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1 Chapel Ln
D Composite 44.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,999

1 Chapel Ln · Bella Vista, AR 72715
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 194 Days on market
Built 1977 0.32 ac lot Est $258k · 5% under $24/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Non MLS Sale

Key facts

  • Spacious back porch
  • Golf courses
  • Walking trails

Tags

WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACESPACIOUS BACK PORCHMOUNTAIN-BIKING TRAILSWALKING TRAILSGOLF COURSESBOATING OPPORTUNITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: BELLA VISTA POA with a $24 monthly fee; Community amenities include biking, clubhouse, golf, playground, park, pool, tennis courts, and trails/paths

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached covered parking (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic (septic tank); Electricity available; Phone available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Corner, level lot; Public paved road frontage (shared)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as single-story
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Storage structure; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedroom (14 x 13); Additional main level bedroom (approx. 14'6" x 11')
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric, heat pump); Central air (electric, heat pump)
  • Interior features: Wood window frames; None / Other
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($229/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (18.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 838 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $199,393 (18.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.33%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$258,300
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Wootton Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 1,314 (+4%) 7mo $250,000 $190 76
29 Knighton Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,276 (+1%) 6mo $280,000 $219 74
5 Chapel Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (+7%) 10mo $262,000 $194 73
24 Billingsley Dr 0.48mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+7%) 0mo $270,000 $201 66
2 Munster Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,309 (+4%) 3mo $309,800 $237 66
29 Enfield Dr 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,161 (-8%) 1mo $252,500 $217 58
3 Aycock Ln 0.66mi 2/2.0 1,254 (-0%) 13mo $297,000 $237 57
7 Haslingden Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+10%) 2mo $225,000 $163 51
1 Basore Ln 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,315 (+4%) 13mo $230,000 $175 50
44 Enfield Dr 0.69mi 2/3.0 1,240 (-2%) 15mo $251,000 $202 49
4 Billingsley Ln 0.44mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,416 (+12%) 1mo $290,000 $205 49
15 Wilton Ln 0.50mi 2/1.5 1,079 (-14%) 8mo $225,000 $209 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-38,539
Equity at exit
$36,530
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-32,213
Equity at exit
$21,183

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72715

Home prices YoY
-6.6%
Active inventory
838
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,994 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,743/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$24
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,970
Max offer price $244,999
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $88 +0% $19 +5% $-50 +10% $-120
Rent -10% $-138 -5% $-60 +0% $19 +5% $98 +10% $177
Rate -1.0pp $142 -0.5pp $81 base $19 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-109

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Tilbury Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.5 1742 $1,850 $1.06 15d 1 0.46mi
26 Purfleet Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1276 $1,575 $1.23 16d 1 0.52mi
9 Purfleet Dr Unit 1366492P Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1625 $3,392 $2.09 15d 1 0.56mi
9 Hartlepool Dr Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1264 $1,500 $1.19 45d 1 0.92mi
20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 16d 1 1.21mi
13 Yarmouth Dr Bella Vista, AR 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,100 $1.70 15d 1 1.36mi
2 Fryer Ln Bella Vista, AR 2.0 2.0 1567 $2,200 $1.40 23d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$24 · $288/yr

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $244,999 Active 194 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $244,999 Active 193 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $244,999 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $244,999 Active 189 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $244,999 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $244,999 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $244,999 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $244,999 Active 183 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $244,999 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $244,999 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $244,999 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $244,999 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $244,999 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $244,999 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-04-25
    price $244,999
  16. 2026-04-18
    price $245,000
  17. 2026-01-28
    price $249,900
  18. 2026-01-14
    price $259,900
  19. 2025-12-07
    price $269,900
  20. 2025-12-06
    listed $270,000 Active
  21. 2022-11-01
    soldstatus $226,500
  22. 2022-10-31
    soldstatus $226,500 12-char remark
    Show marketing remark (12 chars)

    Non MLS Sale

  23. 2022-10-31
    listed $226,500 12-char remark
    Show marketing remark (12 chars)

    Non MLS Sale

  24. 2011-08-02
    soldstatus $72,000
  25. 1987-04-15
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,927
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$1,743
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,914
− Management
−$1,914
− HOA
−$288
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$4,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$962
After-tax cash flow
$1,191/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bella Vista

Score
67/100
State rank
#111
US rank
#11129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bella Vista, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
31,638
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
17,288
Household income
$82,447
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
107.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.53%
Current HPI
304.946
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+288.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $244,999 NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $245,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $249,900 NWARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $259,900 NWARMLS
  • 2025-12-07 Price Changed $269,900 NWARMLS
  • 2025-12-06 Listed $270,000 NWARMLS
  • 2022-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
  • 2022-10-31 Listed $226,500 NWARMLS
  • 2022-10-31 Sold (MLS) $226,500 NWARMLS
  • 2011-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1987-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,743 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…