584 Moull St Unit A · Newark, OH
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in-condition! Newer flooring, tastefully decorated, newer lighting, immediate possession! Corner fireplace.
Key facts
- $130 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1986
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.2% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#493 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Newark City (suburban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #431 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.71%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-1,645
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $9,317
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43055
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,133/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$130
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 881 N 21st St Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $900 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 448 Moull St Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,350 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 923 Empire Dr Unit 923D Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 925 Empire Dr Unit 925F Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 483-503 Catalina Dr Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 301 Executive Dr N Newark, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 807 | $1,050 | $1.30 | 2d | 7 | 0.70mi |
| 39 Charles St Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,649 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 202 N 11th St Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,195 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 425 Senior Dr E Unit 418C Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $875 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 425 Senior Dr E Unit 415D Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $875 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 681 Maple Ave Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,599 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 73 N 9th St Unit 73 Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $950 | $0.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1420 Londondale Pkwy Unit 911B Newark, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 12d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 8 N 8th St Unit 2 Newark, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $130 · $1,560/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 9 events
-
2024-12-02status Pending
-
2015-05-20soldstatus $80,000
-
2015-04-15historical
-
2015-04-07$80,000
-
2009-09-15soldstatus $76,500
-
2009-09-14soldstatus $76,500 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Move-in-condition! Newer flooring, tastefully decorated, newer lighting, immediate possession! Corner fireplace.
-
2009-09-08historical 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Move-in-condition! Newer flooring, tastefully decorated, newer lighting, immediate possession! Corner fireplace.
-
2009-04-28$79,900 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Move-in-condition! Newer flooring, tastefully decorated, newer lighting, immediate possession! Corner fireplace.
-
1996-11-13soldstatus $70,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,133 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,190 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 5.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,133
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,066
- − Management
- −$1,066
- − HOA
- −$1,560
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,292
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$310
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,090/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newark City
- NCES district ID
- 3904445
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,662
- Composite
- 43.33/100
- National rank
- #3034
- State rank
- #431 of 656 in OH
Livability — Newark
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #493
- US rank
- #8263
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newark, OH
- County
- Licking County · 109,194 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,281
- Household income
- $63,974
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2269.0
Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,210 people
- By 2030
- 180,917 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 183,885 · +3.2%
- By 2050
- 182,985 · +2.7%
- By 2075
- 178,377 · +0.1%
- By 2100
- 161,075 · -9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Licking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.54%
- Current HPI
- 247.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.63%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+12.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-02 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2015-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-15 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2015-04-07 Listed $80,000 CBRMLS
- 2009-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
- 2009-09-14 Sold (MLS) $76,500 CBRMLS
- 2009-09-08 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2009-04-28 Listed $79,900 CBRMLS
- 1996-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $70,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,133 · -22.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…