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8400 Hwy 178
B Composite 74.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.0/5.0

$75,000

8400 Hwy 178 · Inyokern, CA 93527
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,011 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1938 19 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tucked away near Walker Pass and completely surrounded by vast BLM land, this rare 19.46-acre property offers true off-grid privacy and endless wide-open California skies. Built in 1938, the 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home sits among mature trees that provide natural shade and beauty across the gently rolling landscape. This is a genuine piece of California history ready for its next chapter. The home is being sold strictly as-is, offering the perfect canvas for your vision-whether you're dreaming of a peaceful full-time retreat, a weekend getaway, or a self-sufficient property. Key Features & Amenities are: Solar well, Greenhouse, corrals and interior fencing, in addition to out-buildings

Key facts

  • Vast blm land
  • Off-grid privacy
  • Solar well

Tags

OFF-GRID PRIVACYVAST BLM LANDMATURE TREESNATURAL SHADEGENTLY ROLLING LANDSCAPESOLAR WELL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned A-1; Directions: South HWY178

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential single-family site-built home
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Composition/Shingle roof

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Partial interior information available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 39/100 on livability (#1,398 in CA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: crime A, commute A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, employment F.
  • Sierra Sands Unified (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #294 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 11→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
15.20%
Cash-on-cash
31.82%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
3.24×
Total profit
$47,018
Equity at exit
$36,423
10-year hold
IRR
38.0%
Equity multiple
6.46×
Total profit
$114,594
Equity at exit
$58,329

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93527

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,275 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $308/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$557

Break-even live

Break-even rent $570
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$308 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$570 · $48/mo
Expected delta
+$262/yr (+$22/mo · 84.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 11 d/yr ≥99°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,298
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$308
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,224
− Management
−$1,224
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,388
After-tax cash flow
$5,294/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sierra Sands Unified
NCES district ID
0636800
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$58,937
Composite
28.66/100
National rank
#6699
State rank
#294 of 517 in CA

Livability — Inyokern

Score
39/100
State rank
#1398
US rank
#27420

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,801

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Portuguese 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.63%
Current HPI
501.6357
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending SSMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $75,000 SSMLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $308 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…