🏷️ Likely Rental
533 E Zion St · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect home to ass to your investment portfolio! Stable renter in place 3 bed 1.5 bath.
Key facts
- 6,720 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1936
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; High-speed internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and range connections; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub (hall); One half bathroom (master)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Accessible doors; Laminate countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater; Utility room (inside)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.8% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.74%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $121,770
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 E Zion Pl | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 990 (0%) | 2mo | $151,000 | $153 | 91 |
| 512 E Xyler St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-6%) | 9mo | $113,000 | $121 | 74 |
| 525 E Young St | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 945 (-4%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 223 E 27th Ct N | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 992 (+0%) | 8mo | $37,000 | $37 | 69 |
| 2535 N Boston Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+3%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $123 | 68 |
| 111 E 26th Pl | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 868 (-12%) | 2mo | $69,500 | $80 | 56 |
| 232 E Mohawk Blvd | 0.29mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 881 (-11%) | 9mo | $135,000 | $153 | 55 |
| 1961 N Boston Pl | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,082 (+9%) | 1mo | $72,500 | $67 | 54 |
| 238 E Seminole Pl | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,033 (+4%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $82 | 54 |
| 2512 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (+13%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $90 | 54 |
| 1965 N Boston Pl | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+13%) | 4mo | $161,000 | $144 | 51 |
| 3125 N Hartford Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-8%) | 6mo | $134,000 | $147 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $27,351
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $80,143
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74106
- Home prices YoY
- -2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,521 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $561/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $697 | -5% $671 | +0% $646 | +5% $620 | +10% $595 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $525 | -5% $586 | +0% $646 | +5% $706 | +10% $766 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $691 | -0.5pp $669 | base $646 | +0.5pp $622 | +1.0pp $599 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238 E Young Pl Unit A Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,550 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 238 E Young Pl Unit B Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2144 N Garrison Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,050 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.32mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 88-char remark
-
2026-06-16$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $561 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $810 · $67/mo
- Expected delta
- +$249/yr (+$21/mo · 44.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$561
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,460
- − Management
- −$1,460
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $6,665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,599
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,655
- Household income
- $40,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1055.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.58%
- Current HPI
- 179.5268
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $561 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…