61 Greenview Ln · Richmond, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to Sell- 3 Bedroom/2 Bathroom Town Home w/ Potential This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, townhome is priced right, offers a solid base of good bones and is waiting for someone's vision to bring out its full potential. The carpet has been removed from all floors providing a clean slate to install new flooring, paint, etc... to give the house your personal touch. There is also a 1 car garage and an added carport making for a very unique opportunity to have two places to park. There are plenty of rooms, lots of windows, and a functional design allowing for many possibilities for your renovations. Both bathrooms and the kitchen are original and will be easy to renovate if that is what you are looking for, or provide the perfect opportunity for the savvy real estate investor who sees this property as their next "value add" deal. Regardless of whether you are a homeowner looking to put some sweat equity into your home or an investor looking for another value add deal, this property provides everything you need: a good location, ample parking, and a price that is priced right to sell quickly. Being sold AS IS. Aggressively priced for a quick sale.
Key facts
- Ample parking
- Unique opportunity
- $626 HOA
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $349k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-276 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $300k (14.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (6.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $300k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.7% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#497 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- West Contra Costa Unified (suburban): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #993 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($118k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $349k implies a 523% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.39%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $460,467
- List price
- $349,000
- Delta
- -24.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1144 Parkridge Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-2%) | 1mo | $658,500 | $511 | 81 |
| 12 Park Ct | 0.14mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,340 (+2%) | 6mo | $455,000 | $340 | 75 |
| 37 Parkridge Pl | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-2%) | 19mo | $685,000 | $532 | 68 |
| 1036 Parkside Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (+6%) | 13mo | $642,500 | $458 | 64 |
| 557 Chabre Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,504 (+14%) | 2mo | $530,000 | $352 | 42 |
| 1706 Dalessi Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,422 (+8%) | 12mo | $495,000 | $348 | 40 |
| 549 Chabre Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,504 (+14%) | 9mo | $515,000 | $342 | 36 |
| 514 Lisa Ct | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,504 (+14%) | 9mo | $530,000 | $352 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-73,798
- Equity at exit
- $52,037
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-85,582
- Equity at exit
- $30,175
Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94803
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,260 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,830
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,993/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$626
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$685
- Net cashflow
- $-276
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,250
- Closing costs
- $10,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Park Ln El Sobrante, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $3,200 | $2.96 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 717 Pebble Dr El Sobrante, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $4,100 | $2.56 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 717 Pebble Dr El Sobrante, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $4,100 | $2.56 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3185 Garrity Way Richmond, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $3,620 | $3.74 | 1d | 17 | 0.55mi |
| 507 Chabre Ct El Sobrante, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $2,695 | $2.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 507 Chabre Ct El Sobrante, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $2,695 | $2.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2933 Cornelius Dr San Pablo, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $2,755 | $2.12 | 11d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4763 Appian Way Unit 09 El Sobrante, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4811 Appian Way Unit 4/3 El Sobrante, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $2,200 | $2.29 | 20d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4827 Appian Way El Sobrante, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $2,225 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 6000 Sunhill Cir El Sobrante, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $3,045 | $3.21 | 3d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 4481 Appian Way El Sobrante, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 750 | $3,033 | $4.04 | 24d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 3400 Richmond Pkwy San Pablo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $2,417 | $2.67 | 1d | 67 | 0.85mi |
| 3112 Groom Dr San Pablo, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1165 | $2,895 | $2.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2689 Limerick Rd San Pablo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $3,650 | $3.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4001 Mozart Dr El Sobrante, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $3,499 | $2.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3078 Deseret Dr Richmond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,500 | $3.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3078 Deseret Dr Richmond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,500 | $3.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3535 El Portal Dr El Sobrante, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 969 | $3,995 | $4.12 | 1d | 16 | 1.15mi |
| 1588 Ridgecrest Rd Pinole, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $3,050 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3614 Stoneglen S San Pablo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,395 | $2.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2633 Rim Rd San Pablo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $3,500 | $2.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4067 Wesley Way El Sobrante, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1245 | $3,900 | $3.13 | 10d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2601 Hilltop Dr San Pablo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $3,279 | $3.40 | 1d | 21 | 1.34mi |
| 3100 Ascot Ct San Pablo, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $2,995 | $2.72 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2152 Blue Jay Cir Pinole, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $3,295 | $2.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2152 Blue Jay Cir Pinole, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $3,295 | $2.19 | 12d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3081 Birmingham Dr Richmond, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,650 | $2.65 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1252 Marionola Way Pinole, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1167 | $3,195 | $2.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $626 · $7,512/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07status $349,000 Pending 109 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $349,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-02-16$349,000 Active 1168-char remark
Show marketing remark (1168 chars)
Priced to Sell- 3 Bedroom/2 Bathroom Town Home w/ Potential This 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom, townhome is priced right, offers a solid base of good bones and is waiting for someone's vision to bring out its full potential. The carpet has been removed from all floors providing a clean slate to install new flooring, paint, etc... to give the house your personal touch. There is also a 1 car garage and an added carport making for a very unique opportunity to have two places to park. There are plenty of rooms, lots of windows, and a functional design allowing for many possibilities for your renovations. Both bathrooms and the kitchen are original and will be easy to renovate if that is what you are looking for, or provide the perfect opportunity for the savvy real estate investor who sees this property as their next "value add" deal. Regardless of whether you are a homeowner looking to put some sweat equity into your home or an investor looking for another value add deal, this property provides everything you need: a good location, ample parking, and a price that is priced right to sell quickly. Being sold AS IS. Aggressively priced for a quick sale.
-
1978-05-30soldstatus $56,000
-
1977-12-01soldstatus $53,000
-
1977-12-01soldstatus $53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,993 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,993 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,549
- − Property taxes
- −$2,993
- − Insurance
- −$1,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,129
- − Management
- −$3,129
- − HOA
- −$7,512
- − Depreciation
- −$10,153
- Taxable loss
- −$9,093
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,182
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,127/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Contra Costa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0632550
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,837
- Composite
- 30.04/100
- National rank
- #11623
- State rank
- #993 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Richmond
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #497
- US rank
- #16759
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richmond, CA
- County
- Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
- City population
- 183,357
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,659
- Household income
- $118,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 613.0
Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,287,720 people
- By 2030
- 1,364,937 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 1,506,209 · +17.0%
- By 2050
- 1,624,373 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,853,193 · +43.9%
- By 2100
- 1,901,231 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 30% White 27% Asian 23% Two or more races 18% Black 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 7% Tagalog/Filipino 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -531.44%
- Current HPI
- 274.5772
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+558.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Listed $349,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 1978-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1977-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1977-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,993 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…