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52 Mockingbird Ln
C Composite 57.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$179,900

52 Mockingbird Ln · Hayesville, NC 28904
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1989 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Another townhouse in Hayesville with terrific mountain views. Immaculate condition. Single owner has updated and maintained the interior with new bathroom fixtures, vanities and shower stall. This end unit offers more privacy. Small area for garden. Furnishings are negotiable.

Key facts

  • Shower stall
  • End unit
  • Vanities

Tags

UPDATED BATHROOM FIXTURESVANITIESSHOWER STALLEND UNITSMALL AREA FOR GARDEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.5% in Hayesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#209 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Clay County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #73 of 178 in NC (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 694 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 143 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.58%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$360,240
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
Lot 4 Lakeside Ests 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,084 (-5%) 20mo $325,000 $300 56
Lot 12 Lakeside Ests 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,042 (-9%) 16mo $329,360 $316 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$20,432
Equity at exit
$63,675
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$73,538
Equity at exit
$86,394

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28904

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
694
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,870 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $296 +0% $234 +5% $172 +10% $110
Rent -10% $86 -5% $160 +0% $234 +5% $308 +10% $382
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $280 base $234 +0.5pp $188 +1.0pp $140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
332 Cherrywood Cir Hayesville, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,850 $1.68 15d 1 0.21mi
248 Avery Scroggs Rd Hayesville, NC 2.0 2.0 1064 $2,000 $1.88 15d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-10
    listed $179,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,442
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,795
− Management
−$1,795
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$57
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$14
After-tax cash flow
$2,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clay County Schools
NCES district ID
3700870
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$37,205
Composite
40.31/100
National rank
#3751
State rank
#73 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hayesville

Score
67/100
State rank
#209
US rank
#10111

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,614

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,855 people
By 2030
10,820 · -0.3%
By 2040
10,527 · -3.0%
By 2050
10,099 · -7.0%
By 2075
9,094 · -16.2%
By 2100
7,834 · -27.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.1) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -35.6pp · 2024: -50.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.1 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+42.5 2008: R+35.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.24%
Current HPI
338.2524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending NEGBOR
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $179,900 NEGBOR

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $261 · +65.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…