392 Boston Neck Rd · Suffield, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.9/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Built in 1755, this interesting antique four-bedroom home offers classic country charm and the warmth of a place meant to be lived in and loved. Thoughtful and recent updates including new triple-pane windows, a Buderus boiler with four heating zones, and a French drain system in the basement, along with central air, provide comfort and peace of mind for everyday living. The home is ready to welcome its new owners, with space to settle in now and gradually add personal touches over time. A standout feature on the property is a 24' x 36' metal-sided three-bay garage with two overhead doors, a rear sliding door, full insulation, 220-volt service, and an 18' x 16' loft with steel stairs-ideal for car enthusiast, storage, hobbies, or a home workshop. Enjoy 1.32 acres of usable space surrounding the home for maybe a garden or play. Come take a look and see how this home can fit your lifestyle!
Key facts
- 1.32 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1755
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $375k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $364k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Suffield School District (rural): math 51% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #47 of 153 in CT (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1755 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1755 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.23%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $641,811
- List price
- $399,900
- Delta
- -37.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Hydrangea Ln | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 | 2,652 (+8%) | 10mo | $651,000 | $245 | 61 |
| 6 Dylan Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,504 (+2%) | 11mo | $625,000 | $250 | 53 |
| 53 Wisteria Ln #53 | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 | 2,790 (+14%) | 16mo | $809,773 | $290 | 43 |
| 45 Susan Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,591 (+6%) | 24mo | $453,000 | $175 | 41 |
| 5 Limric Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,794 (+14%) | 21mo | $644,000 | $230 | 32 |
| 20 Dylan Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,128 (-13%) | 21mo | $611,000 | $287 | 28 |
| 27 Dylan Dr #30 | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 2,790 (+14%) | 20mo | $693,040 | $248 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-57,368
- Equity at exit
- $59,626
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-40,084
- Equity at exit
- $34,576
Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06078
- Home prices YoY
- -15.0%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,097
- Tax from tax record
- −$584 /mo · $7,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$788
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $341 | -5% $228 | +0% $115 | +5% $2 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-181 | -5% $-33 | +0% $115 | +5% $263 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $316 | -0.5pp $217 | base $115 | +0.5pp $11 | +1.0pp $-94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,975
- Closing costs
- $11,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380 N Main St Suffield, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2304 | $3,750 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $399,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $399,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-12$439,900 Active 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Built in 1755, this interesting antique four-bedroom home offers classic country charm and the warmth of a place meant to be lived in and loved. Thoughtful and recent updates including new triple-pane windows, a Buderus boiler with four heating zones, and a French drain system in the basement, along with central air, provide comfort and peace of mind for everyday living. The home is ready to welcome its new owners, with space to settle in now and gradually add personal touches over time. A standout feature on the property is a 24' x 36' metal-sided three-bay garage with two overhead doors, a rear sliding door, full insulation, 220-volt service, and an 18' x 16' loft with steel stairs-ideal for car enthusiast, storage, hobbies, or a home workshop. Enjoy 1.32 acres of usable space surrounding the home for maybe a garden or play. Come take a look and see how this home can fit your lifestyle!
-
2026-03-10historical $439,900 901-char remark
Show marketing remark (901 chars)
Built in 1755, this interesting antique four-bedroom home offers classic country charm and the warmth of a place meant to be lived in and loved. Thoughtful and recent updates including new triple-pane windows, a Buderus boiler with four heating zones, and a French drain system in the basement, along with central air, provide comfort and peace of mind for everyday living. The home is ready to welcome its new owners, with space to settle in now and gradually add personal touches over time. A standout feature on the property is a 24' x 36' metal-sided three-bay garage with two overhead doors, a rear sliding door, full insulation, 220-volt service, and an 18' x 16' loft with steel stairs-ideal for car enthusiast, storage, hobbies, or a home workshop. Enjoy 1.32 acres of usable space surrounding the home for maybe a garden or play. Come take a look and see how this home can fit your lifestyle!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,005 · $584/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,781 · $648/mo
- Expected delta
- +$776/yr (+$65/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,401
- − Property taxes
- −$7,005
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,600
- − Management
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$11,633
- Taxable loss
- −$5,239
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,257
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suffield School District
- NCES district ID
- 0904470
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $95,060
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1427
- State rank
- #47 of 153 in CT
Livability — Suffield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,751
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.22%
- Current HPI
- 262.128
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $439,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-10 Coming Soon $439,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $7,005 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…