🏷️ Likely Rental
16126 Ohio St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * * Property is rented with a good paying tenant * * Welcome to this charming home on Detroit. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !
Key facts
- Close to shops
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story single family home; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Block and brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; No pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.45%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,179
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- -40.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15767 Northlawn St | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-0%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $39 | 77 |
| 16204 Wisconsin St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (+8%) | 1mo | $163,000 | $106 | 75 |
| 16500 Griggs St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,427 (+0%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $91 | 70 |
| 16143 Monica St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (+5%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 15379 Woodingham Dr | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 | 1,300 (-9%) | 4mo | $7,000 | $5 | 58 |
| 15374 Birwood St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,378 (-3%) | 5mo | $132,000 | $96 | 58 |
| 15771 Birwood St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,290 (-10%) | 0mo | $128,995 | $100 | 53 |
| 16800 Ilene St | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,298 (-9%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $162 | 52 |
| 16659 Lilac St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-9%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $31 | 51 |
| 17190 Washburn St | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 | 1,581 (+11%) | 3mo | $65,250 | $41 | 50 |
| 17127 Woodingham Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,623 (+14%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $132 | 38 |
| 16820 Santa Rosa Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-14%) | 0mo | $10,000 | $8 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $6,053
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $36,162
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48221
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,499 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $394 | -5% $365 | +0% $337 | +5% $309 | +10% $281 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $219 | -5% $278 | +0% $337 | +5% $396 | +10% $456 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $387 | -0.5pp $363 | base $337 | +0.5pp $311 | +1.0pp $285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16183 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 16546 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1577 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15457 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 26d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 16255 Lilac St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,394 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 16722 Tuller St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 16889 Washburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 15708 Birwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1255 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 6d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7350 Globe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 16934 Ilene St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1516 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 16582 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1314 | $1,399 | $1.06 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 17368 Woodingham Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 17163 Prairie St Unit 1B Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1317 | $1,350 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 17530 Roselawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 26d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 17145 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 16204 Steel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,150 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 14881 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 17540 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $750 | $0.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 16230 Cheyenne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1653 | $1,450 | $0.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 15906 Alden St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 15345 Parkside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,334 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 18935 Indiana St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,523 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 16505 Stansbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,345 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$100,000 Active 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
* * * Property is rented with a good paying tenant * * Welcome to this charming home on Detroit. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !
-
2026-05-06$100,000 Active 226-char remark
Show marketing remark (226 chars)
* * * Property is rented with a good paying tenant * * Welcome to this charming home on Detroit. Enjoy the convenience of being close to fantastic restaurants, shops, major highways, and more. Don't miss the opportunity !
-
2020-07-31soldstatus $94,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,375 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,375 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,992
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$3,375
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,439
- − Management
- −$1,439
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $2,727
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,392
- Household income
- $57,878
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1646.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -433.14%
- Current HPI
- 280.5434
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.44%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+6.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,375 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…