683 Capital Ave NE · Battle Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1918
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $193 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.5% in Battle Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.17%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,086
- List price
- $160,000
- Delta
- 11.82%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 Magnolia Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,740 (+7%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $106 | 77 |
| 16 S Broad St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,556 (-4%) | 1mo | $163,000 | $105 | 71 |
| 80 Piper Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 | 1,522 (-6%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $88 | 70 |
| 20 Piper Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,665 (+3%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $97 | 69 |
| 20 Fairview Ave | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 | 1,496 (-8%) | 1mo | $162,000 | $108 | 68 |
| 90 N Broad St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $92 | 67 |
| 26 E Ave N | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (-10%) | 5mo | $43,000 | $30 | 65 |
| 26 E Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (-10%) | 5mo | $43,000 | $30 | 65 |
| 28 Convis St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,842 (+14%) | 6mo | $36,400 | $20 | 64 |
| 157 Orchard Ave | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 | 1,585 (-2%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $126 | 63 |
| 63 N Wabash Ave N | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-5%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $49 | 60 |
| 144 Orchard Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,385 (-14%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $144 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-13,648
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,892
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49017
- Home prices YoY
- -32.2%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,570 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,697/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $284 | -5% $238 | +0% $193 | +5% $148 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $69 | -5% $131 | +0% $193 | +5% $255 | +10% $317 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $274 | -0.5pp $234 | base $193 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 West St Battle Creek, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1090 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 45d | 3 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $160,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-31price $165,000 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
-
2026-03-31price $165,000 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
-
2026-03-31price $165,000
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
-
2026-03-06$170,000 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
-
2026-03-06$170,000 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
-
2026-03-06$170,000 Active
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Four bedroom, 2 full bath home with 2100+ sq ft. of living space. Full basement with entertainment room, 2 car detached garage. Updated, open floor plan with large kitchen, dining room and living room. Newer roof and furnace.
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2025-05-01soldstatus $155,000
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2025-04-29soldstatus $155,000 Sold
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2025-04-29soldstatus $155,000 Closed
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2025-04-29soldstatus $155,000 Closed
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2025-03-20status Pending
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2025-03-20$155,000 Active
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2025-03-20$155,000
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2025-03-20historical
-
2025-03-20$155,000
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2025-03-20historical
-
2004-08-20soldstatus $102,400
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2003-11-03$105,900
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2003-11-03$105,900
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1996-11-20soldstatus $71,200
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1996-11-20soldstatus $71,200
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1996-09-08$69,900
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1996-09-08$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,080 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$384/yr (+$32/mo · 22.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,697
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable loss
- −$291
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Creek Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2600005
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,697
- Composite
- 10.73/100
- National rank
- #9769
- State rank
- #510 of 540 in MI
Livability — Battle Creek
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #5031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Battle Creek, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- City population
- 91,590
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,295
- Household income
- $60,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 697.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.68%
- Current HPI
- 243.5008
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+136.1% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $165,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $165,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $165,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $170,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $170,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-06 Listed $170,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-29 Sold (MLS) $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-29 Sold (MLS) $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-29 Sold (MLS) $155,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-03-20 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-03-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-03-20 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-20 Listed $155,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2004-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $102,400 Public Records
- 2003-11-03 Listed $105,900 REALCOMP
- 2003-11-03 Listed $105,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1996-11-20 Sold (MLS) $71,200 REALCOMP
- 1996-11-20 Sold (MLS) $71,200 SW Michigan MLS
- 1996-09-08 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 1996-09-08 Listed $69,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,697 · -44.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…