8400 Hwy 178 · Inyokern, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 11 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.0/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away near Walker Pass and completely surrounded by vast BLM land, this rare 19.46-acre property offers true off-grid privacy and endless wide-open California skies. Built in 1938, the 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home sits among mature trees that provide natural shade and beauty across the gently rolling landscape. This is a genuine piece of California history ready for its next chapter. The home is being sold strictly as-is, offering the perfect canvas for your vision-whether you're dreaming of a peaceful full-time retreat, a weekend getaway, or a self-sufficient property. Key Features & Amenities are: Solar well, Greenhouse, corrals and interior fencing, in addition to out-buildings
Key facts
- Vast blm land
- Off-grid privacy
- Solar well
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned A-1; Directions: South HWY178
Exterior
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Residential single-family site-built home
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Composition/Shingle roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Partial interior information available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 39/100 on livability (#1,398 in CA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: crime A, commute A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, employment F.
- Sierra Sands Unified (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #294 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 11→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.82%
- DSCR
- 2.42
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $47,018
- Equity at exit
- $36,423
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.46×
- Total profit
- $114,594
- Equity at exit
- $58,329
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93527
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 93
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $308/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $557
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-04-29$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $308 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $570 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 84.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 11 d/yr ≥99°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,298
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$308
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $5,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,388
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,294/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sierra Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636800
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,937
- Composite
- 28.66/100
- National rank
- #6699
- State rank
- #294 of 517 in CA
Livability — Inyokern
- Score
- 39/100
- State rank
- #1398
- US rank
- #27420
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,801
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.63%
- Current HPI
- 501.6357
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — SSMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $75,000 SSMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $308 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…