1110 North Henness Rd 2302 Plan · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.2
$154,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautiful new 2 bedroom, 2 bath home located at 2302 Rocky Mountain Drive. This spacious home features a desirable island kitchen complete with stainless steel appliances and offering plenty of counter space for cooking, entertaining and everyday living. The thoughtfully designed floor plan includes a dedicated laundry room for added convenience and a generous primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and a private ensuite bathroom with a step-shower. Guests will appreciate the comfortable second bedroom and full bath, perfect for visitors or a home office set up.
Key facts
- Island kitchen
- Walk-in closet
- Step-shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($491/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (9.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mesquite Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 467 students, 85% FRL); Cactus Middle School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #156 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 779 students, 63% FRL); Vista Grande High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #279 of 381 statewide, top 73%, 1,790 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 901 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.13%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,284
- List price
- $154,995
- Delta
- -33.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1873 E Birch St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,237 (+4%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $184 | 80 |
| 1829 E Sandalwood Rd | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,297 (+9%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $197 | 68 |
| 1547 E 12th St | 0.96mi | 2/2.0 | 1,218 (+2%) | 0mo | $266,900 | $219 | 61 |
| 1647 E Krystal St | 0.81mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,198 (+1%) | 1mo | $281,000 | $235 | 58 |
| 1718 E Birch St | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,013 (-15%) | 4mo | $248,000 | $245 | 47 |
| 2415 E Antigua Dr | 1.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,322 (+11%) | 0mo | $247,000 | $187 | 46 |
| 67 N Montoro Ln | 1.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,338 (+13%) | 2mo | $255,500 | $191 | 42 |
| 77 N Montoro Ln | 1.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,461 (+23%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $188 | 39 |
| 1313 E 10th Pl | 1.47mi | 2/2.0 | 962 (-19%) | 1mo | $201,500 | $209 | 39 |
| 1533 E Laurel Dr | 1.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (+23%) | 3mo | $205,832 | $141 | 38 |
| 2432 E Santiago Trl | 1.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,453 (+22%) | 3mo | $314,000 | $216 | 37 |
| 97 N Montoro Ln | 1.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,433 (+21%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $192 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-20,187
- Equity at exit
- $23,110
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,376
- Equity at exit
- $13,401
Cash invested: $43,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 31 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $159,995 ($137/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 118 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +42.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 901
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,408 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $94 | +0% $41 | +5% $-13 | +10% $-66 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-70 | -5% $-15 | +0% $41 | +5% $97 | +10% $152 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $119 | -0.5pp $80 | base $41 | +0.5pp $1 | +1.0pp $-40 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,749
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1771 E McMurray Blvd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 733 | $1,395 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 422 N Via Del Cielo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,172 | $1.99 | 0d | 27 | 0.37mi |
| 1762 E Sycamore Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $3,500 | $2.75 | 74d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1821 E Florence Blvd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1091 | $1,604 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1000 N Arizola Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 621 | $1,290 | $2.08 | 0d | 20 | 0.46mi |
| 1727 E Birch St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 30d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1110 Henness Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,649 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1682 E Kielly Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $2,400 | $1.61 | 54d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 255 N Camino Mercado Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $1,660 | $1.59 | 0d | 64 | 0.98mi |
| 1456 E 9th St #118 Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,325 | $0.89 | 33d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 22 S Boniface Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,699 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 351 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,383 | $1.44 | 0d | 13 | 1.20mi |
| 1566 E Fletcher Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,875 | $1.30 | 116d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1575 E Fletcher Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,795 | $1.25 | 63d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 344 N Pottebaum Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $1,215 | $0.97 | 0d | 3 | 1.28mi |
| 1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1221 | $1,399 | $1.15 | 0d | 49 | 1.38mi |
| 1450 E Cottonwood Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,845 | $2.25 | 0d | 64 | 1.46mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Listed as active with a list price of $189,995
Exterior
- Home design
- Plan home (Plan name: 1110 North Henness Rd 2302)
- Construction
- Living area approximately 1,188
- Exterior features
- Located on North Henness Road in Casa Grande
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Open living area
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $154,995 Active 118 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $154,995 Active 117 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $154,995 Active 116 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $154,995 Active 115 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $154,995 Active 114 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $154,995 Active 113 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $154,995 Active 112 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $154,995 Active 111 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $154,995 Active 110 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $154,995 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $154,995 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $154,995 Active 107 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $154,995 Active 106 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $154,995 Active 100 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $154,995 Active 99 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $154,995 Active 98 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $154,995 Active 95 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $154,995 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $154,995 Active 93 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $154,995 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $154,995 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $154,995 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $154,995 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $154,995 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $154,995 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $154,995 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $154,995 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $154,995 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $154,995 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $154,995 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $154,995 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $154,995 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $154,995 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $154,995 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $154,995 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $154,995 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $154,995 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $154,995 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $154,995 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $154,995 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $154,995 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $154,995 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $154,995 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $154,995 Active 67 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $154,995 Active 64 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $154,995 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $154,995 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $154,995 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $154,995 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $154,995 Active 57 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,325
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,351
- − Management
- −$1,351
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$2,102
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$504
- After-tax cash flow
- $995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This move-in-ready manufactured home features a spacious layout with new appliances and flooring, making it an excellent investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 437,574 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…