,204
− Property taxes
−$4,875
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,314
− Management
−$2,314
− HOA
−$420
− Depreciation
−$9,454
Taxable loss
−$10,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,468
After-tax cash flow
$-2,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is a move-in-ready property with a good curb appeal and potential for value-adding improvements.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Long Mill Elementary F NC #771/1,410 Nat'l #21,438/41,679 Middle Cedar Creek Middle F NC #292/475 Nat'l #7,581/14,009 High Franklinton High C NC #235/535 Nat'l #3,934/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County Schools
NCES district ID
3701530
Math proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,630
Composite
30.25/100
National rank
#6286
State rank
#128 of 178 in NC
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Youngsville

Score
68/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#9264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Franklin County · 69,848 people
City population
22,232
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,232
Household income
$95,940
Rent vs Own
14.1% rent · 85.9% own
Severe rent burden
18% of renters

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,848 people
By 2030
72,480 · +3.8%
By 2040
76,682 · +9.8%
By 2050
78,993 · +13.1%
By 2075
82,888 · +18.7%
By 2100
80,784 · +15.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
R (+13.6) · D 42.7% · R 56.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -13.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.6 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+4.2 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-29 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $324,990 TMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $335,990 TMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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