215 Ridgeway Dr · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.4%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this move-in ready gem situated on a spacious corner lot, just under a quarter acre, in the highly sought-after Bayou View School District. This well-maintained home offers an inviting layout with plenty of natural light and beautiful french doors. Versatile bonus room could easily serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby space. The fenced back yard provides great outdoor space for entertaining or relaxing & the convenient carport adds extra value and functionality. This property could be ideal for first time home buyer's or investors looking for a solid, well-kept home in a fantastic location.
Key facts
- Fenced back yard
- Bonus room
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($547/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (14.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $128k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bayou View Elementary School (math 78% / reading 83%, grade A+, #2 of 375 statewide, top 0%, 682 students, 100% FRL); Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gulfport School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.30%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,481
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 0.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4000 Chamberlain Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+2%) | 7mo | $139,000 | $134 | 84 |
| 4002 Chamberlain Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,086 (+7%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $106 | 75 |
| 219 41st St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,023 (+0%) | 24mo | $154,900 | $151 | 72 |
| 302 42nd St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $60 | 71 |
| 3900 Belmede Dr | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,030 (+1%) | 9mo | $126,000 | $122 | 70 |
| 38 37th St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 11mo | $109,000 | $109 | 62 |
| 3911 Belmede Dr | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 896 (-12%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $177 | 60 |
| 214 41st St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-12%) | 21mo | $138,000 | $153 | 59 |
| 3716 Belmede Dr | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,064 (+4%) | 24mo | $135,000 | $127 | 53 |
| 3607 Washington Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-9%) | 15mo | $94,900 | $103 | 46 |
| 331 Commerce St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-12%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $167 | 44 |
| 3500 Belmede Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (-10%) | 22mo | $126,900 | $139 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,774
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-6,679
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,278 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,384/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $130 | -5% $88 | +0% $46 | +5% $3 | +10% $-39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-55 | -5% $-5 | +0% $46 | +5% $96 | +10% $146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $121 | -0.5pp $84 | base $46 | +0.5pp $7 | +1.0pp $-33 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Commerce St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3503 Hancock Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3209 F Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4801 Jefferson Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,800 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 1605 Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,355 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 0426 Gulfport, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,539 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 0829 Gulfport, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,160 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Apt 512 Gulfport, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,209 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 0409 Gulfport, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,139 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 124 30th 1/2 St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1618 Courthouse Rd Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,400 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2823 6th Ave Unit A Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3333 12th Ave Unit 6 Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $899 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3333 12th Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $899 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2706 6th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1217 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1224 29th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,155 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1114 Washington Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $149,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $149,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-04-07status Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Welcome to this move-in ready gem situated on a spacious corner lot, just under a quarter acre, in the highly sought-after Bayou View School District. This well-maintained home offers an inviting layout with plenty of natural light and beautiful french doors. Versatile bonus room could easily serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby space. The fenced back yard provides great outdoor space for entertaining or relaxing & the convenient carport adds extra value and functionality. This property could be ideal for first time home buyer's or investors looking for a solid, well-kept home in a fantastic location.
-
2026-03-16status Pending 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Welcome to this move-in ready gem situated on a spacious corner lot, just under a quarter acre, in the highly sought-after Bayou View School District. This well-maintained home offers an inviting layout with plenty of natural light and beautiful french doors. Versatile bonus room could easily serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby space. The fenced back yard provides great outdoor space for entertaining or relaxing & the convenient carport adds extra value and functionality. This property could be ideal for first time home buyer's or investors looking for a solid, well-kept home in a fantastic location.
-
2026-03-11price $149,900 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Welcome to this move-in ready gem situated on a spacious corner lot, just under a quarter acre, in the highly sought-after Bayou View School District. This well-maintained home offers an inviting layout with plenty of natural light and beautiful french doors. Versatile bonus room could easily serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby space. The fenced back yard provides great outdoor space for entertaining or relaxing & the convenient carport adds extra value and functionality. This property could be ideal for first time home buyer's or investors looking for a solid, well-kept home in a fantastic location.
-
2025-11-05$159,900 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Welcome to this move-in ready gem situated on a spacious corner lot, just under a quarter acre, in the highly sought-after Bayou View School District. This well-maintained home offers an inviting layout with plenty of natural light and beautiful french doors. Versatile bonus room could easily serve as a third bedroom, office, or hobby space. The fenced back yard provides great outdoor space for entertaining or relaxing & the convenient carport adds extra value and functionality. This property could be ideal for first time home buyer's or investors looking for a solid, well-kept home in a fantastic location.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,384 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,384 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 40% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,384
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,227
- − Management
- −$1,227
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$2,011
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$483
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,029/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-03-16 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $149,900 MLSU
- 2025-11-05 Listed $159,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,384 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…