2160 Hanover Rd #22 · Lake Heritage, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.
Key facts
- One-level-living
- Centrally located
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone
- Financial info: Ownership is ground rent; Annual ground rent listed as an income/expense item
- HOA & community: Located in a senior community with a 55+ age requirement; Ground rent required ($625 monthly)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Driveway parking (gravel); Off-street parking; Total of 1 garage/parking space
- Utilities: Central A/C (electric); Electric heating and hot water; Community/private water; Community septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Modular/Manufactured construction with vinyl siding; Single-story (entry-level bedrooms); Located in a 55+ senior community
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Manufactured structure; Shed (secondary structure)
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Patio(s); Shed on property; Level, cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Rooms include: Living Room, Master Bedroom, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump(s); Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling systems; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Built-in shelving/cabinets; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and dining area; Dedicated dining area; Traditional floor plan; Kitchen designed for eat-in dining; Primary bedroom with private bath; Entry-level bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $58k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#897 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Conewago Valley SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #215 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.81%
- DSCR
- 3.79
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $44,734
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 66.3%
- Equity multiple
- 7.69×
- Total profit
- $108,646
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17325
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,528 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $342/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $850
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $58,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$58,000 Active
-
2025-06-30soldstatus $53,500 Closed 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.
-
2025-06-10status Pending 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.
-
2025-06-04status Active 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.
-
2025-05-22status Pending 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.
-
2025-05-12$56,900 Active 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Seller prefers to sell property AS-IS. 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile with full appliances, carport and storage shed.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $342 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $629 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$287/yr (+$24/mo · 84.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,331
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$342
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,466
- − Management
- −$1,466
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $9,830
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,841/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conewago Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,603
- Composite
- 41.08/100
- National rank
- #3572
- State rank
- #215 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lake Heritage
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #897
- US rank
- #9564
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Adams County · 30,373 people
- Metro
- Gettysburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,373
- Household income
- $80,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 447.0
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.49%
- Current HPI
- 282.6594
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gettysburg, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $58,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $53,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-04 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-12 Listed $56,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2026): $342 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…