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The Wrangler Plan 🏗️ New Construction
B- Composite 68.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

The Wrangler Plan · San Antonio, TX 77581
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured · 829 Days on market
Excellent condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own your own piece of paradise with an affordable manufactured home featuring a charming front porch at Higdon Oaks! Step inside and experience the open floor plan, ideal for entertaining or fostering a sense of connection. Here's what awaits you: Affordable living: Enjoy the freedom of homeownership without breaking the bank. Inviting front porch: Relax and unwind on your own private porch swing, perfect for enjoying fresh air and connecting with neighbors. Open floor plan: The seamless flow between living room, dining area, and kitchen creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere. Large dining area: Host unforgettable gatherings and family meals in this generously sized space. Modern features: Enjoy energy-efficient appliances, stylish finishes, and comfortable living spaces. Land Leased not owned. Home owned

Key facts

  • Listed 828 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 829 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $118,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 829 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.85%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$7,822
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$44,804
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77581

Home prices YoY
-29.1%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,772 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,024/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $561 -5% $514 +0% $467 +5% $421 +10% $374
Rent -10% $327 -5% $397 +0% $467 +5% $537 +10% $607
Rate -1.0pp $535 -0.5pp $502 base $467 +0.5pp $432 +1.0pp $397

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10534 Green Rock Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1311 $1,700 $1.30 44d 1 0.28mi
10519 Green Rock Dr San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1643 $1,900 $1.16 44d 1 0.29mi
10531 Green Rock Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1849 $1,700 $0.92 44d 1 0.30mi
5322 Freshwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,525 $1.00 24d 1 0.37mi
10332 Green Br San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,550 $1.01 24d 1 0.37mi
5107 Moni Rock Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,585 $1.04 24d 1 0.39mi
10366 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,550 $1.01 11d 1 0.43mi
10319 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,500 $0.98 5d 1 0.43mi
10418 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,550 $1.01 44d 1 0.47mi
10431 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,550 $1.01 44d 1 0.51mi
10454 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1239 $1,425 $1.15 11d 1 0.51mi
10447 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1420 $1,500 $1.06 44d 1 0.53mi
10822 Green Brook St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,500 $1.47 44d 1 0.55mi
10471 Clearwater Way San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1529 $1,550 $1.01 24d 1 0.56mi
10929 Presa Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1503 $1,450 $0.96 44d 1 0.76mi
11026 Tree Line San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1360 $1,299 $0.96 44d 1 0.78mi
5727 Coopers Xing San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1127 $2,400 $2.13 22d 1 1.18mi
8563 Redhawk Loop San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1788 $1,800 $1.01 15d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,900 Active 829 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 826 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 825 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 824 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 823 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 821 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 817 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 816 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 815 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $134,900 Active 812 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 811 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 810 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 809 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 808 DOM
  15. 2024-08-02
    status Active 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (821 chars)

    Own your own piece of paradise with an affordable manufactured home featuring a charming front porch at Higdon Oaks! Step inside and experience the open floor plan, ideal for entertaining or fostering a sense of connection. Here's what awaits you: Affordable living: Enjoy the freedom of homeownership without breaking the bank. Inviting front porch: Relax and unwind on your own private porch swing, perfect for enjoying fresh air and connecting with neighbors. Open floor plan: The seamless flow between living room, dining area, and kitchen creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere. Large dining area: Host unforgettable gatherings and family meals in this generously sized space. Modern features: Enjoy energy-efficient appliances, stylish finishes, and comfortable living spaces. Land Leased not owned. Home owned

  16. 2024-07-23
    historical 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (821 chars)

    Own your own piece of paradise with an affordable manufactured home featuring a charming front porch at Higdon Oaks! Step inside and experience the open floor plan, ideal for entertaining or fostering a sense of connection. Here's what awaits you: Affordable living: Enjoy the freedom of homeownership without breaking the bank. Inviting front porch: Relax and unwind on your own private porch swing, perfect for enjoying fresh air and connecting with neighbors. Open floor plan: The seamless flow between living room, dining area, and kitchen creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere. Large dining area: Host unforgettable gatherings and family meals in this generously sized space. Modern features: Enjoy energy-efficient appliances, stylish finishes, and comfortable living spaces. Land Leased not owned. Home owned

  17. 2024-03-05
    listed $134,900 Active 821-char remark
    Show marketing remark (821 chars)

    Own your own piece of paradise with an affordable manufactured home featuring a charming front porch at Higdon Oaks! Step inside and experience the open floor plan, ideal for entertaining or fostering a sense of connection. Here's what awaits you: Affordable living: Enjoy the freedom of homeownership without breaking the bank. Inviting front porch: Relax and unwind on your own private porch swing, perfect for enjoying fresh air and connecting with neighbors. Open floor plan: The seamless flow between living room, dining area, and kitchen creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere. Large dining area: Host unforgettable gatherings and family meals in this generously sized space. Modern features: Enjoy energy-efficient appliances, stylish finishes, and comfortable living spaces. Land Leased not owned. Home owned

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,259
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$2,024
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,701
− Management
−$1,701
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$3,679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$883
After-tax cash flow
$4,725/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install new front porch railings — Improves safety and adds aesthetic appeal
  • Both Add landscaping around the front porch — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Install new front porch railings — Improves safety and adds aesthetic appeal
  • Both Add landscaping around the front porch — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Central ISD
NCES district ID
4817850
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,941
Composite
18.67/100
National rank
#8887
State rank
#758 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
142,397
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
51,332
Household income
$111,139
Rent vs Own
22.9% rent · 77.1% own
Severe rent burden
826.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 20% Black 10% Asian 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.56%
Current HPI
244.7942
Rent YoY
▲ 2.94%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2024-08-02 Relisted Zillow
  • 2024-07-23 Delisted Zillow
  • 2024-03-05 Listed $134,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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