436 Fulton St · Burlington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Special in East Burlington- This 3-bedroom 1 bath home sits on a large clear flat lot offering excellent potential for renovation, rental or redevelopment. Conveniently located near shopping, dining and major highways for easy access. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Property sold as-is.
Key facts
- Large clear flat lot
- Built 1963
- Listed 56 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no garage)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1963; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: City lot; Cleared land; Public maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: One den on the main level (used as a bedroom/living space)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling; No fuel for heating
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Attic access only; Wood flooring throughout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.99%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Lincoln St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-1%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $185 | 84 |
| 525 Lee St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-15%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $270 | 64 |
| 707 Richmond Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (+8%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $208 | 63 |
| 905 N Park Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 824 (+0%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $172 | 61 |
| 444 Jeffries St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 908 (+11%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $215 | 56 |
| 106 Highland Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 857 (+4%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $210 | 56 |
| 331 Highland Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-2%) | 13mo | $100,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 415 Green St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 810 (-1%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $222 | 55 |
| 424 Jeffries St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 916 (+12%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $191 | 53 |
| 1118 Jackson St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 830 (+1%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $199 | 50 |
| 1210 Shaw St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 727 (-11%) | 13mo | $195,000 | $268 | 44 |
| 903 N Park Rd | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (+11%) | 15mo | $116,000 | $127 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $10,718
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $36,600
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27217
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $466
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 824 Chandler Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 306 N Ireland St Unit 306 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,250 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1055 Baldwin Ridge Rd Burlington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,799 | $1.76 | 13d | 19 | 0.42mi |
| 910 N Main St Unit A Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1016 Grace Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,245 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 525 Lakeside Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1000 Camden St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 654 Lakeside Ave Unit 654 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,125 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 709 Maryland Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,225 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 511 W Davis St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,395 | $2.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1900 Morningside Dr Burlington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1013 Attica St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,245 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 805 S Broad St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-13price $100,000
-
2026-03-30$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,407
- − Management
- −$1,407
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,258
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,022
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom home requires moderate renovations to its kitchen and bathroom, along with some landscaping improvements. The property has good potential for increasing its value through these updates.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen sink and countertops — Severe wear and outdated design
- Major Bathroom fixtures and flooring — Outdated and worn condition
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value
- Both Bathroom renovation — Upgrading the bathroom can also boost both resale and rental value
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen sink and countertops · Severe wear and outdated design | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures and flooring · Outdated and worn condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and needs trimming | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $30,500–103,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — Upgrading the bathroom can also boost both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Landscaping — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #7396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 88,508
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,406
- Household income
- $51,950
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1040.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.45%
- Current HPI
- 259.8107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $100,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $125,000 Triad MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…