507 131st St E Unit A · Parkland, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Parkland Mobile Village, a welcoming 55+ community in the desirable Parkland area of Tacoma. This spacious 2-bedroom, 1.75-bath manufactured home offers comfortable and affordable living with approximately 924 square feet of well-designed space. The home features an open living area and a functional kitchen with ample cabinetry, storage and dining space. The primary bedroom provides generous space and privacy, while the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy outdoor living with a beautiful covered deck and patio area, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Additional features include a covered carport, driveway parking, and a large storage shed with e
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Covered deck
- Covered carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $832 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 2.3% in Parkland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#148 in WA, #3,068 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, crime F.
- Franklin Pierce School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #197 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.57%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $74,430
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- 0.77%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 131st St E #23 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+4%) | 15mo | $70,000 | $73 | 81 |
| 507 131st St E #8 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-9%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $77 | 75 |
| 921 132nd St E | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (+4%) | 13mo | $375,000 | $391 | 61 |
| 159 136TH St S Unit 6A | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 924 (0%) | 20mo | $45,000 | $49 | 59 |
| 159 136th St S #17 | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (+1%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $86 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $39,272
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 49.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $96,053
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98445
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $832
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $884 | -5% $858 | +0% $832 | +5% $807 | +10% $781 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $697 | -5% $765 | +0% $832 | +5% $900 | +10% $968 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $870 | -0.5pp $852 | base $832 | +0.5pp $813 | +1.0pp $793 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 129th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,145 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1009 Brookdale Rd E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,998 | $1.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 204 128th St S Unit 206 Parkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 204 128th St S Unit 212 Parkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,895 | $2.11 | 0d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 206 128th St S Parkland, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 212 128th St S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,895 | $2.11 | 0d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 120 136th St S Unit B10 Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,195 | $2.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 120 136th St S Unit A9 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,395 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 209 125th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,500 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 101 138th St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,740 | $2.17 | 13d | 4 | 0.62mi |
| 12712 C St S Unit F Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 12712 C St S Unit Cc Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 418 130th Street Ct S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 958 | $2,200 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 420 133rd St S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,150 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 14007 A St S Parkland, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $1,945 | $1.93 | 0d | 4 | 0.70mi |
| 323 Garfield St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,595 | $2.91 | 4d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 712 127th St S Unit 1 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 0d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 14209 Pacific Ave S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,160 | $2.32 | 45d | 3 | 0.88mi |
| 14117 C St S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,545 | $2.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 14207 C St S Unit A-22 Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,099 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 11424 A St S Unit 202 Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11424 A St S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 14209 C St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,260 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 11302 10th Avenue Ct E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,037 | $2.34 | 5d | 16 | 0.99mi |
| 702 119th St S Unit B Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,795 | $2.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 806 112th St E Parkland, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 416 111th St Ct E Tacoma, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,038 | $2.20 | 0d | 51 | 1.16mi |
| 1015 112th St E Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $1,938 | $2.33 | 3d | 15 | 1.22mi |
| 14701 C St S Tacoma, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,495 | $2.17 | 6d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 1017 110th Street Ct E Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,762 | $1.95 | 5d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 10925 Park Ave S Tacoma, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 709 | $1,775 | $2.50 | 25d | 5 | 1.42mi |
| 10925 Park Ave S Tacoma, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $1,880 | $2.24 | 0d | 7 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending
-
2026-03-16$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $9,352
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,244
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,745/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin Pierce School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302940
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,240
- Composite
- 39.18/100
- National rank
- #8227
- State rank
- #197 of 291 in WA
Livability — Parkland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #3068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Parkland, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 36,624
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,684
- Household income
- $92,520
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1085.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 10% Asian 6% Native American 4% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -471.23%
- Current HPI
- 316.202
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2026): $56 · +22.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…