815 Highway 3446 · McKee, KY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
Key facts
- Small cabin
- Roof updates
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.5% in McKee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#340 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Jackson County (rural): math 24% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #101 of 165 in KY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 320 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 320 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.31%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,321
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -50.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $20,604
- Equity at exit
- $33,473
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $59,042
- Equity at exit
- $46,978
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40447
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $648/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 317 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 302 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 301 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 300 DOM
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2026-04-25status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2026-04-25status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2026-01-03status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2026-01-03status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-11-25status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-11-25price $89,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-11-25status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-11-25price $89,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-10-21status Pending 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-10-21status Pending 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-10-21historical 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-10-21historical 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-10-21historical 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-10-21historical 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-09-28status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-09-05status Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-09-04historical Contingent 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
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2025-09-02price $100,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-05-08historical Contingent 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
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2025-04-25price $100,000 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
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2025-01-29$119,900 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
-
2025-01-29$119,900 Active 504-char remark
Show marketing remark (504 chars)
If your looking for privacy, yet a short drive to town - this may be the one! 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home situated on 30+/- , mostly wooded acres. A small cabin will convey with the sale that sits across the road from the main house( cabin is currently occupied). Storage shed plus an A frame shed is on the property. The home does need some TLC but owner says it has good bones. Updates include a roof in 2024 and partial floor repair where needed. Personal property will be removed prior to closing.
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2020-07-21soldstatus $92,000
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2010-10-01soldstatus $43,500
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2010-01-01soldstatus $25,000
-
2008-06-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $648 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $765 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$117/yr (+$10/mo · 18.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$648
- − Insurance
- −$1,242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,708
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$410
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,607/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102940
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,446
- Composite
- 25.64/100
- National rank
- #7402
- State rank
- #101 of 165 in KY
Livability — McKee
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #340
- US rank
- #16173
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,559
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,772 people
- By 2030
- 12,285 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 11,129 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 9,933 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 7,419 · -41.9%
- By 2100
- 5,555 · -56.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+81.8) · D 8.5% · R 90.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -70.1pp · 2024: -81.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+81.8 2020: R+79.3 2016: R+80.2 2012: R+74.2 2008: R+70.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.66%
- Current HPI
- 183.4009
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+493.3% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $89,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $89,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-21 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-21 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-28 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-04 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $100,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-05-08 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2025-04-25 Price Changed $100,000 ImagineMLS
- 2025-01-29 Listed $119,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-01-29 Listed $119,900 ImagineMLS
- 2020-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 2010-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 2010-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $648 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…