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1309 Pennsylvania Ave
D Composite 43.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.2/15.0

$234,900

1309 Pennsylvania Ave · Dallas, TX 75215
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1910 7,701 sqft lot $170/sqft · 12% above area Est $210k · 12% over ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

Key facts

  • 7,701 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($458/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dr Martin Luther King Jr Arts Academy (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 452 students, 93% FRL); Billy Earl Dade Middle (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 636 students, 100% FRL); James Madison H S (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 359 students, 96% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,459 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$210,000
List price
$234,900
Delta
11.86%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1570 Panama Pl 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,376 (-0%) 4mo $205,000 $149 82
3300 Holmes St 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,473 (+7%) 4mo $215,000 $146 72
1817 Cooper St 0.47mi 3/2.5 1,405 (+2%) 4mo $220,000 $157 66
3500 S Harwood St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,448 (+5%) 5mo $100,000 $69 62
2312 Jordan St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+0%) 1mo $188,500 $136 61
1422 Mcdonald Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-2%) 6mo $295,000 $219 60
3740 Wendelkin St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,478 (+7%) 7mo $125,000 $85 55
2225 Jordan St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,445 (+5%) 12mo $238,500 $165 49
3424 Kimble St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,178 (-15%) 2mo $150,000 $127 49
1806 Driskell St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,287 (-7%) 7mo $119,500 $93 47
2211 Romine Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (+6%) 6mo $99,995 $69 47
2244 Jordan St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-15%) 9mo $150,000 $128 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.79% appreciation · 7.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$13,736
Equity at exit
$77,624
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$97,976
Equity at exit
$101,200

Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75215

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,115 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$303 /mo · $3,632/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$444
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,066
Max offer price $234,900
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $171 -5% $105 +0% $38 +5% $-28 +10% $-95
Rent -10% $-129 -5% $-45 +0% $38 +5% $122 +10% $205
Rate -1.0pp $156 -0.5pp $98 base $38 +0.5pp $-23 +1.0pp $-85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,725
Closing costs
$7,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3609 Cleveland St Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 1500 $2,700 $1.80 10d 1 0.26mi
3413 Wendelkin St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1724 $2,650 $1.54 4d 1 0.34mi
3521 S Harwood St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1750 $2,700 $1.54 5d 1 0.43mi
3502 Edgewood St Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1866 $2,523 $1.35 4d 1 0.58mi
3501 Latimer St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,095 $1.09 5d 1 0.67mi
2507 Birmingham Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1516 $2,500 $1.65 27d 1 0.67mi
4024 Colonial Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1560 $2,400 $1.54 27d 1 0.72mi
1630 Poplar St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 903 $1,400 $1.55 27d 1 0.72mi
1628 Poplar St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 903 $1,400 $1.55 46d 1 0.72mi
1100 Corinth St Dallas, TX 2.0–3.0 2.5–3.5 1572 $3,595 $2.29 46d 10 0.81mi
2545 Metropolitan Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 936 $1,750 $1.87 2d 1 0.85mi
2020 S Ervay St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $2,325 $2.83 0d 55 0.86mi
948 Corinth St Unit 6 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1013 $1,625 $1.60 17d 1 0.86mi
948 Corinth St Unit 1 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1013 $1,650 $1.63 17d 1 0.86mi
948 Corinth St Unit 15 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 17d 1 0.86mi
948 Corinth St Unit 5 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 920 $1,850 $2.01 46d 1 0.86mi
948 Corinth St Unit 11 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1013 $1,595 $1.57 17d 1 0.86mi
948 Corinth St Unit 10 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 920 $1,525 $1.66 17d 1 0.86mi
2016 S Ervay St Unit B1 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1102 $2,225 $2.02 46d 1 0.86mi
2080 Kelly Ave Unit 109 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.5 1164 $2,595 $2.23 46d 1 0.90mi
1919 S Akard St Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 965 $2,054 $2.13 2d 8 0.91mi
3711 Guaranty St Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 984 $1,800 $1.83 17d 1 0.91mi
1900 S Ervay St Dallas, TX 2.0 3.0 1302 $3,700 $2.84 46d 1 0.94mi
215 Corinth St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 772 $1,518 $1.97 27d 74 0.95mi
1812 Hickory St Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $2,261 $2.74 46d 19 0.98mi
1704 Gould St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 46d 1 1.03mi
2216 Marburg St Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,750 $1.61 0d 1 1.05mi
2822 McDermott Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,795 $1.50 27d 1 1.10mi
2847 Metropolitan Ave Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1344 $2,050 $1.53 24d 1 1.10mi
4024 Myrtle St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,595 $1.44 7d 1 1.14mi
2218 Rockefeller Blvd Dallas, TX 3.0 1.0 1028 $1,750 $1.70 2d 1 1.19mi
2513 Southland St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1010 $1,299 $1.29 5d 1 1.21mi
2513 Southland St Dallas, TX 2.0 1.0 1010 $1,399 $1.39 23d 1 1.21mi
1409 Botham Jean Blvd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1766 $2,761 $1.56 1d 20 1.26mi
801 Avenue I Unit 1-205 Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1185 $2,099 $1.77 5d 1 1.28mi
2561 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,390 $1.59 9d 1 1.29mi
2563 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,240 $1.42 18d 1 1.29mi
2603 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,385 $1.58 46d 1 1.30mi
2615 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,280 $1.46 18d 1 1.31mi
2627 Elsie Faye Heggins St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 876 $1,280 $1.46 46d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $234,900 Pending 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $234,900 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $234,900 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $234,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $234,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $234,900 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $234,900 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-04-21
    price $234,900 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

  9. 2026-04-13
    status Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

  10. 2026-04-07
    historical Active Option Contract 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

  11. 2026-03-16
    price $245,000 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

  12. 2026-02-12
    listed $259,500 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

  13. 2026-02-12
    historical
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 3-bath single-family home offering 1,380 sq ft of total interior living space. This freshly remodeled residence sits on a spacious lot and features a beam and slab foundation. With a functional layout and ample living area, this property provides great potential for comfortable living or investment opportunities. Conveniently designed and great investor rental potential - voucher rent $1940 - section 8.

  14. 2026-01-13
    listed $269,500 Active
  15. 2013-07-16
    soldstatus
  16. 1999-04-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,632 · $303/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,299 · $358/mo
Expected delta
+$666/yr (+$56/mo · 18.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,375
− Mortgage interest
−$13,158
− Property taxes
−$3,632
− Insurance
−$1,174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,030
− Management
−$2,030
− Depreciation
−$6,833
Taxable loss
−$3,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$836
After-tax cash flow
$1,293/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,895
Household income
$45,557
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
1464.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 25% White 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 26%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.79%
Current HPI
224.2955
Rent YoY
▲ 7.19%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $234,900 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-04-07 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $245,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-12 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $259,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $269,500 NTREIS
  • 2013-07-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-04-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,632 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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