440 Purple Aster St · Youngsville, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$324,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* HOME NOT YET STARTED * Buyer has the opportunity to personalize their options on this plan. Buyers can fully personalize this stunning 2-story home to fit their lifestyle: choose structural changes, exterior elevations, interior finishes, homesite location, plus popular options like screened porch, gourmet kitchen, fireplace, upgraded cabinets, premium flooring or quartz counters. Features include 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths + 1/2 bath, & 2-car garage--designed for comfort, function & modern style. Spacious primary suite with large owner's bath & oversized walk-in closet--a true retreat.
Key facts
- Premium flooring
- Quartz counters
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $325k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-377 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (16.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (25.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $241k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.3% in Youngsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#184 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Long Mill Elementary (math 40% / reading 34%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 403 students, 58% FRL); Cedar Creek Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #292 of 475 statewide, top 62%, 515 students, 54% FRL); Franklinton High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 1,182 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.97%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $401,116
- List price
- $324,990
- Delta
- -18.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 695 Purple Aster St | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,702 (0%) | 0mo | $376,982 | $221 | 91 |
| 230 Purple Aster St St | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,773 (+4%) | 6mo | $365,000 | $206 | 81 |
| 95 Button Bush Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-15%) | 1mo | $337,000 | $233 | 70 |
| 45 Iris Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,784 (+5%) | 15mo | $370,000 | $207 | 68 |
| 370 Purple Aster St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-8%) | 19mo | $372,258 | $239 | 65 |
| 80 Scarlet Bell Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,881 (+10%) | 13mo | $370,000 | $197 | 57 |
| 20 Sweet Birch Row | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,867 (+10%) | 14mo | $412,000 | $221 | 56 |
| 105 Shooting Star Trail Trl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-14%) | 22mo | $351,615 | $239 | 54 |
| 24 Sweet Birch Row | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,902 (+12%) | 15mo | $430,000 | $226 | 52 |
| 8 Larkspur Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,875 (+10%) | 8mo | $361,000 | $193 | 51 |
| 47 Scarlet Bell Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,880 (+10%) | 14mo | $402,000 | $214 | 51 |
| 3 Meadowrue Ln | 0.49mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,931 (+14%) | 13mo | $437,500 | $227 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-66,810
- Equity at exit
- $48,457
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-45,273
- Equity at exit
- $28,099
Cash invested: $90,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.0 mo (9%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $350,990 ($211/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 104 d
- This list price
- 9% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 27596
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 674
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,410 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$35
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$506
- Net cashflow
- $-377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-152 | -5% $-265 | +0% $-377 | +5% $-489 | +10% $-602 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-567 | -5% $-472 | +0% $-377 | +5% $-282 | +10% $-187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-213 | -0.5pp $-294 | base $-377 | +0.5pp $-461 | +1.0pp $-547 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,248
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 370 Clubhouse Dr Youngsville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2223 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1152 Robins Nest Dr , NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot size about 0.15 acres
- HOA & community
- HOA: Sovereign & JacobsHOA fee approximately $106.45 quarterlyHOA includes grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage2-car garageDrivewayConcrete parkingGarage faces front
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable available
- Home design
- Site-built propertyTwo levels
- Construction
- Built with fiber cementLow-VOC paint/sealant/varnishRadiant barrierArchitectural shingle roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- PatioRain guttersPublic-maintained roadStreet lights in communityWater-smart landscapingLow-flow fixtures
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeRange hoodSelf-cleaning ovenPlumbed for ice makerENERGY STAR qualified appliancesElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Forced air heating (natural gas)Central air conditioningEnergy-efficient thermostat
- Interior features
- Entrance foyerGranite countersKitchen/dining room combinationPantrySmooth ceilingsWalk-in closet(s)Bathtub/shower combinationShower onlyInsulated windows
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry room on upper level
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-28days on market $324,990 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $324,990 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $324,990 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $324,990 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $324,990 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $324,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $324,990 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $324,990 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $324,990 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $324,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $324,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $324,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $324,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $324,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $324,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $324,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $324,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $324,990 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $324,990 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 683-char remark
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2026-05-31$324,990 Active 23 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,922
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,204
- − Property taxes
- −$4,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,314
- − Management
- −$2,314
- − HOA
- −$420
- − Depreciation
- −$9,454
- Taxable loss
- −$10,284
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,468
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is a move-in-ready property with a good curb appeal and potential for value-adding improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen and bathrooms — Modernizing the kitchen and bathrooms can significantly increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701530
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,630
- Composite
- 30.25/100
- National rank
- #6286
- State rank
- #128 of 178 in NC
Livability — Youngsville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #9264
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Franklin County · 69,848 people
- City population
- 22,232
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,232
- Household income
- $95,940
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,848 people
- By 2030
- 72,480 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 76,682 · +9.8%
- By 2050
- 78,993 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 82,888 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 80,784 · +15.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.6) · D 42.7% · R 56.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.6 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+4.2 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.06%
- Current HPI
- 271.1411
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.89%
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-3.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-29 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $324,990 TMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $335,990 TMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…