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4080 Pedley #155
B Composite 73.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

4080 Pedley #155 · Jurupa Valley, CA 92509
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1986 $119/sqft · 11% below area Est $180k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a desirable all-ages, family-friendly community. Enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. This beautifully upgraded home offers a bright, open feel with abundant natural light. The fully remodeled kitchen showcases newer countertops, cabinets, modern light fixtures, newly upgraded flooring, NEWER AC, ROOF and WINDOWS. Generously sized rooms throughout the home. The primary suite features a spacious bathroom complete with a stand-up shower and a soaking tub—perfect for unwinding. The guest bathroom has been beautifully remodeled, offering modern finishes and a fresh, updated feel. Cozy up around the fireplace in the inviting living room, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain year-round. A nicely sized laundry room provides extra space for storage or functionality. Situated on a corner lot, this home offers a large yard with added privacy, making it ideal for outdoor enjoyment. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, upgrades, and community living all in one.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1986

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 2.9% in Jurupa Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,170 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jurupa Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #953 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.38%
Cash-on-cash
36.04%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,500
List price
$160,000
Delta
-10.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4080 Pedley Rd #47 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 5mo $175,000 $130 96
4080 Pedley Rd #145 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 7mo $83,000 $58 82
4041 Pedley #4 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-5%) 0mo $181,500 $143 80
4041 Pedley #135 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,355 (+1%) 1mo $177,500 $131 78
4041 Pedley Rd #16 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 7mo $180,000 $144 71
4041 Pedley Rd #74 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (+7%) 3mo $158,000 $110 70
3700-3700 Quartz Cyn #41 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,460 (+9%) 6mo $220,000 $151 53
3700 Quartz Cyn #6 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,404 (+4%) 12mo $194,000 $138 50
3700 Quartz Canyon Rd #45 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,468 (+9%) 9mo $205,000 $140 44
3700 Quartz Canyon Rd #15 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-12%) 10mo $200,000 $170 43
3700 Quartz Canyon Rd #118 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+12%) 7mo $190,000 $126 41
3700 Quartz Canyon Rd #48 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,539 (+14%) 8mo $222,000 $144 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$54,622
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$137,515
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92509

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,103 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$652
Net cashflow
$1,345

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,400
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,456 -5% $1,401 +0% $1,345 +5% $1,290 +10% $1,235
Rent -10% $1,100 -5% $1,223 +0% $1,345 +5% $1,468 +10% $1,591
Rate -1.0pp $1,426 -0.5pp $1,386 base $1,345 +0.5pp $1,304 +1.0pp $1,262

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8554 Wild Pony Dr Riverside, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,000 $2.50 44d 1 0.38mi
3892 Kenneth St Jurupa Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1700 $3,000 $1.76 45d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 112 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 103 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $160,000 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $160,000 Active Under Contract 101 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $160,000 Active Under Contract 100 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $160,000 Active Under Contract 99 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    status Pending Sale 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a desirable all-ages, family-friendly community. Enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. This beautifully upgraded home offers a bright, open feel with abundant natural light. The fully remodeled kitchen showcases newer countertops, cabinets, modern light fixtures, newly upgraded flooring, NEWER AC, ROOF and WINDOWS. Generously sized rooms throughout the home. The primary suite features a spacious bathroom complete with a stand-up shower and a soaking tub—perfect for unwinding. The guest bathroom has been beautifully remodeled, offering modern finishes and a fresh, updated feel. Cozy up around the fireplace in the inviting living room, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain year-round. A nicely sized laundry room provides extra space for storage or functionality. Situated on a corner lot, this home offers a large yard with added privacy, making it ideal for outdoor enjoyment. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, upgrades, and community living all in one.

