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619 3rd St
D+ Composite 48.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$220,000

619 3rd St · Nescopeck, PA 18635
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,925 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 10,019 sqft lot Est $227k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Nescopeck home offering comfortable living and small-town appeal. This well-maintained property features a functional layout, inviting living spaces, and convenient access to local amenities, schools, and major routes. A great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors seeking value and potential.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 50 x 200 (0.23 acre); Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Basement with dirt floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-73/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (0.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#571 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Berwick Area SD (other): math 32% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nescopeck El Sch (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #377 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 156 students, 100% FRL); Berwick Area Ms (math 19% / reading 54%, grade F, #307 of 512 statewide, top 61%, 844 students, 100% FRL); Berwick Area Hs (math 57% / reading 70%, grade B-, #69 of 437 statewide, top 16%, 782 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 46% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $220k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $180,729 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.12%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,150
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
622 E 4th St 0.11mi 3/1.5 2,000 (+4%) 3mo $265,000 $133 84
528 E 4th St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,038 (+6%) 4mo $241,500 $118 76
319 3rd St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,829 (-5%) 8mo $138,000 $75 70
714 1st St 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,797 (-7%) 13mo $207,000 $115 68
313 W 5th St 0.38mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,960 (+2%) 10mo $272,000 $139 64
504 3rd St 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,874 (-3%) 21mo $165,000 $88 64
810 E 2nd St 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,736 (-10%) 18mo $210,000 $121 55
539 E 2nd St 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 2,024 (+5%) 1mo $105,000 $52 52
338 E Front St 0.65mi 3/2.5 2,030 (+6%) 8mo $220,000 $108 52
300 Mercer St 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,701 (-12%) 15mo $197,000 $116 49
319 5th St 0.35mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,127 (+10%) 15mo $259,000 $122 47
835 E 2nd St 0.65mi 3/3.0 2,212 (+15%) 5mo $280,000 $127 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$28,398
Equity at exit
$101,380
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$98,795
Equity at exit
$158,177

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18635

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,807 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,262/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$-6

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,815
Max offer price $218,920
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $118 -5% $56 +0% $-6 +5% $-68 +10% $-131
Rent -10% $-149 -5% $-77 +0% $-6 +5% $65 +10% $137
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $50 base $-6 +0.5pp $-63 +1.0pp $-121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 311-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,262 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,869 · $239/mo
Expected delta
+$607/yr (+$51/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,687
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$2,262
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$3,868
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$928
After-tax cash flow
$855/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berwick Area SD
NCES district ID
4203480
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,964
Composite
37.36/100
National rank
#4433
State rank
#291 of 539 in PA

Livability — Nescopeck

Score
73/100
State rank
#571
US rank
#5424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nescopeck, PA
Population (ZIP)
3,640

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.20%
Current HPI
245.2539
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $220,000 LCAR
  • 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2018-09-29 Listed $110,000 CSVBR
  • 2009-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,262 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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