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14440 Blackstone Ave
C+ Composite 60.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$152,000

14440 Blackstone Ave · Dolton, IL 60419
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1965 Est $140k · 9% over ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your decorating ideas for this spacious brick 3-bedroom home, dining room, large family room, fireplace, one full bath, one half bath, 2 gar garage, central air and the back yard is nice for outdoor entertaining, SOLD AS IS. This is a perfect home for anyone looking to make this a dream home. Walking distance to schools, stores and highway nearby. Do not delay!!!! Make your appointment today.

Key facts

  • Large family room
  • Back yard
  • Outdoor entertaining

Tags

BRICK HOMEDINING ROOMLARGE FAMILY ROOMFIREPLACEBACK YARDOUTDOOR ENTERTAINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size less than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 4920
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level design; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (61–70 years old)
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: School bus service and commuter train access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approximately 12 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master bedroom on second level; two additional bedrooms on second level measuring approximately 14 x 13 and 13 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished partial basement; Seven rooms total; Wood-burning fireplace in the family room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level (approximately 8 x 12)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $152k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,341/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price.
Recommended offer $133,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
9.28%
Cash-on-cash
10.65%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,860
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14521 Kenwood Ave 0.18mi 3/2.5 1,249 (-1%) 1mo $215,000 $172 85
1429 Kasten Dr 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,123 (-11%) 4mo $119,000 $106 71
14613 Dante Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,112 (-12%) 5mo $95,000 $85 67
14237 Minerva Ave 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,196 (-5%) 4mo $120,000 $100 63
317 Madison Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-9%) 3mo $67,200 $58 61
14700 Avalon Ave 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,128 (-10%) 4mo $125,000 $111 59
14842 Shepard Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,141 (-9%) 2mo $135,000 $118 59
14315 Dobson Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-5%) 1mo $194,888 $162 58
14737 Blackstone Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,425 (+13%) 5mo $150,000 $105 57
14222 S Woodlawn Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,089 (-14%) 2mo $90,000 $83 51
14508 Ingleside Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,406 (+12%) 5mo $160,000 $114 44
14325 Ingleside Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (+11%) 1mo $255,000 $182 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$12,095
Equity at exit
$22,664
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$99,016
Equity at exit
$13,142

Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60419

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,341 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$797
Tax from tax record
$611 /mo · $7,335/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$492
Net cashflow
$378

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,863
Max offer price $152,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $904 -5% $851 +0% $378 +5% $335 +10% $292
Rent -10% $193 -5% $285 +0% $378 +5% $470 +10% $563
Rate -1.0pp $454 -0.5pp $416 base $378 +0.5pp $338 +1.0pp $298

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,000
Closing costs
$4,560
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1429 Kasten Dr Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1600 $2,500 $1.56 2d 1 0.11mi
14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 6d 1 0.17mi
14716 Dorchester Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,800 $2.24 20d 1 0.34mi
14433 Woodlawn Ave Dolton, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 19d 1 0.36mi
14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1017 $2,400 $2.36 10d 1 0.37mi
1860 State St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 18d 1 0.55mi
409 Madison Ave Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,795 $1.50 4d 1 0.59mi
405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 973 $2,300 $2.36 2d 1 0.71mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 12d 1 0.83mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 22d 1 0.83mi
101 Oglesby Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 20d 1 0.83mi
250 Yates Ave Unit 1616 Dolton 1E Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $1,465 $1.67 8d 1 0.87mi
14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,475 $1.48 25d 1 0.89mi
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 8d 1 1.03mi
14518 S Hoxie Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1128 $2,450 $2.17 2d 1 1.05mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 1.13mi
14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 980 $2,430 $2.48 22d 1 1.14mi
14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1418 $2,500 $1.76 25d 1 1.16mi
660 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,750 $1.25 3d 1 1.18mi
659 Paxton Ave Calumet City, IL 3.0 2.0 1255 $2,461 $1.96 10d 1 1.26mi
15400 Merrill Ave South Holland, IL 4.0 2.0 1508 $3,330 $2.21 22d 1 1.27mi
2605 E Martha Pl Chicago, IL 2.0 2.0 1353 $1,860 $1.37 22d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $152,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $152,000 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $152,000 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $152,000 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $152,000 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $152,000 Active 135 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $152,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $152,000 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $152,000 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $152,000 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $152,000 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $152,000 Active 125 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $152,000 Active 124 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $152,000 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-03-04
    price $152,000
  16. 2026-01-28
    listed $157,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,335 · $611/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,335 · $611/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,092
− Mortgage interest
−$8,514
− Property taxes
−$7,335
− Insurance
−$760
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,247
− Management
−$2,247
− Depreciation
−$4,422
Taxable income
$2,567
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$616
After-tax cash flow
$3,917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dolton

Score
74/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#4883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dolton, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
20,825
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,825
Household income
$57,887
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
919.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.88%
Current HPI
193.2346
Rent YoY
▲ 9.65%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $152,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $157,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2023): $7,335 · -19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…