3391 Union Mill Rd · Lexington-Fayette, KY 40356

$90,000

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,262 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market

Fair condition 0.49 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +4.4/5.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Conveniently situated just minutes from Nicholasville, Lexington, and I-75, this property offers an outstanding location with easy access to shopping, dining, schools, and employment opportunities, all while living in a rural atmosphere. Situated on a nice . 48+/- acre lot, this home features a large yard, a fenced backyard with plenty of space for a garden, and a detached one-car garage. Whether you are looking for your next renovation project, a rental property, or a place to make your own, this property has tremendous potential. The home offers: 2 Bedrooms, 1.5 Baths, a formal living room, a separate den with a fireplace and an eat-in kitchen. While the home needs some repairs and genera

Key facts

• Large yard
• Solid foundation
• Fenced backyard

Tags

• EASY ACCESS TO SHOPPING
• FENCED BACKYARD
• LARGE YARD
• SOLID FOUNDATION

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage; Property has a garage
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected
• Home design: House; Single story
• Construction: Brick veneer construction; Block foundation; Composition roof; Building area reported as 1,262
• Exterior features: Brick veneer exterior; Block foundation; Composition roof; Not waterfront; Lot listed as approximately 0.5439 acres

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
• Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Ceiling heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
• Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.8% in Lexington-Fayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Jessamine County (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 165 in KY (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Hattie C. Warner Elementary School (math 28% / reading 42%, grade F, #298 of 676 statewide, top 44%, 528 students, 54% FRL); East Jessamine Middle School (math 23% / reading 44%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 936 students, 56% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 496 active listings in the ZIP; 267 units permitted in Jessamine County in 2024 (9 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jessamine County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.73% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.03%
• DSCR: 2.29
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $252,400
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3300 Union Mill Rd	0.30mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,374 (+9%)	15mo	$275,000	$200	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 28.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.26×
• Total profit: $31,649
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 38.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.40×
• Total profit: $110,887
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 40356

• Home prices YoY: -18.6%
• Rents YoY: 7.5%
• Active inventory: 496
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,559 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$327
• Net cashflow: $610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   remarks 699-char remark
4. 2026-06-16
   listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,708
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$1,350
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,497
• − Management: −$1,497
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $6,256
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,501
• After-tax cash flow: $5,815/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate repairs and organization to improve its condition and value. It has potential for both resale and rental.

Repairs flagged

• Minor Kitchen cabinets — Cabinets appear slightly worn
• Minor Bathroom fixtures — Fixtures appear slightly worn
• Minor Flooring — Flooring is cluttered with items

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
• Both Clean and organize kitchen and bathroom — A clean and organized space enhances the home's appeal
• Both Replace flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Cabinets appear slightly worn	Minor	$500–3,000
Bathroom fixtures · Fixtures appear slightly worn	Minor	$500–3,000
Flooring · Flooring is cluttered with items	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items		$1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
• Both Clean and organize kitchen and bathroom — A clean and organized space enhances the home's appeal ↑
• Both Replace flooring — New flooring can significantly improve the home's appearance and value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jessamine County
• NCES district ID: 2103030
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $50,249
• Composite: 32.81/100
• National rank: #5623
• State rank: #37 of 165 in KY

Livability — Lexington-Fayette

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Jessamine County · 45,849 people
• City population: 321,882
• Metro: Lexington-Fayette, KY
• Population (ZIP): 45,849
• Household income: $74,495
• Rent vs Own: 32.5% rent · 67.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 1186.0

Population outlook (Jessamine County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 58,419 people
• By 2030: 61,468 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 66,952 · +14.6%
• By 2050: 71,357 · +22.1%
• By 2075: 80,325 · +37.5%
• By 2100: 83,848 · +43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jessamine

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -37.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+40.0 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+37.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -61.88%
• Current HPI: 270.2432
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.50%
• Metro: Lexington-Fayette, KY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Listed $90,000 ImagineMLS