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1048 Barnes Rd
C Composite 57.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$143,000

1048 Barnes Rd · Crystal Springs, MS 39059
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,798 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1950 1.71 ac lot $80/sqft · 27% below area Est $239k · 40% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity abounds with this spacious 3BR/2BA home situated on 1.71 acres! Upon entrance you will find a nice size living area which flows into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is a galley style with pretty countertops, a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet space. Appliances remaining include refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. There is an area which could be used as a walk in pantry. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain your guests in the sitting room which has a free standing wood burner fireplace. Two of the three bedrooms are very large. The master bedroom has a handicap walk in bathtub. Bonus of extra room which could be utilized as a media room, extra bedroom, office area or perfect for homeschooling!! Nice size laundry area too. Bonus of a 14 x 17 workshop/storage building. The home is being sold 'as is'. Seller in the process of doing some work on the home. This home has so many options...

Key facts

  • Galley style kitchen
  • Walk in pantry
  • Breakfast bar

Tags

GALLEY STYLE KITCHENBREAKFAST BARWALK IN PANTRYMEDIA ROOMWORKSHOP STORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $143k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $143k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.1% in Crystal Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#252 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Copiah County School District (rural): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #76 of 130 in MS (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Copiah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $989 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Copiah County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,130 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.33%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$239,341
List price
$143,000
Delta
-40.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-11,823
Equity at exit
$21,322
10-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,380
Equity at exit
$12,364

Cash invested: $40,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39059

Home prices YoY
-15.9%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,476 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$750
Tax est. 1.5%
$179 /mo · $2,145/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,251
Max offer price $143,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,750
Closing costs
$4,290
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-03-09
    price $143,000 938-char remark
    Show marketing remark (938 chars)

    Opportunity abounds with this spacious 3BR/2BA home situated on 1.71 acres! Upon entrance you will find a nice size living area which flows into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is a galley style with pretty countertops, a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet space. Appliances remaining include refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. There is an area which could be used as a walk in pantry. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain your guests in the sitting room which has a free standing wood burner fireplace. Two of the three bedrooms are very large. The master bedroom has a handicap walk in bathtub. Bonus of extra room which could be utilized as a media room, extra bedroom, office area or perfect for homeschooling!! Nice size laundry area too. Bonus of a 14 x 17 workshop/storage building. The home is being sold 'as is'. Seller in the process of doing some work on the home. This home has so many options...

  2. 2026-02-20
    listed $150,000 Active 938-char remark
    Show marketing remark (938 chars)

    Opportunity abounds with this spacious 3BR/2BA home situated on 1.71 acres! Upon entrance you will find a nice size living area which flows into the dining area and kitchen. The kitchen is a galley style with pretty countertops, a breakfast bar and plenty of cabinet space. Appliances remaining include refrigerator, gas stove, and dishwasher. There is an area which could be used as a walk in pantry. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain your guests in the sitting room which has a free standing wood burner fireplace. Two of the three bedrooms are very large. The master bedroom has a handicap walk in bathtub. Bonus of extra room which could be utilized as a media room, extra bedroom, office area or perfect for homeschooling!! Nice size laundry area too. Bonus of a 14 x 17 workshop/storage building. The home is being sold 'as is'. Seller in the process of doing some work on the home. This home has so many options...

  3. 2025-06-16
    soldstatus Closed 1328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1328 chars)

    **Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!

  4. 2025-06-01
    status Pending 1328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1328 chars)

    **Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!

  5. 2025-05-12
    price $135,000 1328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1328 chars)

    **Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!

  6. 2025-02-14
    price $140,000 1328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1328 chars)

    **Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!

  7. 2025-01-16
    listed $155,000 Active 1328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1328 chars)

    **Country Roads Lead You Home to Endless Possibilities!** Situated on 1.71 acres of peaceful land, this charming home is ready for someone to make it their own. It currently has 3 bedrooms, but there's plenty of room to expand—convert existing spaces into a 4th or even a 5th bedroom, or create the perfect work-from-home area. The property is being sold AS IS, offering a great opportunity to personalize with a bit of TLC. This home features 2 full bathrooms, including one with a newly installed walk-in tub/shower combo, complete with a lifetime warranty. While it does need updating, it's move-in ready, with new flooring in some rooms and new exterior security storm doors for added peace of mind. A recently installed septic system adds value and reliability to the property. Additional perks include a whole-house generator, ensuring you're never without power, and a convenient shed for extra storage. In the backyard, a charming gazebo provides the perfect space for relaxation...think coffee and a good book! For those with a love for adventure, an electrical hookup in the backyard is perfect for a camper or RV. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or a place to grow, the opportunities here are endless. Come take a look and start imagining all the potential this property has to offer!

  8. 2001-06-25
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,713
− Mortgage interest
−$8,010
− Property taxes
−$2,145
− Insurance
−$715
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,417
− Management
−$1,417
− Depreciation
−$4,160
Taxable loss
−$152
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$36
After-tax cash flow
$2,170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Copiah County School District
NCES district ID
2801220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$38,801
Composite
23.07/100
National rank
#7966
State rank
#76 of 130 in MS

Livability — Crystal Springs

Score
59/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#20290

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
12,065
Population (ZIP)
12,065

Population outlook (Copiah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,625 people
By 2030
26,633 · -3.6%
By 2040
24,390 · -11.7%
By 2050
22,160 · -19.8%
By 2075
17,384 · -37.1%
By 2100
13,427 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Copiah

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.1) · D 46.5% · R 52.6%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: -6.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.34%
Current HPI
160.3583
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-7.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $143,000 MLSU
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $150,000 MLSU
  • 2025-06-16 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2025-06-01 Pending MLSU
  • 2025-05-12 Price Changed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2025-02-14 Price Changed $140,000 MLSU
  • 2025-01-16 Listed $155,000 MLSU
  • 2001-06-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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