209 Willow St · Philadelphia, PA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
Key facts
- Near delaware river
- Large closet
- Large full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Philadelphia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#348 in PA, #3,054 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Delanco Township School District (suburban): math 8% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #431 of 472 in NJ (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $146k; list at $235k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.60%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,087
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -7.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 635 Laurel St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,425 (+0%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $242 | 79 |
| 214 Vine St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,299 (-8%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $269 | 79 |
| 511 Ash St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,350 (-5%) | 8mo | $327,000 | $242 | 73 |
| 209 Vine St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-12%) | 1mo | $329,999 | $264 | 70 |
| 512 Spruce St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,429 (+1%) | 3mo | $362,000 | $253 | 69 |
| 323 Walnut | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-9%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $247 | 67 |
| 323 Maple Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,488 (+5%) | 0mo | $348,000 | $234 | 66 |
| 400 Buttonwood St | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,248 (-12%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $256 | 60 |
| 315 Walter Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (+6%) | 19mo | $270,000 | $178 | 59 |
| 317 Maple Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,406 (-1%) | 10mo | $360,000 | $256 | 55 |
| 318 Center Ave | 0.45mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (-8%) | 12mo | $345,000 | $263 | 52 |
| 615 Hickory St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,222 (-14%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $164 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-21,932
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,880
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,437 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,107/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419 Union Ave Delanco, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,750 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 427 Buttonwood St Delanco, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1213 | $2,200 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 420 Ash St Delanco, NJ | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1267 | $2,600 | $2.05 | 1d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 300 Washington St Unit 300B Delanco, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 13 Polk St Riverside, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 319 Taylor St Riverside, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1722 | $2,600 | $1.51 | 10d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 136 Webster St Riverside, NJ | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1280 | $2,700 | $2.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 424 Kossuth St Riverside, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $2,250 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 258 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 248 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 247 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $235,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $235,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 240 DOM
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2025-11-11price $245,000 1008-char remark
Show marketing remark (1008 chars)
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
-
2025-11-04price $255,000 1008-char remark
Show marketing remark (1008 chars)
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
-
2025-10-27price $265,000 1008-char remark
Show marketing remark (1008 chars)
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
-
2025-10-21price $275,000 1008-char remark
Show marketing remark (1008 chars)
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
-
2025-10-14price $289,000 1008-char remark
Show marketing remark (1008 chars)
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
-
2025-10-03$299,000 Active 1008-char remark
Show marketing remark (1008 chars)
This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.
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2013-08-27historical
-
2013-05-24$154,900
-
2006-08-17soldstatus $146,000
-
2006-06-30soldstatus $146,000
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2006-04-07$146,000
-
2002-10-25soldstatus $73,900
-
2001-06-30historical
-
2000-12-29$64,995
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,107 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,107 · $342/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$4,107
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,339
- − Management
- −$2,339
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$720
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$173
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,203/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Delanco Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3403690
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,723
- Composite
- 17.62/100
- National rank
- #9035
- State rank
- #431 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Philadelphia
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #3054
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Burlington County
- City population
- 1,559,001
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,615
- Household income
- $94,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1103.0
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Estonian 3% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -396.76%
- Current HPI
- 281.8091
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+277.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $289,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-08-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-05-24 Listed $154,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $146,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-04-07 Listed $146,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records
- 2001-06-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-12-29 Listed $64,995 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,107 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…