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201 W Mink St Duplex
C- Composite 54.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.9/10.0

$325,000

201 W Mink St · Willis, TX 77378
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,600 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1977 6,874 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • Move in ready
  • Functional layouts
  • 6,874 sq ft lot

Tags

WELL MAINTAINED DUPLEXSPACIOUS LIVING AREASFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSIMMEDIATE RENTAL INCOMEMOVE IN READYEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR FREEWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Home design: Residential income property; 2 total units
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof; Built in 1977
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Patio; Partial fencing; Near public transit

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Window treatments; Ceiling fan(s); Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $239/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
  • Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.7% in Willis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#933 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Willis ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #458 of 826 in TX (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Robert P Brabham Middle (math 33% / reading 41%, grade F, #756 of 1,662 statewide, top 47%, 1,117 students, 52% FRL); Willis H S (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 2,521 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 710 active listings in the ZIP; 13,259 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (1,402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,544/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 402% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at +65% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $315,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.31%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-29,166
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-13,594
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77378

Home prices YoY
-3.0%
Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
710
Price-to-rent
15.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,544 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$482 /mo · $5,781/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$744
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,939
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 82%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,544

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 44 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $325,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $325,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $325,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $325,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $325,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $325,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $325,000 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    listed $325,000 Active
  15. 2023-10-17
    soldstatus
  16. 2023-03-20
    soldstatus Sold 687-char remark
    Show marketing remark (687 chars)

    Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!

  17. 2023-03-18
    status Pending 687-char remark
    Show marketing remark (687 chars)

    Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!

  18. 2023-03-10
    status Option Pending 687-char remark
    Show marketing remark (687 chars)

    Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!

  19. 2023-01-26
    listed $198,000 Active 687-char remark
    Show marketing remark (687 chars)

    Fantastic home in the heart of Willis! This open and welcoming 2 bedroom, 1 bath home has been beautifully updated and lives so big for it's cozy size. Offering many wonderful features such as the large kitchen with granite countertops & stainless appliances, pantry & laundry room tucked neatly behind a pocket door, two very generously sized bedrooms, large walk-in closet in the primary and built-in storage spaces. The fenced backyard has a carport/patio area and a 24X30 insulated building with a/c that could a garage, workshop or converted to additional living space. Conveniently located close to I-45, the new HEB and so much more. Don't miss this great opportunity!

  20. 2023-01-07
    historical
  21. 2022-12-18
    status Active
  22. 2022-11-25
    status Pending
  23. 2022-11-16
    status Option Pending
  24. 2022-11-01
    listed $198,000 Active
  25. 2018-07-23
    soldstatus Sold
  26. 2018-07-13
    status Pending
  27. 2018-07-12
    status Option Pending
  28. 2018-06-20
    status Pending
  29. 2018-06-13
    status Option Pending
  30. 2018-04-09
    status Active
  31. 2018-04-05
    status Option Pending
  32. 2018-03-06
    price $139,000
  33. 2018-02-06
    listed $144,700 Active
  34. 2017-12-28
    soldstatus Sold
  35. 2017-12-22
    status Pending
  36. 2017-12-21
    status Option Pending
  37. 2017-12-14
    price $77,900
  38. 2017-11-29
    price $89,900
  39. 2017-11-22
    listed $98,500 Active
  40. 2011-05-09
    soldstatus
  41. 2005-04-29
    soldstatus
  42. 2003-02-24
    soldstatus
  43. 2001-02-27
    historical
  44. 2001-02-21
    listed $62,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,781 · $482/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,948 · $496/mo
Expected delta
+$166/yr (+$14/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,528
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$5,781
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,402
− Management
−$3,402
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable income
$658
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$158
After-tax cash flow
$5,581/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Willis ISD
NCES district ID
4845900
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$57,828
Composite
32.32/100
National rank
#5746
State rank
#458 of 826 in TX

Livability — Willis

Score
62/100
State rank
#933
US rank
#16579

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Willis, TX
County
Montgomery County · 663,713 people
City population
38,421
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
17,629
Household income
$71,143
Rent vs Own
25.5% rent · 74.5% own
Severe rent burden
402.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
713,896 people
By 2030
805,263 · +12.8%
By 2040
992,708 · +39.1%
By 2050
1,179,590 · +65.2%
By 2075
1,628,084 · +128.1%
By 2100
1,937,880 · +171.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 14% Black 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 19%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.3%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: -52.7pp · 2024: -45.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.5 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+51.4 2012: R+60.7 2008: R+52.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.25%
Current HPI
261.9673
Rent YoY
▲ 0.98%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+420.0% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $325,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-10-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-03-20 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-03-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-01-26 Listed $198,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-01-07 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2022-12-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2022-11-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-11-16 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-11-01 Listed $198,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2018-07-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-07-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-06-20 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-06-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-04-09 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2018-04-05 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-03-06 Price Changed $139,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-02-06 Listed $144,700 HARMLS
  • 2017-12-28 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2017-12-22 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-12-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-12-14 Price Changed $77,900 HARMLS
  • 2017-11-29 Price Changed $89,900 HARMLS
  • 2017-11-22 Listed $98,500 HARMLS
  • 2011-05-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2003-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-02-27 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2001-02-21 Listed $62,500 HARMLS

Property tax history

+10.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,781 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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