571 St Rt 1949 · Symsonia, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900
Key facts
- Gas log capable
- Circle drive
- Owned propane tank
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (10.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#201 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.57%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,752
- Equity at exit
- $63,042
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $36,217
- Equity at exit
- $90,761
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42082
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $755/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $-96
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-6 | -5% $-51 | +0% $-96 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-187 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-183 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-96 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-9 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-16 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-96 | +0.5pp $-138 | +1.0pp $-180 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $159,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-30pricedays on market $159,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $164,900 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900
-
2026-04-09price $169,900 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900
-
2026-03-20price $177,500 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900
-
2026-01-05price $179,900 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900
-
2025-11-13$189,000 Active 742-char remark
Show marketing remark (742 chars)
Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $755 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,375 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$620/yr (+$52/mo · 82.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$755
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$4,037
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$969
- After-tax cash flow
- $-184/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graves County
- NCES district ID
- 2102280
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3400
- State rank
- #10 of 165 in KY
Livability — Symsonia
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #201
- US rank
- #9967
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,961
Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,916 people
- By 2030
- 36,587 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 35,580 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 33,906 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 28,957 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 21,552 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Graves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.00%
- Current HPI
- 242.2369
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-12.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $164,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $169,900 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $177,500 WKRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $179,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $189,000 WKRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…