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3914 5th Ave E
F Composite 27.09
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

3914 5th Ave E · Hibbing, MN 55746
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1950 6,882 sqft lot Est $136k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!

Key facts

  • Insulated garage
  • Heated garage
  • New man door

Tags

OVERSIZED GARAGEINSULATED GARAGEHEATED GARAGENEW WATER HEATERNEW MAN DOORNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Insulated, heated garage with concrete floor and storage; Garage approximately 26 x 30 (2.5 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; 100 amp electric service; Power by Hawley Public Utilities; Fuel: Electric and natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story (with lower level finished area); Entry faces front
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation (foundation area 952)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Storage shed; Lot approximately 50 x 125 on a city street; Publicly maintained road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Wall oven; Refrigerator; Kitchen with window
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Main level bedroom (11.8 x 12.3); Lower level bedroom (13.5 x 10.5); Lower level bedroom (9.5 x 11.6); Additional bedroom (12.3 x 8.7)
  • Bathrooms: Main-floor full bathroom (15 x 6); Lower-level three-quarter bathroom (12.8 x 7.3)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Kitchen window; Main-floor primary bedroom; Washer/dryer hookup; Finished basement with storage space; Sump pump; Exhaust fan
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement with washer hookup, electric dryer hookup and laundry sink; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-120 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (12.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (30.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in MN, #2,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hibbing Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #150 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,611 (30.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.03%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,136
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3825 E 4th Ave 0.16mi 2/1.7 975 (+2%) 2mo $79,000 $81 86
4228 4th Ave. Ave E 0.37mi 2/1.2 992 (+4%) 5mo $141,500 $143 69
4053 Stuntz Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,048 (+10%) 4mo $169,500 $162 62
3330 Outer Dr 0.61mi 2/2.0 977 (+3%) 6mo $131,500 $135 62
1514 E 41st St 0.60mi 1/1.0 (-1) 956 (+0%) 7mo $190,000 $199 57
3833 3rd Ave Ave W 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,001 (+5%) 7mo $169,000 $169 53
3718 4th Ave Ave W 0.58mi 2/1.0 864 (-9%) 1mo $123,400 $143 52
3425 2nd Ave Ave W 0.65mi 2/2.0 1,020 (+7%) 17mo $128,500 $126 43
3410 4th Ave W 0.75mi 2/1.2 1,040 (+9%) 6mo $133,000 $128 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-35,232
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-15.1%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-40,746
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55746

Home prices YoY
-18.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,186 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,144/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$-120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,338
Max offer price $148,690
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-24 -5% $-72 +0% $-120 +5% $-168 +10% $-216
Rent -10% $-214 -5% $-167 +0% $-120 +5% $-73 +10% $-26
Rate -1.0pp $-35 -0.5pp $-77 base $-120 +0.5pp $-164 +1.0pp $-209

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
600 E 40th St Hibbing, MN 1.0–2.0 1.0 729 $1,135 $1.56 14d 1 0.12mi
3505 9th Ave W Unit 1 Hibbing, MN 2.0 1.0 627 $750 $1.20 14d 1 0.99mi
3505 9th Ave W Unit 2 Hibbing, MN 2.0 1.0 627 $748 $1.19 14d 1 0.99mi
1643 E 29th St Hibbing, MN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,160 $1.16 14d 1 1.19mi
1606 E 29th St Hibbing, MN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,160 $1.16 14d 1 1.19mi
1605 E 29th St Hibbing, MN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,160 $1.16 44d 1 1.20mi
1615 1/2 E 29th St Hibbing, MN 1.0 1.0 750 $940 $1.25 14d 1 1.23mi
1621 E 29th St Hibbing, MN 1.0 1.0 750 $940 $1.25 14d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-27
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-04-24
    listed $169,900 Active
  4. 2023-09-14
    soldstatus $157,000
  5. 2023-09-08
    soldstatus $157,000 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!

  6. 2023-09-08
    soldstatus $157,000 Closed 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!

  7. 2023-08-03
    price $159,900 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!

  8. 2023-07-26
    listed $159,900 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!

  9. 2023-07-26
    listed $169,900 Active 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    Check out this move in ready 4 BR Rambler! New flooring throughout main level. Newer windows. Heted, insulation 24x30 garage. Front entry with double closets. Nicely landscaped with an apple tree & raspberries. Lots of storage space too!

  10. 2021-05-24
    soldstatus $119,900
  11. 2021-05-24
    soldstatus $119,900
  12. 2021-03-24
    listed $129,900
  13. 2021-03-24
    listed $129,900
  14. 2021-03-17
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,144 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,523 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$379/yr (+$32/mo · 33.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,233
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,144
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,139
− Management
−$1,139
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$4,497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,079
After-tax cash flow
$-361/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hibbing Public School District
NCES district ID
2713980
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$41,666
Composite
40.7/100
National rank
#3667
State rank
#150 of 301 in MN

Livability — Hibbing

Score
79/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#2307

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hibbing, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
16,730
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,730
Household income
$55,823
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.85%
Current HPI
220.7198
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+226.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $157,000 RAOR
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (MLS) $157,000 LSAR
  • 2023-08-03 Price Changed $159,900 RAOR
  • 2023-07-26 Listed $169,900 RAOR
  • 2023-07-26 Listed $159,900 LSAR
  • 2021-05-24 Sold (MLS) $119,900 RAOR
  • 2021-05-24 Sold (MLS) $119,900 LSAR
  • 2021-03-24 Listed $129,900 RAOR
  • 2021-03-24 Listed $129,900 LSAR
  • 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,144 · -35.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…