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2233 Joliet St
C+ Composite 62.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$57,000

2233 Joliet St · Flint, MI 48504
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1920 5,663 sqft lot Est $51k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention all flippers and investors here's your next opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath home offers just over 1,000 sq ft with an unfinished basement, giving savvy investors and flippers a solid canvas to work with. The bones are there now it just needs your vision and finishing touches to unlock its full potential. Whether you're looking to renovate and resell or add a rental property to your portfolio, 2233 Joliet St checks the right boxes. Priced to reflect the condition and sold as-is, this is the kind of deal that doesn't sit long in today's market. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Stucco and wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approx. 42 x 133 x 40 x 134; Lot size about 0.13 acres; Residential zoning; No pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fans; Wall/Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Concrete basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $56,145 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.42%
Cash-on-cash
36.15%
DSCR
2.61
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$51,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
808 N Chevrolet Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,053 (+3%) 2mo $42,900 $41 85
2023 Cadillac St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-6%) 1mo $26,900 $28 78
971 N Chevrolet Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,122 (+9%) 4mo $79,900 $71 76
1900 Cadillac St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 994 (-3%) 4mo $49,900 $50 75
2448 Thomas St 0.28mi 3/1.0 956 (-7%) 5mo $107,000 $112 71
1914 Monteith St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 958 (-7%) 4mo $74,900 $78 71
2602 Sloan St 0.48mi 3/1.0 955 (-7%) 2mo $25,000 $26 64
3119 Sherwood Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 995 (-3%) 7mo $77,000 $77 63
2551 Altoona St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,114 (+9%) 0mo $45,000 $40 60
1702 Stevenson St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+9%) 5mo $17,500 $16 57
3709 Brentwood Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+15%) 3mo $130,000 $111 43
2101 Barth St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 905 (-12%) 4mo $33,000 $36 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.9%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$21,406
Equity at exit
$8,499
10-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
4.64×
Total profit
$58,143
Equity at exit
$4,928

Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,107 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$299
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $849/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $498
Max offer price $57,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $513 -5% $497 +0% $481 +5% $465 +10% $449
Rent -10% $393 -5% $437 +0% $481 +5% $525 +10% $568
Rate -1.0pp $510 -0.5pp $495 base $481 +0.5pp $466 +1.0pp $451

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,250
Closing costs
$1,710
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2428 Norbert St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 22d 1 0.25mi
2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1440 $825 $0.57 14d 1 0.37mi
314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 896 $1,250 $1.40 22d 1 0.43mi
3713 Gratiot Ave Flint, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 22d 1 0.79mi
806 Barney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 22d 1 0.89mi
2610 Swayze St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1194 $950 $0.80 22d 1 0.99mi
1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1160 $995 $0.86 22d 1 1.16mi
1540 Garland St Flint, MI 3.0 2.5 1344 $1,017 $0.76 22d 1 1.21mi
3701 Whitney Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $900 $1.06 14d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $57,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $57,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $57,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $57,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $57,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $57,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $57,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $57,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $57,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $57,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $57,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 593-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $57,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$849 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$863 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$14/yr (+$1/mo · 1.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,280
− Mortgage interest
−$3,193
− Property taxes
−$849
− Insurance
−$285
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,062
− Management
−$1,062
− Depreciation
−$1,658
Taxable income
$5,170
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,241
After-tax cash flow
$4,529/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $57,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $57,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $849 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…