108 Cane Creek Rd · Old Fort, NC 28762

$174,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1995

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +16.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.2/10.0
• 1% rule +4.6/10.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

FOR SALE & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; 108 Cane Creek Rd, Old Fort, NC $174,900 | 3 Bed / 2 Bath | 1.02 Acres | Estate Sale Manufactured home on approximately 1.02 acres in a rural setting. 1995 doublewide 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and approximately 955 square feet of living space. The property includes a detached garage with additional workshop/storage area. Typical wear consistent with age. The property offers usable land, a creek along the front portion. And the neighbor is interested in selling land next to it. Property has great potential. Property Details: 3 Bedrooms / 2 Bathrooms ~955 sq ft 1.02 acres Detached garage with workshop/storage Private well and septic Heat pu

Key facts

• Workshop storage
• Private well
• Septic

Tags

• DETACHED GARAGE
• WORKSHOP STORAGE
• USABLE LAND
• CREEK FRONTAGE
• PRIVATE WELL
• SEPTIC

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($578/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (4.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $168k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.9% in Old Fort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#269 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
• Mcdowell County Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #115 of 178 in NC (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Old Fort Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 316 students, 76% FRL); West Mcdowell Middle School (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #270 of 475 statewide, top 57%, 605 students, 67% FRL); Mcdowell High School (math 50% / reading 57%, grade C-, #279 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 1,416 students, 60% FRL).
• Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 175 units permitted in McDowell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• McDowell County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $167,508 (4.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.96% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.81%
• DSCR: 1.12
• GRM: 8.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -14.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.49×
• Total profit: $-25,208
• Equity at exit: $26,078

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.64×
• Total profit: $-17,732
• Equity at exit: $15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 28762

• Home prices YoY: -30.6%
• Active inventory: 89
• Price-to-rent: 8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,675 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$917
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$219 /mo · $2,624/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$352
• Net cashflow: $48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,614

Max offer price $174,900

Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $169	-5% $109	+0% $48	+5% $-12	+10% $-73
Rent	-10% $-84	-5% $-18	+0% $48	+5% $114	+10% $180
Rate	-1.0pp $136	-0.5pp $93	base $48	+0.5pp $3	+1.0pp $-43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,725
• Closing costs: $5,247
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $174,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,101
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,797
• − Property taxes: −$2,624
• − Insurance: −$1,672
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,608
• − Management: −$1,608
• − Depreciation: −$5,088
• Taxable loss: −$2,296
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$551
• After-tax cash flow: $1,129/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mcdowell County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3702940
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $36,769
• Composite: 33.6/100
• National rank: #5413
• State rank: #115 of 178 in NC

Livability — Old Fort

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #269
• US rank: #11671

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,305

Population outlook (McDowell County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 44,615 people
• By 2030: 44,002 · -1.4%
• By 2040: 42,285 · -5.2%
• By 2050: 39,906 · -10.6%
• By 2075: 34,396 · -22.9%
• By 2100: 27,970 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McDowell

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+49.2) · D 25.1% · R 74.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -49.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+49.2 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -76.82%
• Current HPI: 174.597
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Listed $174,900 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $228 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.