3666 Van Buren St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 2 bedroom 1 bath home has a large Living + Dining room with a beautiful Fireplace, stylish ceiling fan & light fixtures, & extra space for table for 6. Two newly carpeted bedrooms with ceiling fans will fit king/queen bedroom sets in each. One full bathroom has newer vanity, shower, floor tiles, plumbing, and a big linen closet. The newly upgraded kitchen includes a cute Breakfast Nook/Wine Bar, stylish lights, beautiful backsplash behind the double sink & counter, some new cabinets, and extra water line for large side by side refrigerator with ice maker. There is a full drop down ladder in hallway to access attic. The extra large clean Basement Includes newer blu
Key facts
- Clean basement
- Cozy fireplace
- Large double lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story home; Built in 1937
- Construction: Original 1937 construction
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Public lot size per assessor
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate countertops; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate counters; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Fireplace in the living room; Full unfinished basement with storage space and interior entry
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility/storage area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $370 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.84%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,063
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 99.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3724 Tyler St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-2%) | 4mo | $48,000 | $55 | 81 |
| 3679 Buchanan St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+3%) | 0mo | $112,000 | $122 | 78 |
| 3987 Tyler St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 880 (-1%) | 12mo | $57,000 | $65 | 62 |
| 1413 W 35th Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 868 (-3%) | 9mo | $55,200 | $64 | 60 |
| 3442 Lincoln St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 866 (-3%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $64 | 56 |
| 3370 Pennsylvania St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 894 (+0%) | 9mo | $14,900 | $17 | 52 |
| 4016 Connecticut St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 920 (+3%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $27 | 52 |
| 4115 Fillmore St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (+7%) | 6mo | $51,000 | $54 | 51 |
| 4251 Van Buren St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (+1%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $100 | 50 |
| 4088 Monroe St | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 956 (+7%) | 10mo | $139,000 | $145 | 46 |
| 3471 Pennsylvania St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $78 | 42 |
| 3939 Massachusetts St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-11%) | 13mo | $18,000 | $23 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,327
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $36,637
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46408
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,271 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $823/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $370
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $426 | -5% $398 | +0% $370 | +5% $341 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $269 | -5% $319 | +0% $370 | +5% $420 | +10% $470 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $420 | -0.5pp $395 | base $370 | +0.5pp $344 | +1.0pp $317 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3708 Harrison St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 904 | $1,400 | $1.55 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 617 | $795 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 601 | $795 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 601 | $795 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4018 Tyler St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,050 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,150 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4748 Monroe St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 0d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,025 | $1.46 | 0d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $100,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15status $100,000 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $100,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $107,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $107,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$107,000 Active 1459-char remark
-
1999-04-13$16,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $823 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$14/yr (+$1/mo · 1.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$823
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,220
- − Management
- −$1,220
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,981
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$716
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,747
- Household income
- $47,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 619.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 41% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.08%
- Current HPI
- 155.6238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+491.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $100,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $107,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-04-13 Listed $16,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-12.2%/yrLatest (2024): $823 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…