1048 Barnes Rd · Crystal Springs, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$143,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity abounds with this spacious 3BR/2BA home situated on 1.71 acres! Upon entrance you will find a nice size living area which flows into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is a galley style with pretty countertops, a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet space. Appliances remaining include refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. There is an area which could be used as a walk in pantry. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain your guests in the sitting room which has a free standing wood burner fireplace. Two of the three bedrooms are very large. The master bedroom has a handicap walk in bathtub. Bonus of extra room which could be utilized as a media room, extra bedroom, office area or perfect for homeschooling!! Nice size laundry area too. Bonus of a 14 x 17 workshop/storage building. The home is being sold 'as is'. Seller in the process of doing some work on the home. This home has so many options...
Key facts
- Galley style kitchen
- Walk in pantry
- Breakfast bar
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $143k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.1% in Crystal Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#252 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Copiah County School District (rural): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #76 of 130 in MS (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Copiah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Copiah County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.33%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $239,341
- List price
- $143,000
- Delta
- -40.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-11,823
- Equity at exit
- $21,322
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,380
- Equity at exit
- $12,364
Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39059
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Active inventory
- 56
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,476 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$750
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,750
- Closing costs
- $4,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-09price $143,000 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Opportunity abounds with this spacious 3BR/2BA home situated on 1.71 acres! Upon entrance you will find a nice size living area which flows into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is a galley style with pretty countertops, a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet space. Appliances remaining include refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. There is an area which could be used as a walk in pantry. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain your guests in the sitting room which has a free standing wood burner fireplace. Two of the three bedrooms are very large. The master bedroom has a handicap walk in bathtub. Bonus of extra room which could be utilized as a media room, extra bedroom, office area or perfect for homeschooling!! Nice size laundry area too. Bonus of a 14 x 17 workshop/storage building. The home is being sold 'as is'. Seller in the process of doing some work on the home. This home has so many options...
-
2026-02-20$150,000 Active 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (938 chars)
Opportunity abounds with this spacious 3BR/2BA home situated on 1.71 acres! Upon entrance you will find a nice size living area which flows into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is a galley style with pretty countertops, a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet space. Appliances remaining include refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. There is an area which could be used as a walk in pantry. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain your guests in the sitting room which has a free standing wood burner fireplace. Two of the three bedrooms are very large. The master bedroom has a handicap walk in bathtub. Bonus of extra room which could be utilized as a media room, extra bedroom, office area or perfect for homeschooling!! Nice size laundry area too. Bonus of a 14 x 17 workshop/storage building. The home is being sold 'as is'. Seller in the process of doing some work on the home. This home has so many options...
-
2025-06-16soldstatus Closed 1328-char remark
Show marketing remark (1328 chars)
**Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!
-
2025-06-01status Pending 1328-char remark
Show marketing remark (1328 chars)
**Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!
-
2025-05-12price $135,000 1328-char remark
Show marketing remark (1328 chars)
**Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!
-
2025-02-14price $140,000 1328-char remark
Show marketing remark (1328 chars)
**Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!
-
2025-01-16$155,000 Active 1328-char remark
Show marketing remark (1328 chars)
**Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!
-
2001-06-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,713
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,010
- − Property taxes
- −$2,145
- − Insurance
- −$715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,417
- − Management
- −$1,417
- − Depreciation
- −$4,160
- Taxable loss
- −$152
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,170/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Copiah County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,801
- Composite
- 23.07/100
- National rank
- #7966
- State rank
- #76 of 130 in MS
Livability — Crystal Springs
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #20290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 12,065
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,065
Population outlook (Copiah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,625 people
- By 2030
- 26,633 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 24,390 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 22,160 · -19.8%
- By 2075
- 17,384 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 13,427 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Copiah
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.5% · R 52.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.34%
- Current HPI
- 160.3583
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-7.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $143,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-20 Listed $150,000 MLSU
- 2025-06-16 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2025-06-01 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $140,000 MLSU
- 2025-01-16 Listed $155,000 MLSU
- 2001-06-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…