204 E Maple Ave · East Rochester, NY 14445

$119,500

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 686 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market

Built 1900 3,485 sqft lot Est $123k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.7/30.0
• ARV discount +8.7/15.0
• DSCR +7.6/10.0
• 1% rule +6.2/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Turnkey and fully refreshed in the heart of East Rochester! This move in ready home features a beautifully updated interior with modern finishes, fresh paint, new flooring, and an upgraded kitchen and bath. Low maintenance, clean, and ready for its next owner. Perfect for a first time buyer or investor looking for a solid property in a strong location.

Key facts

• Upgraded kitchen
• Updated interior
• Upgraded bath

Tags

• UPDATED INTERIOR
• UPGRADED KITCHEN
• UPGRADED BATH
• STRONG LOCATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
• Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.5% in East Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#155 in NY, #2,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D.
• East Rochester Union Free School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #371 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $826 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $40k; list at $120k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $115,915 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.12% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.57%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.14%
• DSCR: 1.36
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $122,794
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
204 E Maple Ave	0.00mi	2/1.0	686 (0%)	1mo	$123,000	$179	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -3.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.85×
• Total profit: $-4,881
• Equity at exit: $17,818

10-year hold

• IRR: 5.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.43×
• Total profit: $14,456
• Equity at exit: $10,332

Cash invested: $33,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14445

• Home prices YoY: -9.5%
• Active inventory: 34
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,333 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$627
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$149 /mo · $1,792/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$280
• Net cashflow: $227

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,045

Max offer price $119,500

Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,875
• Closing costs: $3,585
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
400 Main St Unit A6 East Rochester, NY	1.0	1.0	450	$995	$2.21	21d	1	0.21mi
234 W Commercial St Unit 2 East Rochester, NY	2.0	1.0	640	$1,100	$1.72	43d	1	0.40mi
120 Brebeuf Dr Penfield, NY	2.0	1.0	763	$1,365	$1.79	3d	6	0.91mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-03-31
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-24
   listed $119,500 Active
3. 2002-01-22
   soldstatus $40,000
4. 1996-06-27
   soldstatus $46,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,994
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,694
• − Property taxes: −$1,792
• − Insurance: −$598
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,280
• − Management: −$1,280
• − Depreciation: −$3,476
• Taxable income: $875
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$210
• After-tax cash flow: $2,515/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Rochester Union Free School District
• NCES district ID: 3609930
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $50,308
• Composite: 43.23/100
• National rank: #3058
• State rank: #371 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Rochester

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #155
• US rank: #2400

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: East Rochester, NY
• County: Monroe County · 674,131 people
• City population: 7,529
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 7,529
• Household income: $73,625
• Rent vs Own: 40.2% rent · 59.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 216.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 759,460 people
• By 2030: 757,154 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 740,644 · -2.5%
• By 2050: 714,443 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 645,883 · -15.0%
• By 2100: 547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -28.80%
• Current HPI: 273.7033
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+155.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-31 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-02-24 Listed $119,500 CNYIS
• 2002-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
• 1996-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $46,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,004 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.