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516 Thomas St
B+ Composite 75.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,000

516 Thomas St · Quincy, FL 32351
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 206 Days on market
Built 1967 6,534 sqft lot $54/sqft · 42% below area Est $134k · 42% under ↓ 36% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block home features large bedrooms, a spacious family room, and indoor laundry. Enjoy the outdoors on the large deck and fenced yard, perfect for pets and privacy. A great home for comfortable living and entertaining!

Key facts

  • Large deck
  • Fenced yard
  • Indoor laundry

Tags

LARGE DECKFENCED YARDSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMINDOOR LAUNDRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 3.9% in Quincy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#588 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Gadsden (rural): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #70 of 73 in FL (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Gadsden County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gadsden County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.86%
Cap rate
16.41%
Cash-on-cash
36.12%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,232
List price
$78,000
Delta
-41.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
447 S Shelfer St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-6%) 3mo $230,000 $169 70
1224 Stevens St 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,528 (+6%) 4mo $238,000 $156 70
518 Thomas St 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,327 (-8%) 17mo $245,000 $185 66
1634 Stevens St 0.02mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,588 (+10%) 18mo $255,000 $161 56
1520 Hardin St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-12%) 20mo $114,500 $91 55
1310 Osceola St 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,292 (-10%) 3mo $255,000 $197 49
1127 W Washington St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-5%) 12mo $259,000 $189 45
16 N Virginia St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+2%) 21mo $275,000 $187 45
2034 W Jefferson St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+2%) 24mo $285,000 $194 43
128 N Pittman St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,322 (-8%) 23mo $262,500 $199 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$29,216
Equity at exit
$11,630
10-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
4.63×
Total profit
$79,309
Equity at exit
$6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32351

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $560/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $618
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $701 -5% $679 +0% $657 +5% $635 +10% $613
Rent -10% $543 -5% $600 +0% $657 +5% $715 +10% $772
Rate -1.0pp $697 -0.5pp $677 base $657 +0.5pp $637 +1.0pp $617

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
216 S Jackson St Quincy, FL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,450 $1.36 15d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 206 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 205 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 204 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 203 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 202 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $78,000 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-05-06
    price $78,000 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block home features large bedrooms, a spacious family room, and indoor laundry. Enjoy the outdoors on the large deck and fenced yard, perfect for pets and privacy. A great home for comfortable living and entertaining!

  8. 2026-04-28
    status Active 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block home features large bedrooms, a spacious family room, and indoor laundry. Enjoy the outdoors on the large deck and fenced yard, perfect for pets and privacy. A great home for comfortable living and entertaining!

  9. 2026-04-28
    price $90,000 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block home features large bedrooms, a spacious family room, and indoor laundry. Enjoy the outdoors on the large deck and fenced yard, perfect for pets and privacy. A great home for comfortable living and entertaining!

  10. 2026-03-23
    historical Active Under Contract 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block home features large bedrooms, a spacious family room, and indoor laundry. Enjoy the outdoors on the large deck and fenced yard, perfect for pets and privacy. A great home for comfortable living and entertaining!

  11. 2025-11-10
    listed $100,000 Active 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    This 3-bedroom, 2-bath concrete block home features large bedrooms, a spacious family room, and indoor laundry. Enjoy the outdoors on the large deck and fenced yard, perfect for pets and privacy. A great home for comfortable living and entertaining!

  12. 2025-07-22
    historical
  13. 2025-05-06
    price $120,000
  14. 2025-02-07
    price $125,000
  15. 2025-02-07
    listed $122,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$560 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$647 · $54/mo
Expected delta
+$88/yr (+$7/mo · 15.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,400
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$560
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$7,028
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,687
After-tax cash flow
$6,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gadsden
NCES district ID
1200600
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,470
Composite
25.75/100
National rank
#7373
State rank
#70 of 73 in FL

Livability — Quincy

Score
66/100
State rank
#588
US rank
#11260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quincy, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,808

Population outlook (Gadsden County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,956 people
By 2030
40,878 · -4.8%
By 2040
36,218 · -15.7%
By 2050
31,502 · -26.7%
By 2075
21,828 · -49.2%
By 2100
14,480 · -66.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Gadsden

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 65.0% · R 34.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.3pp toward R · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+36.6 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+40.6 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.50%
Current HPI
161.1446
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-36.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $78,000 CATRS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted CATRS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $90,000 CATRS
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent CATRS
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $100,000 CATRS
  • 2025-07-22 Listing Removed CATRS
  • 2025-05-06 Price Changed $120,000 CATRS
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed $125,000 CATRS
  • 2025-02-07 Listed $122,000 CATRS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $560 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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