1509 Dominick St · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling Investors! Come check out this 3 bedroom / 1 bath single family house for under $50,000! It was currently rented for years, and after some TLC, this property could rent for $1,200/month. It has central heat and air, electric water heater, electric range, and laundry room with washer/dryer hookups. This will make for a high ROI for a rental property. Call your favorite Realtor and check it out today! Easy to show! Sold As Is.
Key facts
- Electric range
- Central heat and air
- Laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available (110V & 220V); Natural gas available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; No additional exterior features listed; View present
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: George Hall Elementary School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #536 of 627 statewide, top 88%, 280 students, 89% FRL); Lillie B Williamson High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #273 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 956 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 67% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.90%
- DSCR
- 3.31
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $54,990
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1403 Douglas St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+2%) | 12mo | $15,850 | $18 | 73 |
| 1550 Colgin St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 930 (+10%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $86 | 66 |
| 1450 Mcarthur St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-9%) | 10mo | $72,415 | $94 | 66 |
| 1455 Houston St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (-4%) | 4mo | $31,000 | $38 | 64 |
| 1572 Van Dorn St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (+6%) | 11mo | $114,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 1556 Orange St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 737 (-13%) | 13mo | $30,000 | $41 | 56 |
| 563 Wisconsin Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 918 (+8%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $65 | 55 |
| 1813 Halls Mill Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (+10%) | 13mo | $64,900 | $70 | 46 |
| 1665 Johnston St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 941 (+11%) | 12mo | $92,000 | $98 | 40 |
| 1068 Arlington St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 730 (-14%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $62 | 38 |
| 1107 Quigley St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 914 (+8%) | 20mo | $31,000 | $34 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.61×
- Total profit
- $36,515
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 62.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.81×
- Total profit
- $109,186
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36605
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,158 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $335/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1009 Miami St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,150 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2008 W Victory Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1417 Monroe St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 711 Marine St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 562 Clarke St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 728 Bankhead Pl Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $675 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 111 S Catherine St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $899 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1013 Elmira St Unit A Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 767 Jemison St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $750 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 400 Westwood St Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,005 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 600 S Washington Ave Mobile, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,058 | $1.29 | 44d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 957 Savannah St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 436-char remark
-
2026-06-15$49,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $335 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $335 · $28/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,894
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$335
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,111
- − Management
- −$1,111
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $6,839
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,104
- Household income
- $43,538
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1521.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.46%
- Current HPI
- 125.9526
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.26%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-78.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $49,900 GCMLS AL
- 2019-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $231,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $335 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…