3801 S Jackson St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great little corner home with large fence in rear yard. Shade trees. Home has a second living area which could be third bedroom, just add a closet.
Key facts
- Large fence
- Rear yard
- Corner home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community amenities listed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 65 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.85%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $15,974
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.85×
- Total profit
- $63,945
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79110
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,296 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,180/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $389
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $434 | -5% $412 | +0% $389 | +5% $366 | +10% $344 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $287 | -5% $338 | +0% $389 | +5% $440 | +10% $491 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $429 | -0.5pp $409 | base $389 | +0.5pp $368 | +1.0pp $347 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3703 S Monroe St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3813 S Washington St Unit B Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,050 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $925 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $1,475 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4308 S Jackson St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1302 | $1,490 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4316 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1356 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4108 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1373 | $1,525 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4615 S Lipscomb St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 608 Lochridge Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,900 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4623 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2103 Parker St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $2,300 | $1.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2104 S Travis St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1236 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 307 Mikeska St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2030 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1307 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2809 Duncan Dr Unit B- 1 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $695 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3001 Curtis Dr Unit A Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,100 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3007 Curtis Dr Unit B Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 147-char remark
-
2026-06-18$80,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,180 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,549
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$2,180
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,244
- − Management
- −$1,244
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,673
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$881
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,994
- Household income
- $66,683
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 208.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 13% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.16%
- Current HPI
- 180.2164
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.04%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-44.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $80,000 AARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $145,000 AARMLS
- 2021-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,180 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…