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2160 Hanover Rd #22
B Composite 70.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,000

2160 Hanover Rd #22 · Lake Heritage, PA 17325
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1982

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.

Key facts

  • One-level-living
  • Centrally located
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

ONE-LEVEL-LIVINGEAT-IN KITCHENPRIVATE OWNER'S SUITECENTRALLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a federal flood zone
  • Financial info: Ownership is ground rent; Annual ground rent listed as an income/expense item
  • HOA & community: Located in a senior community with a 55+ age requirement; Ground rent required ($625 monthly)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Driveway parking (gravel); Off-street parking; Total of 1 garage/parking space
  • Utilities: Central A/C (electric); Electric heating and hot water; Community/private water; Community septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Modular/Manufactured construction with vinyl siding; Single-story (entry-level bedrooms); Located in a 55+ senior community
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Manufactured structure; Shed (secondary structure)
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Patio(s); Shed on property; Level, cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Eat-in kitchen layout
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Rooms include: Living Room, Master Bedroom, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump(s); Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling systems; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Built-in shelving/cabinets; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining area; Dedicated dining area; Traditional floor plan; Kitchen designed for eat-in dining; Primary bedroom with private bath; Entry-level bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#897 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Conewago Valley SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #215 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
23.88%
Cash-on-cash
62.81%
DSCR
3.79
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.8%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$44,734
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
66.3%
Equity multiple
7.69×
Total profit
$108,646
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17325

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Active inventory
313
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,528 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $342/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$850

Break-even live

Break-even rent $452
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $58,000 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-05-29
    listed $58,000 Active
  6. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus $53,500 Closed 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.

  7. 2025-06-10
    status Pending 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.

  8. 2025-06-04
    status Active 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.

  9. 2025-05-22
    status Pending 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.

  10. 2025-05-12
    listed $56,900 Active 111-char remark
    Show marketing remark (111 chars)

    Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$342 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$629 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$287/yr (+$24/mo · 84.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,331
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$342
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,466
− Management
−$1,466
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$9,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,359
After-tax cash flow
$7,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conewago Valley SD
NCES district ID
4206550
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$54,603
Composite
41.08/100
National rank
#3572
State rank
#215 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lake Heritage

Score
68/100
State rank
#897
US rank
#9564

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Adams County · 30,373 people
Metro
Gettysburg, PA
Population (ZIP)
30,373
Household income
$80,948
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
447.0

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,494 people
By 2030
101,890 · -0.6%
By 2040
98,417 · -4.0%
By 2050
92,014 · -10.2%
By 2075
76,128 · -25.7%
By 2100
58,931 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.49%
Current HPI
282.6594
Rent YoY
Metro
Gettysburg, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $53,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-10 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-04 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-12 Listed $56,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $342 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…