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571 St Rt 1949
D Composite 40.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0

$159,900

571 St Rt 1949 · Symsonia, KY 42082
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 218 Days on market
Built 1975 0.95 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900

Key facts

  • Gas log capable
  • Circle drive
  • Owned propane tank

Tags

BRICK HOMECIRCLE DRIVEWOODBURNING BRICK FIREPLACEGAS LOG CAPABLEOWNED PROPANE TANKSEPTIC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-96 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (10.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (31.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#201 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,380 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,752
Equity at exit
$63,042
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$36,217
Equity at exit
$90,761

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42082

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $755/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$-96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $142,928
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-6 -5% $-51 +0% $-96 +5% $-141 +10% $-187
Rent -10% $-183 -5% $-140 +0% $-96 +5% $-52 +10% $-9
Rate -1.0pp $-16 -0.5pp $-55 base $-96 +0.5pp $-138 +1.0pp $-180

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 218 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 215 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 214 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 212 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 211 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 208 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 207 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 206 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 203 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 201 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 200 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 199 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $159,900 Active 198 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    price $164,900 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900

  17. 2026-04-09
    price $169,900 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900

  18. 2026-03-20
    price $177,500 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900

  19. 2026-01-05
    price $179,900 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900

  20. 2025-11-13
    listed $189,000 Active 742-char remark
    Show marketing remark (742 chars)

    Older, Brick Home located in Symsonia, KY. Beautiful setting with mature trees and a circle drive. There are three bedrooms and one bath. Spacious Den with woodburning, brick fireplace that is gas log capable. The propane tank is owned and there is a septic system and home is currently on well water. Large rooms with a pantry and utility room. Newer Breaker Box, HVAC is approximately 15 years old, Roof is 10 years old, windows and insulation are 9 years old, and the Water heater is only 3 years old. There is a back deck and large 2-car carport. Home needs a little TLC. Seller will survey out house and approximately one acre. Buyers please do your own measuring. Seller says there are a few graves at the back of the property. $169,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$755 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,375 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$620/yr (+$52/mo · 82.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,246
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$755
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,060
− Management
−$1,060
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$4,037
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$969
After-tax cash flow
$-184/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Graves County
NCES district ID
2102280
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
41.74/100
National rank
#3400
State rank
#10 of 165 in KY

Livability — Symsonia

Score
68/100
State rank
#201
US rank
#9967

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,961

Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,916 people
By 2030
36,587 · -0.9%
By 2040
35,580 · -3.6%
By 2050
33,906 · -8.2%
By 2075
28,957 · -21.6%
By 2100
21,552 · -41.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Graves

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.00%
Current HPI
242.2369
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $164,900 WKRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $169,900 WKRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $177,500 WKRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $179,900 WKRMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $189,000 WKRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…