573 Turquoise Dr · Whitmore Lake, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful one-owner 2019 Clayton home featuring an open floor plan, starting with a wide foyer with a desk area, leading to the kitchen with a large island with a modern sink, abundant counter and cabinet space and a walk-in pantry. The dining area flows to the living room. This home has a roomy primary bedroom with ensuite bathroom and two more ample bedrooms. There is also a second full bathroom and a laundry room. The owners added a flex room at the end of the living room with a removable wall should the new homeowner wish to have a bigger living room instead. The owners will leave the ceiling fan and window valance that were taken down to put the wall up. The home sits on a corner lot and has a driveway that enters from each road essentially creating a small circular driveway. The community offers a clubhouse and two playgrounds as well. (BATVAI)
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large island
- Flex room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Northfield Estates Mobile Home Community; Directions available to the property
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Association fee approximately $605 per month; Community clubhouse; Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway; No garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Lot approximately 50 x 100 (0.1 acre); No pool; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; breed restrictions may apply)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing gas range; Range hood; Microwave; Free-standing refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Exhaust fan for ventilation
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; High-speed internet; Negotiable furnishings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 2.8% in Whitmore Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#279 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Whitmore Lake Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #213 of 540 in MI (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.34%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $335,552
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 579 Turquoise Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-4%) | 12mo | $65,000 | $43 | 77 |
| 9217 Lakewood Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (-6%) | 12mo | $317,000 | $215 | 67 |
| 9416 Wildwood Lake Dr | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 1,716 (+9%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $189 | 58 |
| 9477 Sandlewood Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (-6%) | 16mo | $347,000 | $235 | 55 |
| 9083 Wildwood Lake Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,508 (-4%) | 9mo | $420,000 | $279 | 54 |
| 9350 Sand Pointe Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,659 (+6%) | 16mo | $355,000 | $214 | 52 |
| 2 Emerald Cir | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 8mo | $59,900 | $45 | 51 |
| 365 Barker Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 1,400 (-11%) | 23mo | $357,500 | $255 | 35 |
| 9027 Wildwood Lake Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,794 (+14%) | 18mo | $280,000 | $156 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $15,184
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $52,046
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48189
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,101 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$605
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $514 | -5% $483 | +0% $453 | +5% $423 | +10% $393 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $287 | -5% $370 | +0% $453 | +5% $536 | +10% $619 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $497 | -0.5pp $476 | base $453 | +0.5pp $431 | +1.0pp $408 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 Emerald Cir Whitmore Lake, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1216 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 11859 N Main St Unit 1 Whitmore Lake, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1173 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $605 · $7,260/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
Beautiful one-owner 2019 Clayton home featuring an open floor plan, starting with a wide foyer with a desk area, leading to the kitchen with a large island with a modern sink, abundant counter and cabinet space and a walk-in pantry. The dining area flows to the living room. This home has a roomy primary bedroom with ensuite bathroom and two more ample bedrooms. There is also a second full bathroom and a laundry room. The owners added a flex room at the end of the living room with a removable wall should the new homeowner wish to have a bigger living room instead. The owners will leave the ceiling fan and window valance that were taken down to put the wall up. The home sits on a corner lot and has a driveway that enters from each road essentially creating a small circular driveway. The community offers a clubhouse and two playgrounds as well. (BATVAI)
-
2026-05-15status Pending 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
Beautiful one-owner 2019 Clayton home featuring an open floor plan, starting with a wide foyer with a desk area, leading to the kitchen with a large island with a modern sink, abundant counter and cabinet space and a walk-in pantry. The dining area flows to the living room. This home has a roomy primary bedroom with ensuite bathroom and two more ample bedrooms. There is also a second full bathroom and a laundry room. The owners added a flex room at the end of the living room with a removable wall should the new homeowner wish to have a bigger living room instead. The owners will leave the ceiling fan and window valance that were taken down to put the wall up. The home sits on a corner lot and has a driveway that enters from each road essentially creating a small circular driveway. The community offers a clubhouse and two playgrounds as well. (BATVAI)
-
2026-02-16$87,000 Active
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
Beautiful one-owner 2019 Clayton home featuring an open floor plan, starting with a wide foyer with a desk area, leading to the kitchen with a large island with a modern sink, abundant counter and cabinet space and a walk-in pantry. The dining area flows to the living room. This home has a roomy primary bedroom with ensuite bathroom and two more ample bedrooms. There is also a second full bathroom and a laundry room. The owners added a flex room at the end of the living room with a removable wall should the new homeowner wish to have a bigger living room instead. The owners will leave the ceiling fan and window valance that were taken down to put the wall up. The home sits on a corner lot and has a driveway that enters from each road essentially creating a small circular driveway. The community offers a clubhouse and two playgrounds as well. (BATVAI)
-
2026-02-16$87,000 Active 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
Beautiful one-owner 2019 Clayton home featuring an open floor plan, starting with a wide foyer with a desk area, leading to the kitchen with a large island with a modern sink, abundant counter and cabinet space and a walk-in pantry. The dining area flows to the living room. This home has a roomy primary bedroom with ensuite bathroom and two more ample bedrooms. There is also a second full bathroom and a laundry room. The owners added a flex room at the end of the living room with a removable wall should the new homeowner wish to have a bigger living room instead. The owners will leave the ceiling fan and window valance that were taken down to put the wall up. The home sits on a corner lot and has a driveway that enters from each road essentially creating a small circular driveway. The community offers a clubhouse and two playgrounds as well. (BATVAI)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,210
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$1,305
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,017
- − Management
- −$2,017
- − HOA
- −$7,260
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable income
- $4,772
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,145
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitmore Lake Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2636330
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,263
- Composite
- 34.13/100
- National rank
- #5286
- State rank
- #213 of 540 in MI
Livability — Whitmore Lake
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #279
- US rank
- #6864
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitmore Lake, MI
- County
- Washtenaw County · 306,860 people
- City population
- 13,893
- Metro
- Ann Arbor, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,893
- Household income
- $87,145
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 105.0
Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 402,878 people
- By 2030
- 424,104 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 464,633 · +15.3%
- By 2050
- 504,728 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 614,463 · +52.5%
- By 2100
- 676,181 · +67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.47%
- Current HPI
- 187.7383
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ann Arbor, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $87,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $87,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-82.6%/yrLatest (2025): $14 · -82.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…