2233 Joliet St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention all flippers and investors here's your next opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home offers just over 1,000 sq ft with an unfinished basement, giving savvy investors and flippers a solid canvas to work with. The bones are there now it just needs your vision and finishing touches to unlock its full potential. Whether you're looking to renovate and resell or add a rental property to your portfolio, 2233 Joliet St checks the right boxes. Priced to reflect the condition and sold as-is, this is the kind of deal that doesn't sit long in today's market. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area reported
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
- Construction: Stucco and wood siding exterior
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approx. 42 x 133 x 40 x 134; Lot size about 0.13 acres; Residential zoning; No pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Wall/Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Concrete basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.15%
- DSCR
- 2.61
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $51,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 N Chevrolet Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+3%) | 2mo | $42,900 | $41 | 85 |
| 2023 Cadillac St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-6%) | 1mo | $26,900 | $28 | 78 |
| 971 N Chevrolet Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (+9%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $71 | 76 |
| 1900 Cadillac St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 994 (-3%) | 4mo | $49,900 | $50 | 75 |
| 2448 Thomas St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 956 (-7%) | 5mo | $107,000 | $112 | 71 |
| 1914 Monteith St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 958 (-7%) | 4mo | $74,900 | $78 | 71 |
| 2602 Sloan St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 955 (-7%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $26 | 64 |
| 3119 Sherwood Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 995 (-3%) | 7mo | $77,000 | $77 | 63 |
| 2551 Altoona St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,114 (+9%) | 0mo | $45,000 | $40 | 60 |
| 1702 Stevenson St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+9%) | 5mo | $17,500 | $16 | 57 |
| 3709 Brentwood Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (+15%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $111 | 43 |
| 2101 Barth St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 905 (-12%) | 4mo | $33,000 | $36 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $21,406
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.64×
- Total profit
- $58,143
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48504
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,107 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $849/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $513 | -5% $497 | +0% $481 | +5% $465 | +10% $449 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $437 | +0% $481 | +5% $525 | +10% $568 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $510 | -0.5pp $495 | base $481 | +0.5pp $466 | +1.0pp $451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2428 Norbert St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $825 | $0.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3713 Gratiot Ave Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 806 Barney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2610 Swayze St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $950 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $995 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1540 Garland St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,017 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $57,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $57,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $57,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $57,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $57,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $57,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $57,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $57,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $57,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $57,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $57,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 593-char remark
-
2026-06-05$57,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $849 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$14/yr (+$1/mo · 1.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$849
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,062
- − Management
- −$1,062
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $5,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,241
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,873
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 94.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $57,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-04 Listed $57,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $849 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…