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209 Willow St
C- Composite 52.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

209 Willow St · Philadelphia, PA 08075
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,420 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 258 Days on market
Built 1900 1,921 sqft lot $165/sqft · 8% below area Est $255k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

Key facts

  • Near delaware river
  • Large closet
  • Large full bathroom

Tags

INTERIOR ROW TOWNHOUSELARGE FULL BATHROOMLARGE CLOSETNEAR DELAWARE RIVERNEAR HAWK ISLAND MARINA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $235k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Philadelphia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#348 in PA, #3,054 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Delanco Township School District (suburban): math 8% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #431 of 472 in NJ (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $146k; list at $235k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.58%
Cash-on-cash
4.60%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,087
List price
$235,000
Delta
-7.87%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
635 Laurel St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,425 (+0%) 4mo $345,000 $242 79
214 Vine St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,299 (-8%) 0mo $350,000 $269 79
511 Ash St 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,350 (-5%) 8mo $327,000 $242 73
209 Vine St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-12%) 1mo $329,999 $264 70
512 Spruce St 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,429 (+1%) 3mo $362,000 $253 69
323 Walnut 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-9%) 6mo $320,000 $247 67
323 Maple Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,488 (+5%) 0mo $348,000 $234 66
400 Buttonwood St 0.25mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,248 (-12%) 1mo $319,900 $256 60
315 Walter Ave 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,513 (+6%) 19mo $270,000 $178 59
317 Maple Ave 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,406 (-1%) 10mo $360,000 $256 55
318 Center Ave 0.45mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (-8%) 12mo $345,000 $263 52
615 Hickory St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,222 (-14%) 19mo $200,000 $164 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-21,932
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,880
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,437 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$342 /mo · $4,107/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,117
Max offer price $235,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
419 Union Ave Delanco, NJ 4.0 2.0 1444 $2,750 $1.90 1d 1 0.20mi
427 Buttonwood St Delanco, NJ 3.0 2.5 1213 $2,200 $1.81 24d 1 0.23mi
420 Ash St Delanco, NJ 4.0 1.5 1267 $2,600 $2.05 1d 1 0.25mi
300 Washington St Unit 300B Delanco, NJ 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,750 $1.75 43d 1 0.27mi
13 Polk St Riverside, NJ 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 21d 1 0.61mi
319 Taylor St Riverside, NJ 3.0 1.0 1722 $2,600 $1.51 10d 1 0.85mi
136 Webster St Riverside, NJ 4.0 1.0 1280 $2,700 $2.11 19d 1 0.95mi
424 Kossuth St Riverside, NJ 3.0 1.0 1175 $2,250 $1.91 43d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $235,000 Active 258 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $235,000 Active 257 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $235,000 Active 256 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $235,000 Active 255 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $235,000 Active 253 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $235,000 Active 249 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $235,000 Active 248 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $235,000 Active 247 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $235,000 Active 244 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $235,000 Active 243 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 242 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 241 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 240 DOM
  14. 2025-11-11
    price $245,000 1008-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1008 chars)

    This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

  15. 2025-11-04
    price $255,000 1008-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1008 chars)

    This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

  16. 2025-10-27
    price $265,000 1008-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1008 chars)

    This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

  17. 2025-10-21
    price $275,000 1008-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1008 chars)

    This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

  18. 2025-10-14
    price $289,000 1008-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1008 chars)

    This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

  19. 2025-10-03
    listed $299,000 Active 1008-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1008 chars)

    This property is being sold in "as is" condition. Welcome to cozy living in the heart of Delanco. This three bedroom, one bath interior row townhouse/rowhome offers a comfortable layout with 1,420 sq ft of interior space. The living area is well-sized for entertaining. The kitchen awaits your favorite recipes and features plenty of room for meal prep. Upstairs you will find 2 large bedrooms, one is the primary and the second perfect for an office or spare bedroom. The second level also has a very large full bathroom. The third floor has a large closet great for storage and still has plenty of room for the bedroom it is attached to. This home is a couple blocks aware from the Delaware river for those long peaceful walks or just chasing a sunset. This home is also located near Hawk Island Marina which holds fun summer concerts. With a little bit of TLC, this home is a great size in a great community. The home is being sold "as is". Inspections are for Buyer information only.

  20. 2013-08-27
    historical
  21. 2013-05-24
    listed $154,900
  22. 2006-08-17
    soldstatus $146,000
  23. 2006-06-30
    soldstatus $146,000
  24. 2006-04-07
    listed $146,000
  25. 2002-10-25
    soldstatus $73,900
  26. 2001-06-30
    historical
  27. 2000-12-29
    listed $64,995

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,107 · $342/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,107 · $342/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,241
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$4,107
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,339
− Management
−$2,339
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$173
After-tax cash flow
$3,203/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Delanco Township School District
NCES district ID
3403690
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$73,723
Composite
17.62/100
National rank
#9035
State rank
#431 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Philadelphia

Score
77/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#3054

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County
City population
1,559,001
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
30,615
Household income
$94,407
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
1103.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Estonian 3% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -396.76%
Current HPI
281.8091
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+277.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $245,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $255,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $289,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $299,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-08-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-05-24 Listed $154,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-30 Sold (MLS) $146,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-04-07 Listed $146,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $73,900 Public Records
  • 2001-06-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-12-29 Listed $64,995 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,107 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…