3914 5th Ave E · Hibbing, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!
Key facts
- Insulated garage
- Heated garage
- New man door
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Insulated, heated garage with concrete floor and storage; Garage approximately 26 x 30 (2.5 garage spaces)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; 100 amp electric service; Power by Hawley Public Utilities; Fuel: Electric and natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One-story (with lower level finished area); Entry faces front
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area 952)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storage shed; Lot approximately 50 x 125 on a city street; Publicly maintained road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Wall oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen with window
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Main level bedroom (11.8 x 12.3); Lower level bedroom (13.5 x 10.5); Lower level bedroom (9.5 x 11.6); Additional bedroom (12.3 x 8.7)
- Bathrooms: Main-floor full bathroom (15 x 6); Lower-level three-quarter bathroom (12.8 x 7.3)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Main-floor primary bedroom; Washer/dryer hookup; Finished basement with storage space; Sump pump; Exhaust fan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement with washer hookup, electric dryer hookup and laundry sink; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (30.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in MN, #2,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hibbing Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #150 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.03%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $136,136
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3825 E 4th Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.7 | 975 (+2%) | 2mo | $79,000 | $81 | 86 |
| 4228 4th Ave. Ave E | 0.37mi | 2/1.2 | 992 (+4%) | 5mo | $141,500 | $143 | 69 |
| 4053 Stuntz Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+10%) | 4mo | $169,500 | $162 | 62 |
| 3330 Outer Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 977 (+3%) | 6mo | $131,500 | $135 | 62 |
| 1514 E 41st St | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 956 (+0%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $199 | 57 |
| 3833 3rd Ave Ave W | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (+5%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 3718 4th Ave Ave W | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-9%) | 1mo | $123,400 | $143 | 52 |
| 3425 2nd Ave Ave W | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,020 (+7%) | 17mo | $128,500 | $126 | 43 |
| 3410 4th Ave W | 0.75mi | 2/1.2 | 1,040 (+9%) | 6mo | $133,000 | $128 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-35,232
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-40,746
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55746
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,144/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $-120
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-24 | -5% $-72 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-168 | +10% $-216 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-214 | -5% $-167 | +0% $-120 | +5% $-73 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-35 | -0.5pp $-77 | base $-120 | +0.5pp $-164 | +1.0pp $-209 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 E 40th St Hibbing, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,135 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3505 9th Ave W Unit 1 Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $750 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3505 9th Ave W Unit 2 Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 627 | $748 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1643 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1606 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1605 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1615 1/2 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $940 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1621 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $940 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-27historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-04-24$169,900 Active
-
2023-09-14soldstatus $157,000
-
2023-09-08soldstatus $157,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!
-
2023-09-08soldstatus $157,000 Closed 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!
-
2023-08-03price $159,900 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!
-
2023-07-26$159,900 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!
-
2023-07-26$169,900 Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!
-
2021-05-24soldstatus $119,900
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2021-05-24soldstatus $119,900
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2021-03-24$129,900
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2021-03-24$129,900
-
2021-03-17soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,144 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,523 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$379/yr (+$32/mo · 33.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,144
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$4,497
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $-361/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hibbing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2713980
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,666
- Composite
- 40.7/100
- National rank
- #3667
- State rank
- #150 of 301 in MN
Livability — Hibbing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #2307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hibbing, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 16,730
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,730
- Household income
- $55,823
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 623.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.85%
- Current HPI
- 220.7198
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+226.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $157,000 RAOR
- 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $157,000 LSAR
- 2023-08-03 Price Changed $159,900 RAOR
- 2023-07-26 Listed $169,900 RAOR
- 2023-07-26 Listed $159,900 LSAR
- 2021-05-24 Sold (MLS) $119,900 RAOR
- 2021-05-24 Sold (MLS) $119,900 LSAR
- 2021-03-24 Listed $129,900 RAOR
- 2021-03-24 Listed $129,900 LSAR
- 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,144 · -35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…