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16126 OHIO St
B+ Composite 76.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0

$100,000

16126 OHIO St · Detroit, MI 48221 2954
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,425 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1935 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot 1-car garage $70/sqft · 41% below area Est $171k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * Property is rented with a good paying tenant * * Welcome to this charming home on Detroit. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !

Key facts

  • Close to shops
  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

CLOSE TO FANTASTIC RESTAURANTSCLOSE TO SHOPSCLOSE TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mary Mcleod Bethune Elementarymiddle School (706 students, 91% FRL); Mumford High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 889 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 89% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 67d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
9.43%
Cash-on-cash
11.21%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$170,544
List price
$100,000
Delta
-41.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16204 Wisconsin St 0.09mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (+8%) 3mo $163,000 $106 74
16204 Roselawn St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+5%) 0mo $230,000 $153 73
17207 Birwood St 0.75mi 4/1.0 1,500 (+5%) 1mo $140,000 $93 56
16596 Santa Rosa Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,338 (-6%) 0mo $158,000 $118 53
15771 Birwood St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,290 (-10%) 2mo $128,995 $100 52
16133 Manor St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,371 (-4%) 2mo $118,000 $86 51
16642 Monte Vista St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+5%) 0mo $208,000 $139 51
16800 Ilene St 0.46mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,298 (-9%) 3mo $210,000 $162 51
16659 Lilac St 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (-9%) 3mo $40,000 $31 50
16183 Lilac St 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,224 (-14%) 1mo $140,000 $114 45
16820 Santa Rosa Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-14%) 2mo $10,000 $8 36
16566 Stoepel St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+12%) 1mo $15,000 $9 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$28,817
Equity at exit
$44,964
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
3.84×
Total profit
$79,424
Equity at exit
$69,295

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
85 active · 62 under contract
Months of supply
13.1 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$130,000 ($94/sqft)
Median days on market
66 d
This list price
31% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+27.8% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 48221 2954

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$261

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,073
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $290 +0% $261 +5% $233 +10% $205
Rent -10% $151 -5% $206 +0% $261 +5% $317 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $287 base $261 +0.5pp $236 +1.0pp $209

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1370 $1,400 $1.02 93d 1 0.12mi
16219 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 42d 1 0.12mi
16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1577 $1,500 $0.95 93d 1 0.22mi
15710 Northlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,175 $1.04 9d 1 0.26mi
15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,275 $0.85 73d 1 0.35mi
16255 Lilac St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,394 $1.06 66d 1 0.42mi
16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 66d 1 0.52mi
16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,100 $0.85 66d 1 0.52mi
15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1255 $1,100 $0.88 54d 1 0.53mi
17127 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1829 $1,675 $0.92 24d 1 0.53mi
7350 Globe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1191 $1,400 $1.18 22d 1 0.57mi
16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1516 $1,400 $0.92 69d 1 0.58mi
16582 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1314 $1,399 $1.06 66d 1 0.68mi
15751 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1319 $1,150 $0.87 10d 1 0.69mi
17151 San Juan Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1746 $1,690 $0.97 38d 1 0.69mi
17368 Woodingham Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 93d 1 0.74mi
17163 Prairie St Unit 1B Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1317 $1,350 $1.03 93d 1 0.74mi
17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 73d 1 0.79mi
16896 Manor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1158 $1,500 $1.30 10d 1 0.80mi
17145 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 67d 1 0.81mi
16253 Appoline St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,400 $1.20 42d 1 0.83mi
16204 Steel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,150 $1.19 93d 1 0.86mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 66d 1 0.88mi
15767 Holmur St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1396 $1,600 $1.15 46d 1 0.90mi
14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,100 $1.07 73d 1 0.92mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 66d 1 0.96mi
17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 29d 1 0.97mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 93d 1 1.02mi
16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1653 $1,450 $0.88 93d 1 1.03mi
15755 Fairfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,200 $1.27 18d 1 1.05mi
18301 Birwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 925 $1,475 $1.59 23d 1 1.20mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 93d 1 1.21mi
18461 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.5 1700 $1,750 $1.03 42d 1 1.22mi
15906 Alden St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,150 $1.12 66d 1 1.26mi
15345 Parkside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,300 $1.13 93d 1 1.28mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 66d 1 1.38mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 51d 1 1.38mi
13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,334 $1.03 69d 1 1.40mi
18260 Sorrento St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,500 $1.00 23d 1 1.40mi
18935 Indiana St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,523 $1.22 54d 1 1.41mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Pets not allowed

Exterior

Parking
Detached 1-car garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Two-story single family homeGround-level entry with stepsBrick construction
Construction
Asphalt roofBlock and brick/mortar foundation
Exterior features
Paved road accessNo pool

Interior

Bathrooms
One full bathroomOne half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Forced air heating (natural gas)No cooling
Interior features
Unfinished basementSeven total rooms

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $100,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $100,000 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $100,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    listing id $100,000 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $100,000 Active 78 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $100,000 Active 77 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 76 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $100,000 Active 75 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 73 DOM
  18. 2026-07-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 72 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 71 DOM
  20. 2026-07-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
  21. 2026-07-14
    days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
  23. 2026-07-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
  24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
  25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
  26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 64 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $100,000 Active 61 DOM
  29. 2026-07-06
    days on market $100,000 Active 60 DOM
  30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 59 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 58 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 57 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 56 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 55 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $100,000 Active 54 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $100,000 Active 53 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $100,000 Active 52 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $100,000 Active 51 DOM
  39. 2026-06-24
    days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
  40. 2026-06-22
    days on market $100,000 Active 47 DOM
  41. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 43 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 42 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,375 · $281/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,375 · $281/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,843
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$3,375
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$423
After-tax cash flow
$2,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,125–$21,375 screening

This single-family home is in good condition with a good-paying tenant. It has potential for further improvements to increase its value, such as painting the exterior and upgrading the countertops.

Components & finishes AI

Roof tile · good Flooring hardwood Counters granite

Deferred maintenance Est. $2,000–$8,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.
  • Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the windows.
  • Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the electrical system.
  • Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the plumbing system.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls can improve the curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Replace the countertops with quartz or granite — Upgrading the countertops can add value and appeal to potential buyers.
  • Both Install a new HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, benefiting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 24/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Mary Mcleod Bethune Elementarymiddle School High Mumford High School F MI #481/713 Nat'l #12,478/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI
B Composite livability gradescore 73/100

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Price history

+6.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,375 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…