1 Chapel Ln · Bella Vista, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Non MLS Sale
Key facts
- Spacious back porch
- Golf courses
- Walking trails
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: BELLA VISTA POA with a $24 monthly fee; Community amenities include biking, clubhouse, golf, playground, park, pool, tennis courts, and trails/paths
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic (septic tank); Electricity available; Phone available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story home; Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Corner, level lot; Public paved road frontage (shared)
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as single-story
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Storage structure; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Main level bedroom (14 x 13); Additional main level bedroom (approx. 14'6" x 11')
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heat (electric, heat pump); Central air (electric, heat pump)
- Interior features: Wood window frames; None / Other
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($229/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (18.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Bella Vista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#111 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 838 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 194 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 194 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.33%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $258,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Wootton Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,314 (+4%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $190 | 76 |
| 29 Knighton Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+1%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $219 | 74 |
| 5 Chapel Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+7%) | 10mo | $262,000 | $194 | 73 |
| 24 Billingsley Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+7%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $201 | 66 |
| 2 Munster Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,309 (+4%) | 3mo | $309,800 | $237 | 66 |
| 29 Enfield Dr | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,161 (-8%) | 1mo | $252,500 | $217 | 58 |
| 3 Aycock Ln | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,254 (-0%) | 13mo | $297,000 | $237 | 57 |
| 7 Haslingden Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,380 (+10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 1 Basore Ln | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,315 (+4%) | 13mo | $230,000 | $175 | 50 |
| 44 Enfield Dr | 0.69mi | 2/3.0 | 1,240 (-2%) | 15mo | $251,000 | $202 | 49 |
| 4 Billingsley Ln | 0.44mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,416 (+12%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $205 | 49 |
| 15 Wilton Ln | 0.50mi | 2/1.5 | 1,079 (-14%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $209 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-38,539
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-32,213
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72715
- Home prices YoY
- -6.6%
- Active inventory
- 838
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,994 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,743/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$24
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $158 | -5% $88 | +0% $19 | +5% $-50 | +10% $-120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-138 | -5% $-60 | +0% $19 | +5% $98 | +10% $177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $142 | -0.5pp $81 | base $19 | +0.5pp $-44 | +1.0pp $-109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Tilbury Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1742 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 26 Purfleet Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,575 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9 Purfleet Dr Unit 1366492P Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $3,392 | $2.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 9 Hartlepool Dr Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 20 Annette Ln Bella Vista, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 13 Yarmouth Dr Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $2,100 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2 Fryer Ln Bella Vista, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $24 · $288/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $244,999 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,999 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,999 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $244,999 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $244,999 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $244,999 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,999 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,999 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $244,999 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $244,999 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,999 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,999 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,999 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,999 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $244,999
-
2026-04-18price $245,000
-
2026-01-28price $249,900
-
2026-01-14price $259,900
-
2025-12-07price $269,900
-
2025-12-06$270,000 Active
-
2022-11-01soldstatus $226,500
-
2022-10-31soldstatus $226,500 12-char remark
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
Non MLS Sale
-
2022-10-31$226,500 12-char remark
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
Non MLS Sale
-
2011-08-02soldstatus $72,000
-
1987-04-15soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,743 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$1,743
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,914
- − Management
- −$1,914
- − HOA
- −$288
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$4,008
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$962
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,191/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bentonville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0503060
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,721
- Composite
- 51.85/100
- National rank
- #1661
- State rank
- #3 of 238 in AR
Livability — Bella Vista
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #11129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bella Vista, AR
- County
- Benton County · 259,241 people
- City population
- 31,638
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,288
- Household income
- $82,447
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 107.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.53%
- Current HPI
- 304.946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
+288.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $244,999 NWARMLS
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $245,000 NWARMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $249,900 NWARMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $259,900 NWARMLS
- 2025-12-07 Price Changed $269,900 NWARMLS
- 2025-12-06 Listed $270,000 NWARMLS
- 2022-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $226,500 Public Records
- 2022-10-31 Listed $226,500 NWARMLS
- 2022-10-31 Sold (MLS) $226,500 NWARMLS
- 2011-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1987-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,743 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…