230 State St · Bettsville, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
Key facts
- Victorian home
- Front porch
- Formal foyer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($677/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#458 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Old Fort Local (rural): math 72% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #167 of 656 in OH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in Seneca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Seneca County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 278 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1891 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 278 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1891 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.67%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,716
- List price
- $144,900
- Delta
- -9.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 David St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,664 (+2%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $150 | 74 |
| 311 Sullivan St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,644 (+1%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $58 | 70 |
| 309 Union St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,532 (-6%) | 22mo | $154,500 | $101 | 61 |
| 203 Washington St | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,395 (-14%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $82 | 58 |
| 400 David St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,856 (+14%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 311 Monroe St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,596 (-2%) | 22mo | $160,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 2892 Co Rd 1 | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 | 1,843 (+13%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $119 | 44 |
| 319 Monroe St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,820 (+12%) | 9mo | $248,000 | $136 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.85% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $35,723
- Equity at exit
- $80,805
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $105,427
- Equity at exit
- $138,388
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44815
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,220 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $144,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,900 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $144,900 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $144,900 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $144,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-05-09historical Active Under Contract 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2026-05-09historical Contingent 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2026-04-02price $144,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2026-04-02price $144,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2025-11-06price $146,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2025-11-06price $146,900 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2025-09-15$149,900 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2025-09-14$149,900 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Step into this charming 1891 Victorian home that boasts 4 cozy bedrooms and 2 baths, perfect for family living. The inviting front porch welcomes you, leading to a formal foyer with an impressive open grand staircase. Inside, you'll find stunning woodwork and a lovely bay window with seating, adding character and comfort. With a cupola for extra charm and a shed for storage, this home offers both style and practicality. Plus, enjoy the convenience of alley access and a prime location!
-
2025-09-13historical
-
2025-06-20price $149,900
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2025-06-20price $149,900
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2025-04-23price $157,900
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2025-04-23price $157,900
-
2025-03-22status Active
-
2025-03-11historical Contingent
-
2025-02-01price $159,900
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2025-02-01price $159,900
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2025-01-17$169,900 Active
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2022-06-30historical
-
2022-03-14status Active
-
2022-02-17status Pending
-
2022-01-08$129,900 Active
-
2021-12-31historical
-
2021-11-15$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,041 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$610/yr (+$51/mo · 58.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,634
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$1,041
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,171
- − Management
- −$1,171
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable loss
- −$1,804
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Old Fort Local
- NCES district ID
- 3910021
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,919
- Composite
- 58.13/100
- National rank
- #1029
- State rank
- #167 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bettsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #7571
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bettsville, OH
- County
- Seneca · 70,739 people
- City population
- 762
- Population (ZIP)
- 762
- Household income
- $62,794
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Seneca County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,243 people
- By 2030
- 52,947 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 49,842 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 46,689 · -13.9%
- By 2075
- 39,889 · -26.5%
- By 2100
- 32,155 · -40.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Seneca
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.7% · R 68.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.2 2016: R+31.2 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.85%
- Current HPI
- 197.5449
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+11.5% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — FAOR
- 2026-05-09 Contingent — NORIS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $144,900 FAOR
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $144,900 NORIS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $146,900 FAOR
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $146,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-15 Listed $149,900 FAOR
- 2025-09-14 Listed $149,900 NORIS
- 2025-09-13 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $149,900 FAOR
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $149,900 NORIS
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $157,900 FAOR
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $157,900 NORIS
- 2025-03-22 Relisted — NORIS
- 2025-03-11 Contingent — NORIS
- 2025-02-01 Price Changed $159,900 FAOR
- 2025-02-01 Price Changed $159,900 NORIS
- 2025-01-17 Listed $169,900 NORIS
- 2022-06-30 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2022-03-14 Relisted — NORIS
- 2022-02-17 Pending — NORIS
- 2022-01-08 Listed $129,900 NORIS
- 2021-12-31 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2021-11-15 Listed $129,900 NORIS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,041 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…