Duplex
201 W Mink St · Willis, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.9/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!
Key facts
- Move in ready
- Functional layouts
- 6,874 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Fire alarm
- Home design: Residential income property; 2 total units
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Built in 1977
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Patio; Partial fencing; Near public transit
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Granite counters; Window treatments; Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $239/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.7% in Willis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#933 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Willis ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #458 of 826 in TX (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Robert P Brabham Middle (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 1,117 students, 52% FRL); Willis H S (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 2,521 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 710 active listings in the ZIP; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,544/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 402% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.31%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-29,166
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-13,594
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77378
- Home prices YoY
- -3.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 710
- Price-to-rent
- 15.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,544 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$482 /mo · $5,781/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$744
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,544 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,772 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,772 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,544 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $325,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $325,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $325,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $325,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $325,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $325,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$325,000 Active
-
2023-10-17soldstatus
-
2023-03-20soldstatus Sold 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!
-
2023-03-18status Pending 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!
-
2023-03-10status Option Pending 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!
-
2023-01-26$198,000 Active 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!
-
2023-01-07historical
-
2022-12-18status Active
-
2022-11-25status Pending
-
2022-11-16status Option Pending
-
2022-11-01$198,000 Active
-
2018-07-23soldstatus Sold
-
2018-07-13status Pending
-
2018-07-12status Option Pending
-
2018-06-20status Pending
-
2018-06-13status Option Pending
-
2018-04-09status Active
-
2018-04-05status Option Pending
-
2018-03-06price $139,000
-
2018-02-06$144,700 Active
-
2017-12-28soldstatus Sold
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2017-12-22status Pending
-
2017-12-21status Option Pending
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2017-12-14price $77,900
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2017-11-29price $89,900
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2017-11-22$98,500 Active
-
2011-05-09soldstatus
-
2005-04-29soldstatus
-
2003-02-24soldstatus
-
2001-02-27historical
-
2001-02-21$62,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,781 · $482/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,948 · $496/mo
- Expected delta
- +$166/yr (+$14/mo · 2.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$5,781
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,402
- − Management
- −$3,402
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $658
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$158
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,581/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willis ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845900
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,828
- Composite
- 32.32/100
- National rank
- #5746
- State rank
- #458 of 826 in TX
Livability — Willis
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #933
- US rank
- #16579
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Willis, TX
- County
- Montgomery County · 663,713 people
- City population
- 38,421
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,629
- Household income
- $71,143
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 402.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 713,896 people
- By 2030
- 805,263 · +12.8%
- By 2040
- 992,708 · +39.1%
- By 2050
- 1,179,590 · +65.2%
- By 2075
- 1,628,084 · +128.1%
- By 2100
- 1,937,880 · +171.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.25%
- Current HPI
- 261.9673
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.98%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+420.0% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $325,000 HARMLS
- 2023-10-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-03-20 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-03-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-03-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-01-26 Listed $198,000 HARMLS
- 2023-01-07 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2022-12-18 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2022-11-25 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-11-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-11-01 Listed $198,000 HARMLS
- 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2018-07-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-07-12 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-06-20 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-06-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-04-09 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2018-04-05 Pending — HARMLS
- 2018-03-06 Price Changed $139,000 HARMLS
- 2018-02-06 Listed $144,700 HARMLS
- 2017-12-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-12-22 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-12-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-12-14 Price Changed $77,900 HARMLS
- 2017-11-29 Price Changed $89,900 HARMLS
- 2017-11-22 Listed $98,500 HARMLS
- 2011-05-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2003-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2001-02-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2001-02-21 Listed $62,500 HARMLS
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,781 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…