  16. 2026-04-11
    status Active 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a desirable all-ages, family-friendly community. Enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. This beautifully upgraded home offers a bright, open feel with abundant natural light. The fully remodeled kitchen showcases newer countertops, cabinets, modern light fixtures, newly upgraded flooring, NEWER AC, ROOF and WINDOWS. Generously sized rooms throughout the home. The primary suite features a spacious bathroom complete with a stand-up shower and a soaking tub—perfect for unwinding. The guest bathroom has been beautifully remodeled, offering modern finishes and a fresh, updated feel. Cozy up around the fireplace in the inviting living room, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain year-round. A nicely sized laundry room provides extra space for storage or functionality. Situated on a corner lot, this home offers a large yard with added privacy, making it ideal for outdoor enjoyment. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, upgrades, and community living all in one.

  17. 2026-04-07
    status Pending Sale 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a desirable all-ages, family-friendly community. Enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. This beautifully upgraded home offers a bright, open feel with abundant natural light. The fully remodeled kitchen showcases newer countertops, cabinets, modern light fixtures, newly upgraded flooring, NEWER AC, ROOF and WINDOWS. Generously sized rooms throughout the home. The primary suite features a spacious bathroom complete with a stand-up shower and a soaking tub—perfect for unwinding. The guest bathroom has been beautifully remodeled, offering modern finishes and a fresh, updated feel. Cozy up around the fireplace in the inviting living room, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain year-round. A nicely sized laundry room provides extra space for storage or functionality. Situated on a corner lot, this home offers a large yard with added privacy, making it ideal for outdoor enjoyment. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, upgrades, and community living all in one.

  18. 2026-01-27
    listed $160,000 Active 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a desirable all-ages, family-friendly community. Enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. This beautifully upgraded home offers a bright, open feel with abundant natural light. The fully remodeled kitchen showcases newer countertops, cabinets, modern light fixtures, newly upgraded flooring, NEWER AC, ROOF and WINDOWS. Generously sized rooms throughout the home. The primary suite features a spacious bathroom complete with a stand-up shower and a soaking tub—perfect for unwinding. The guest bathroom has been beautifully remodeled, offering modern finishes and a fresh, updated feel. Cozy up around the fireplace in the inviting living room, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain year-round. A nicely sized laundry room provides extra space for storage or functionality. Situated on a corner lot, this home offers a large yard with added privacy, making it ideal for outdoor enjoyment. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, upgrades, and community living all in one.

  19. 2026-01-26
    historical $160,000 1096-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1096 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in a desirable all-ages, family-friendly community. Enjoy access to community amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and more. This beautifully upgraded home offers a bright, open feel with abundant natural light. The fully remodeled kitchen showcases newer countertops, cabinets, modern light fixtures, newly upgraded flooring, NEWER AC, ROOF and WINDOWS. Generously sized rooms throughout the home. The primary suite features a spacious bathroom complete with a stand-up shower and a soaking tub—perfect for unwinding. The guest bathroom has been beautifully remodeled, offering modern finishes and a fresh, updated feel. Cozy up around the fireplace in the inviting living room, creating the perfect space to relax or entertain year-round. A nicely sized laundry room provides extra space for storage or functionality. Situated on a corner lot, this home offers a large yard with added privacy, making it ideal for outdoor enjoyment. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfort, upgrades, and community living all in one.

  20. 2002-12-02
    historical
  21. 2002-10-08
    listed $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 34 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,233
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,400
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,979
− Management
−$2,979
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$14,458
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,470
After-tax cash flow
$12,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jurupa Unified
NCES district ID
0619260
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$58,100
Composite
30.97/100
National rank
#11327
State rank
#953 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Jurupa Valley

Score
49/100
State rank
#1170
US rank
#25915

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jurupa Valley, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
119,165
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
81,182
Household income
$95,355
Rent vs Own
28.7% rent · 71.3% own
Severe rent burden
1694.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% White 17% Two or more races 16% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -374.91%
Current HPI
464.8939
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+190.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Pending CRMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $160,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Coming Soon $160,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-12-02 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2002-10-08 Listed $55,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $297 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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